Thursday
How the f— is it Thursday already? 1-1 in hockey yesterday for a breakeven or small loss depending on how you weighted the plays. Vancouver struggled behind some shaky defense and goaltending in a game they should have won easily, and Philly lost getting yelled at by their GM after the game. “That’s [bleeping] embarrassing! Jesus [bleeping] Christ!” said Ron Hextall. Interestingly, we are 6-0 betting favorites this season which is a meaningless tout-like stat I can get behind.
Also, another winner in NBA last night after an atrocious start as the Clippers won easily in Orlando.
Not much on the agenda for this evening. Full slate of hockey but not much that is appealing. The best game is Phoenix +135 or +140 at Dallas. Dallas is actually this year’s version of the Islanders playing very little defense with not enough goaltending and occasionally some offense to go with it. Problematically they’ve lost eight in a row at home and longtime followers know we like to bet against winning teams and on losing ones whenever possible. Phoenix is an underwhelming team whose goalie has been outplayed by his backup to date. 830 start so I will think on it and then update if there is a play.
UPDATE: Fcck it Arizona +140 @ Dallas
Also, we have a lean on a total, Carolina @ Los Angeles UNDER 5
Wednesday
Two hockey games both nationally televised tonight and we are taking action on both of the away teams. Philadelphia +140 visits the Rangers in a bit and Vancouver -130 is at Edmonton in the late game. Both lines may move so I am getting action in now. NBA because I’m an idiot is Clippers -5 @ Orlando.
Penguins were an easy 4-0 winner yesterday but Umass lost handily. I’m going to try and do college football the rest of the year and likely again next season. Totals will probably be rare.
Tuesday
NBA and NFL were both winners yesterday but Scotland lost disappointing millions of countrymen in a meaningless friendly 3-1. Tampa smushed the Rangers 5-1 so a good pass on our part there. Full slate of hockey tonight but there is not very much I like this evening, though I can’t pass up the chance to fade Montreal and back a good team for once. Pittsburgh -125 @ Montreal is the only play this evening.
Also an amateur tackle football play, Umass +9 @ Akron. I’ll likely continue with amateur football for the rest of the season but will definitely be giving amateur basketball a pass.
Monday
All winners yesterday except for the NBA which I am horrible at. Phoenix, which is in Arizona, got a 2-1 win in Edmonton to put us up to 14-13 +4.4. We had two NFL winners including the Rams moneyline to get us to 10-9 +3.85 for the season. Some plays and leans tonight:
Tampa and the Rangers are about to get started in New York. We have a very marginal lean on the Rangers but am passing on the game. Tampa is an excellent hockey team.
NFL is interesting as the public is all over Pittsburgh just like in the Jets game, so the please do not bet the Steelers tonight. I am however taking a rare total and that’s PIT/TEN OVER 46.
In soccer, despite not having any public betting data to work with, I have a play for tomorrow afternoon in a friendly: England @ Scotland +0.5 -130
Lastly, NBA because I’m an idiot: Chicago +5.5 @ Clippers
Sunday
I am hungover. Totals were all losers yesterday. NFL:
Rams +10 -123
Rams to win outright +375
Chiefs -1
Eagles are an option at 4. Florida and Arizona are on the shortlist for hockey tonight
NBA because I’m an idiot. Nuggets +110
UPDATE: Arizona +110
UPDATE 2: I meant to write Phoenix to indicate I was taking the Coyotes and not the Cardinals. Sorry I am unable to keep my city & state monikers accurate.
NFL Week 11
Tampa Bay +7.5 (-115) at Washington
Way too many points.
Seattle at KC Under 43.5 (-115)
This was at 42 earlier this AM; two good defenses, two average offenses, and it’s REALLY cold in KC today.
Arizona Pick vs Detroit
I have a pants tent in high anticipation that I’ll get to bet against Jim Caldwell, Stafford, and this talented trainwreck of a team in the playoffs in January.
SF -4.5 at NYG
This is part 1 of many for a hedge towards our SF Win Totals Under 10.5
Eagles +6 (-120) at GB
2012 Sean: “I will not take Mark Sanchez on the road. I will not take Mark Sanchez on the road. I will not take Mark Sanchez on the road. ”
2014 Sean: “80% of the money is on Green Bay, I have to take Mark Sanchez on the road.”
Denver -10 at St Louis
Shaun Hill sucks.
TEASER (+175):
NE +3.5
DEN -10
NO -7.5
NHL BONUS:
FL at ANA Under 5 (EVEN)
Saturday
Both hockey games were winners last night but not without some assistance as the Devils were gifted the only goal of their game and the Islanders required a shootout. I ended up with action on New Jersey but not New York.
Two plays tonight. In football Utah +10 away to Stanford and in hockey a rare total Buffalo/Toronto Under 5.5 -130
Friday Leans
They are at home vs the Cavs tonight. The line started at 211 -115, and since has moved down to 210 at -105. I’ve now been enticed to jump on in as I am 3-0 with this theory so far. The Celtics are the best inside FG team in the league (at .503 percent!) and the Cavs are in the bottom 5 in allowing points in the paint.
I also like the Detroit Red Wings +110 vs Chicago. The super duper Pavel Datsyuk is back in the lineup tonight.
Update: Lou took the Devils at +140.
Friday
Losers all around as the Coyotes lost 5-3 in Calgary and Philadelphia lost by 53. The good news is they were only 39 points away from covering. Southern Miss was a winner for anyone who played it. One NBA option tonight and that’s Miami I think away to Atlanta. Hockey options are the Islanders and New Jersey. I’ll wait on line moves and the like and update if there’s a play around 7. I’ll guess that New York will probably end up being a pass and New Jersey a play.
Two college football unders I wanted to post since I’ve put them down already:
Nebraska/Wisconsin UNDER 57
Georgia Southern/Navy UNDER 63
Thirsty Thursday
Detroit was a winner yesterday as our microscopic plays on the NBA continue. I’m even dipping my feet into the college football world these days despite not being able to name any players from either teams of the games I pick. Ignorance at its finest. I have a lean but not a play tonight on Southern Miss +7 traveling to someplace called UTSA. No idea where that is.
I won’t be around to update NBA, but I’ll be taking Philadelphia +14 if I can find it (currently at 13.5). Lastly a confirmed hockey play Phoenix +125 @ Calgary
