January 16
A very solid 3-1 evening last night in hockey albeit marred by Buatfalo’s embarrassing 7-0 loss. I went back through the season playa today wondering if I had Buffalo too highly rated and its possible given how poorly they are currently playing, but we are positive on them for the year as well as last season.
Two NBA Plays tonight you should not follow because I’m an idiot: Brooklyn +10 and Portland +4.5
January 16
Montreal came back to win our only play last night 3-2. Some more upcoming action:
Minnesota @ Buffalo +160 1/2u
Colorado +135 1/2u @ Florida
Montreal @ Ottawa -120
UPDATE: Winnipeg +110 @ Dallas
1/15
Looking like only one play at the moment. You get the feeling that sports gambling was essentially invented for games like the one we are going to be taking tonight. A few drunk guys looking at each other minutes before face-off, with one blurting out “if we don’t put money on this game I may get into a fight with the mascot just for something to do.” We are scratching and clawing in our efforts for a first winning month in eons. Let’s see if we can get some upstate New York-love.
Sabres ML +154 @ 15
YTD : -7.36
MTD : -7.36
Jan 14
Two losers last night. Single play so far today Montreal -120 @ Columbus. Flyers may be worth a punt at around 170 or so but I’m not planning on unloading there or anything.
January 13
Very excited here in New York for the Islanders-Rangers affair about to start in 30 minutes or so. It should be the best matchup of the day along with a recovering Tampa at Boston. Islanders +120 may be a play along with Buffalo +175. One confirmed play and that’s in a later game, Ottawa +130 @ Dallas. Updates on the 7:00 games here shortly.
UPDATE: No Islanders/Rangers action other than ‘Will Alain Vigneault raise his voice during the 1st period?’ NO -200, though we would be on Islanders +120 if it were available. Still should be at some friendly sites. Also a likely loser: Detroit @ Buffalo +180
January 12
I had nothing bettable yesterday and again today on a light schedule across all sports. The contrarian in me wanted to take OSU +6 because literally everyone including Sean below who is very good all like Oregon tonight. I would have taken them at 7 were it available and there may be some value in OSU to win outright at +200 or so.
Hopefully some action tomorrow.
CFB Title Game
Going with Oregon tonight +7 as well as a teaser with the over (73). I just think Mariota > Cardale Jones and that will be the difference.
Hopefully we will be on the other end of the miracle cover tonight; yesterday was brutal. I wish I would of seen this before I put Old Man-ning in a teaser:
These guys are about as accurate as most economic forecasters. pic.twitter.com/Kn5gkigjJY
— Rudy Havenstein, Senior Markets Commentator. (@RudyHavenstein) January 13, 2015
I am leaning on Seattle at home (-7.5 -105) early. We also have them winning the NFC at 13/2. I should hedge with GB but Rodgers is banged up and we’re one hit away from the Matt Flynn experience, and that’s a serious possibility considering how Seattle hits.
Surprised the Pats/Colts line isn’t at around -8.5 to -10 considering that the Colts have been outscored in their last 3 games vs the Patriots 144-68.
NFL Sunday
Denver -7
The Colts front 7 is not every good. CJ Anderson has a big day today
Green Bay -6 (-105)
I just can’t take Dallas with a free conscience.
January 11
Mixed day again yesterday. 1-1 for a profit in hockey and 1-2 for a loss in NBA. I didn’t have any NFL action yesterday and also didn’t understand all the freaking out over the Patriots yesterday and somewhat again today. It’s not like the Ravens are actually the Raiders wearing purple unis. If your team plays like shit for the 1st half and is only down by 7 and nearly ended up only down 3, that’s a good outcome.
Nothing looks very good today. There might be some small value on the Pakcers moneyline if it gets down near -200 or so, but otherwise it’s probably a pass. Phoenix +5 in NBA in an early option, but nearing midseason I’m a very sad 13-16-2 -4.1. NHL is a positive 39-45-1 +4.44
January 10
Several losers yesterday, 0-1 NHL with New Jersey losing in OT and 1-2 in NBA which should really not be seriously followed, though I have three more plays tonight posted below. One new year’s resolution for me is to become more comfortable going with large amounts of public money in hockey. Boston and Minnesota both won this afternoon and were both at pretty good prices but also with 70% of the money on them. The public plays are generally losers, but it doesn’t mean they always are (or else gambling would be very, very different). Onto the plays:
NBA first:
Celtics +11.5 @ Toronto
Utah +11.5 @ Houston
Magic +14 @ Portland
And some NHL:
Islanders @ Columbus UNDER 5.5 1/2u
The other interesting game tonight is Calgary getting +165 @ Vancouver. Calgary is on a back-to-back and missing their normal backup Ramo who is out injured. Jonas Hiller the starter had a very busy night yesterday, so the question is whether to start him or a random AHL guy called up today. I’d love to jump in here but it may be a pass or half unit only.
UPDATE: The unproven Finn Joni Ortio gets the nod for Calgary +177 (1/2) @ Vancouver
