NFL
I say that but my first bet is…
Swansea v Tott Over 2.5 -116 @ 21
This is a flat out awful bet but I have a lot of fantasy players that need to do things so I am taking an anti-hedge. The reason I posted this as NFL is because I am going to bet on just about every football game in about 2 hours.
Saturday
NCAA:
Army/Navy Under 54.5 (GO ARMY! BEAT NAVY! OR AT LEAST COVER THE +16!)
NHL:
Anaheim +110
MMA:
Stipe Miocic +300
Palhares v Fitch Goes the Distance +350
Saturday
Day action in hockey, Carolina +135 @ Philadelphia. Flyers have been my bogey team this season so hopefully the streak ends here. The Army/Navy under I took early in the week at 61 is down to 55 or so. The officially streaking Buffalo Sabres are an option tonight as well as the terminally depressing Coyotes.
UPDATE: Hurricanes got smushed 5-1, but we everyone should easily hit their under barring some overtime inspired nonsense. Passing on everything else tonight.
Friday
Our busy day yesterday finished 1-3. The slog through this hockey season continues. NBA because I’m an idiot: Portland +2.5 @ Chicago.
TNF
NFL:
I’m taking Lou’s Rams, who have back-to-back shutouts, -5 vs Arizona (EVEN) and also throwing in a teaser with the Under 40. Rams have played well at home lately, partly in due to the fact they are motivated by the unfortunate events in Ferguson, MO……as well as the fact they have THE outside of outside shots at actually winning their division (they would need to win tonight, AND a SF win vs SEA this Sunday to stay alive).
NHL:
Minnesota +115
And for your enjoyment, the goal of the year below by Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey:
Jeez…. Soccer is crazy "@NFVines: Aaron Ramsey's goal https://t.co/isLDLyLDhY"
— Rocc Lesnar (@GirlThatsRocco) December 11, 2014
Thursday
Today might be our busiest day of the NHL season. We have a total of 5 game on the board at the moment. Not sure if they will all be plays or not. First in tackle football, the Rams line is up to -6 in some places from opening at 3 or 3.5. Just like it’s difficult to win money on double digit favorites, it’s just as difficult to win after multi point line moves. This is bookmakers begging for some Arizona action as the Rams are the “correct” side, but it’s a pass at even 5 much less 6.
NHL so far we are running back both teams from Tuesday:
Calgary @ Buffalo +145
New Jersey +115 @ Philadelphia
One west cost game confirmed:
Minnesota +115 @ San Jose
The last two up in the air are Phoenix and Ottawa. Will update here with any plays
UPDATE: Passed on Ottawa, going with Nashville @ Phoenix +140
Wednesday
Very close to a 2-0 day yesterday as Buffalo won 1-0 effectively aparcar el autobus in an effort that would make many Italian soccer managers proud. Devils lost in a shootout 3-2 behind a goalie making his first NHL start, Keith Kincaid, who mentioned in his post game interview that he doesn’t really like shootouts. He’s on the correct team as the Devils are approximately 1 for their last billion. So 1-1 +0.8 yesterday for us and 22-26 +1.51 for the season. Hopefully upward and onward from here.
Nothing doing tonight but there look to be some options for tomorrow.
Longshot Tuesday
Apologies for the late post, I was waiting on line moves. NBA was a winner last night and the Falcons covered even though Green Bay had the option to take a miracle push there at the end. Two NHL plays tonight:
Chicago @ New Jersey +175
Kings @ Buffalo +180
Monday
We lost our play on Cleveland yesterday as they covered but lost by one. One leans were mixed as is standard and the perfect example of why they aren’t plays. Nothing useful regarding the Falcons game tonight other than the usual note that it’s extremely difficult to make money betting on double digit favorites, no matter how attractive they may seem. Three games in hockey tonight; Penguins were looking possible but aren’t anymore with the latest line movement. If you squint, you can find a play on Florida by continuing to fade St. Louis but I am passing on that as well.
I did get in an early college football play which is very unlike me, Army/Navy UNDER 61. It’s already down to 59.5 so yay to that. One NBA play because I’m an idiot: Phoenix +7.5 @ Clippers. Celtics O/U is 204.5. I would assume all the value in blindly taking the overs has been sucked out at this point but what do I know.
Good luck today
Sunday
Another shit day for gambling as potential games continue to come off the board. It’s better to pass than force any plays, but the degenerate in all of us would like to have more action. Only a single game so far and that’s probably unlikely to change, Indy @ Cleveland +150. Feel free to take the +3 in lieu of the moneyline but I am going with the higher potential return. Jacksonville and the Jets are both out of consideration with line moves this morning, though I would consider Jacksonville if they get over +7. Options with the Chargers and Raiders this afternoon and evening.
