Wednesday
Another apology from me not getting Florida up until very late as they cruised to a 4-1 win. Dallas was also a dramatic winner so hopefully some of you were at least able to hop on that play. Sacramento was a push in NBA. Not much doing tonight with Toronto a notable pass at home to Boston. We do have one NBA play, whatever that’s worth, Detroit +6.5 @ Washington
Tuesday Leans
2-0 with betting this Celtics Over theory so far, still under 200 so going with it again tonight Over at 197 (-115) vs OKC
Also have an early NFL lean: took Broncos -10 at EVEN on Monday; Shaun Hill has been named the starter (whoo hoo!) so I now love the Broncos here (line is +9 on pinnacle, great news if I can get this on Bovada). The only results I see on this game are Broncos by 2 TDs or more…..or a Rams win (they do have a good defense but Shaun Hill does suck). So if you lean St. Louis, take the ML IMO.
AND BTW, this line is for Pat:
Tuesday
Apologies for the late post. At least one play here tonight and it starts very soon:
San Jose @ Florida +140
There should be one more hockey game and possibly an NBA game later
NBA: I am in agreement with Pat on this one and that’s a bit scary. Sacramento +8 @ Dallas
NHL: Dallas -115 @ Arizona
Professional Hockey and Basketball
Wagers for the evening. Basketball WTFK, hockey I will try to justify my decisions based on the twenty something minutes I read the Hockey News site today…
Magic +11 -110 @ 19
Kings +7.5 -105 @ 19
All plays @ 15
Winnipeg +131
Do I remember the name of the Jets goalie off the top of my head? No I dont, but I wrote down that he is playing very well recently. Montreal has not led a single game this year after the first period.
Sharks/Panthers Under 5 +118
Sharks are in the middle of a long road trip. Combined with the Panthers having Luongo and the fact that they seem scoring challenged…
Lightning/Blackhawks Over 5.5 +102
Both teams seem to be firing offensively recently.
Stars/Coyotes Under 5.5 -119
My lone note here was Arizona – hot goalie. Jpeg or recent form?
Ottawa +140
Most of the public money is on the Canucks for this one, and I bet a solid amount of people who did that had the thought that this was a pretty even match-up but Vancouver is at home so f@#% it. Let’s go the other way.
Monday
An okay Sunday for us, winning on the Jets but losing on the Raiders, with the moneyline play pushing the season into positive territory. Toronto was a late decision and was a winner as well, and we even passed on the Bears Sunday night in another good decision. NFL is now 8-9 +0.85 and NHL is a similarly mediocre 10-11 +1.8.
Not much happening tonight with only two hockey games and Panthers-Eagles in NFL. Hopefully a few more plays tomorrow.
NFL Week 10
This was a tough week to pick; not a lot of big plays here, just enough to hit my bonus on the site I bet on (as well as the fact that I have a gambling problem).
Pittsburgh -6 (EVEN) at NYJ
I can’t stop betting against Mike Vick
Jacksonville +7.5 (-110) vs DAL
Let’s start our QB who has a back problem after an 8 hour INTL flight. I can see Dallas losing this game lol
Baltimore -10 (EVEN) vs TEN
Mettenberger gets thrown to the wolves today
MIA at DET Under 44
2 really good defenses and 2 really average offenses = a game that probably could help one take a nap
TEASERS:
BAL -10, GB -7, ARI -7, PIT -6
SEA -10, OAK +13*
*also agree with Lou on Oakland and might take them once 4:00pm rolls around. They are playing hard every week.
Sunday
An 0-2 hockey day for us as both the Rangers and Avs were one goal losers, Colorado being done in by an unnecessary Nathan MacKinnon boarding major. Tulane won their game against Houston as a 17 point underdog so good for them.
Today is a day to attempt to open a Bovada account to get action down on Jets +6. It’s a 2.5 point swing down to the sharper Pinnacle line and the public is predictably all over Pittsburgh. Please do not bet on the Steelers in any capacity today. My plays:
Jets to win outright +164
Hopefully some Jets +6 -115
Oakland +11.5
Oakland to win outright +500
One other possible game is Chicago tonight. Nothing in NBA or NHL today.
UPDATE: I lied Toronto +115
Saturday Night Leans
NCAA:
Kansas St vs TCU Over 59
UFC:
Wagner Silva +400
Boxing:
Hopkins vs Kovalev Going the Distance +250
NBA:
BOS at CHI Over 194
Saturday
Indiana covered relatively easily yesterday but the Devils did not. Already down 3-1 this happened:
Updates on all kinds of things throughout the day but nothing here early.
UPDATE: Really slow day so far. One play coming up Tulane +17 -115. Hockey in a few hours.
UPDATE 2: Tulane will likely win outright with 5 minutes remaining. Backup goalie Saturday in NHL and I am continuing to fade the Flyers. This may end horribly:
Rangers +105 @ Toronto
Colorado +120 @ Philadelphia
Celtic Overs
I am in agreement with Bill Simmons that the C’s run-and-gun tempo attempt is very entertaining to watch (although they aren’t winning games, so frustrating as a fan). They only missed the over in Houston because they were 1-for-20 from three point land, but have hit 75% of the overs in their games so far. Going to experiment tonight with the Over vs Indiana at 191.
MMA Bonus:
Rockhold v Bisping Goes the distance +155
