NFL Week 18 + Props
SF -14 (-115)
Arizona gave up on the season a month ago, 49ers still playing for #1 seed.
MIN at CHI OVER 42.5 -110
Backups are playing but these defenses stink
Washington +7 (EVEN)
Hedge for our WAS 8.5 season UNDER as we clinched a chop last week. We like Sam Howell and he starts today vs a Cowboys squad who maybe resting people.
TEASER +135: Bills -8, Browns +2.5, Seahawks -5
Props:
Gus Edwards Rushing Yards OVER 54 -114
Dobbins gets rest today in meaningless game for Ravens
Amari Cooper Receiving Yards OVER 72 -114
Amari needs 80 yards for his personal best for a season, and 67 to beat the single season Browns’ record. From the coaches: “”It means something to me,” Van Pelt (OC) said. “I want to see these guys hit their personal bests. That is important to me. I think it is important to (coach) Kevin (Stefanski).” Well then, means we should bet it!
Isaiah McKenzie Recieiving Yards OVER 46 +108
McKenzie can make an extra $100,000 with 46 yards receiving vs a Patriots team he’s had good success against. He’ll also need 10 more receptions for an additional $100,000, but I doubt he hits that one.
Kalif Raymond Receptions OVER 3 +127
He needs 2 for $125,000 bonus; 2 catches was at -501 so we took 3 to stay away from juice as well as he gets around 2.8 targets over the last 5 games. He also need 100 yards for another $125,000 in a game where they will be playing for potential playoff spot.
Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards OVER 71.5 -218
He can get over 1,000 rushing yards with 64 against the Rams on Sunday in a game where Seattle will be playing for a playoff spot and figure to feed him the ball.
Geno Smith Passing Yards OVER 232 -304
He’ll net another $250,000 if he throws for 114 or more yards on Sunday. And if the Seahawks win with Packers’ loss, the Seahawks make the playoffs and Geno makes $2 more million! What a season for him!
DFS:
NFL Saturday & Jags Props
KC at Las Vegas OVER 52.5 (-110)
KC will be going for it and Stidham actually looked good last week. Mahomes needs 437 yards to beat Peyton’s all season record; he’s around +550 to do so. The number is high for my blood, but we will be loading up on props in the other game…
I got Jags +300 to win the AFC South back in like October. They play HU for the division tonight vs Tenessee and I am letting it ride as I think Doug Peterson + Lawrence beats this banged up Titans squad starting a 3rd stringer.
Week 18 is always fun because we have what I call the “incentive” props where players need like 1 or 2 catches, a few yards, to hit 6 figure digit bonuses. Always great when one team just calls a standard little pop pass or shovel just to get it out of the way (although these don’t hit as much because often teams will “round up” and take care of the player if they are close).
Props for tonight:
Zay Jones to have at least 4 receptions (-244), Zay Jones OVER Receiving Yards 92 +268
He needs 2 catches to hit $250,000 and he has had at least five catches in last seven games. He is also 98 yards short of a $500k incentive). Both doable against a below avg TEN secondary.
Christian Kirk Receptions OVER 4.5 -167
Christian Kirk is two catches short of a $500,000 incentive and needs 91 yards for another $500,000. I am staying away from the yards prop as Kirk is more of a “slot chain mover” as supposed to Jones being more of a big play WR2.
Evan Engram Receiving Yards OVER 54.5 -121
Engram, who has come on as a top 5 TE1 in fantasy and shows what happens when you get promising players who actually professional coaching, needs 61 receiving yards (739 to 800) to earn $200k. Engram has averaged 71 yards a game in his last 5 versus a Tennessee defense has been horrendous against opposing tight ends all year long.
Week 17 NFL
CHI at DET OVER 52 -110
SF -9.5 -110
TEASER +125: SF -9.5, SEA +2, NY Giants -5.5
Props: Justin Fields Rushing Yards OVER 78.5 -114, Mac Jones INT OVER 0.5 +117, Russell Wilson INT OVER 0.5 -121
Nick Special: Broncos ML +545
DFS:
NFL Week 16
NYG at MIN OVER 48 -110
BUF at CHI UNDER 40.5 -110
PARLAY +200: KC ML -470, SF ML -370, NYG at MIN OVER 48
TEASER +135: SF -6.5, BUF -8, CAR +2.5
Props: Malik Willis Rushing Yards OVER 34.5 -114, Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 33.5 -103, DeShaun Watson INT OVER 0.5 +149
DFS:
Week 16 NFL
KC at Houston OVER 48.5 -115
ATL at NO UNDER 43.5 -110
NY Giants +4.5 -110
TEASER +125: PHI -9, NE +2.5, GB -7
Props: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 28.5 -129, Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards OVER 50.5 -120
DFS:
Week 15 NFL
NY Jets +10 -110
Too many points, even for Mike White.
CIN -4
The Browns only had 3 offensive points last week, despite winning and covering. They stink.
KC at DEN OVER 44
DEN UNDERs are so far 11-1 lol (we had the one OVER on miraclecovers.com! A game in Vegas vs the Raiders in Oct). Denver has an amazing defense but they might be on the field so much they’ll tire out.
Props: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 36 -112, Christian McCaffrey Receptions OVER 5.5 +120
TEASER +145: PHI -7, KC -8,5, ARI +1, BAL +2
DFS:
Week 13 NFL
Houston +8
Was at 7. DeShaun Watson’s return to Houston today after a1.5 year layoff for improper wank requests. This Cleveland team also stinks
LA Chargers +115 ML
They have to beat this shitty Raiders team, right?
MIA at SF OVER 45
Should be points b/t two good offenses with great schemes.
TEASER +135: NY Giants +2.5, Jacksonville +1, Seattle -6.5
Props: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 33.5 -102
DFS:
Harry Kane First to Score +270
Week 12 NFL
Tampa at Cleveland UNDER 43.5 -115
Now at 42. Should be crappy weather today for these crappy teams
DEN at CAR 1H UNDER 17.5 –115
PARLAY +130: BAL ML -196, SF ML -415, KC ML -1300, MIA -825
Prop: Christian McCaffrey Receptions OVER 4.5 -167
DFS:
Thanksgiving Football
NFL:
NY Giants +10 -110
NE at MIN UNDER 42 -108
TEASER: NY Giants +10, Detroit +9.5, NE +3
Props: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 36.5 -114, Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards OVER 74.5 -114
DFS:
World Cup:
Portugal vs Ghana Draw +435
Brazil v Serbia UNDER 2.5, 3 -110
Week 11 NFL
Broncos -2.5 (-115)
Now at -3 (EVEN). Betting against the Raiders every week until McDnaiels is fired or Carr gets benched.
CIN at PIT UNDER 40 -120
Was 41, now 39.5. Should be a rock fight on a very cold and windy day.
San Francisco -8 -110
De facto Home game for the 49ers in Mexico vs a shitty and banged up Cardinals team
New Orleans -2.5 -115
Revenge for 2019 against a banged up LA Rams team now without Cooper Kupp
TEASER +125: KC -6, SF -8, MIN +1.5
Props: NYJ at NE Total Field Goals OVER 3.5 +120, Justin Fields Rushing Yards OVER 72.5 -107, Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 34.5 -114
DFS:
CFL Coupe de Grey 2022
Toronto +5 -110
First Score Method – Any Other +500
