NBA Sunday
Celtics/Golden State Over 213 (9-1 with Celtics Overs this season)
Also will put that in a teaser with Houston -8 at the Lakers.
Thanks Anthony Johnson, who shipped me a +220 dog yesterday in UFC, for allowing me to speculate wildly on NBA.
January 25
3-0 in college hoops yesterday. I’m going to take today off to celebrate. Also nothing looks bettable that’s the real reason.
UFC+ Boxing plays
UFC:
Anthony “Rumble” Johnson +225
Bader vs Davis goes the Distance -270
Boxing:
Brandon “Bam Bam” Rios by Decision +230
Over Rounds -10.5 (-155)
January 24
2-2 in basketball yesterday with the Lakers failing to cover by a point. Doing college today for no reason other than there is no hockey:
Michigan St. @ Nebraska +2.5
Dartmouth +10.5 @ Harvard
Buffalo @ Ohio +2.5
January 23
My basketball plays last night lost by 22 jillion points combined yesterday. I don’t have much faith in today’s plays being much better. I’m clearly turning into Pat with a healthy dose of cynicism attached.
Toronto -12.5 @ Philadelphia
Indiana +2.5 @ Miami
Lakers +13.5 @ San Antonio
Houston +2.5 @ Phoenix
Early Thoughts
First of all, who the hell ISN’T loving Ballgate? This below makes everything totally worth it; I just wonder whether or not this MOTIVATES the Pats (when they destroy teams after stuff happens like this) or if it DEFLATES them (see what I did there).
The Best Of Tom Brady’s Unintentional Balls Innuendo At His #Deflategate Press Conference http://t.co/cukh8KyMVH pic.twitter.com/QgedZjML9h
— BuzzFeed (@BuzzFeed) January 22, 2015
Former Pats’ QB Drew Bledsoe says that Tom is all about work ethic, and I certainly hope he’s right and I wouldn’t want Tom to pull a Ryan Braun on Drew.
As for any early leans, I don’t have any thoughts on the spread as of this point (the line moves have been interesting, however those who say they are the biggest moves in a while forget both the 2001 and 2007 Super Bowls, which saw big favorites lose 35-45% of their margins from start to finish), but I do like the over at 48.5 (-105), and the following props: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson for MVP (both at 13/4), and Bill Belichick to not be seen smiling for the entire game (-200).
1st look at LVH Super Bowl Props 2015 @beatingthebook pic.twitter.com/DZEfjpvA1S
— Harvey Haddix (@SportsDirector) January 23, 2015
Also an early UFC leans: Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Goes Distance -260 and Anthony “Rumble” Johnson (+220) in Sweden vs Alexander Gustafsson.
NBA BONUS: Love my Celtics, but have to take the Blazers -7 at home at the Rose Garden tonight. I’ve been there, it’s a great arena and I feel this line should be at -8.5 and above. The Celtics have not won against a Western team on the road since 2013.
January 22
First day of four with no hockey, so I am forced to turn to a different sport again. Toronto miracle covered the 6.5 last night but lost the game. South Florida +10 -105 @ Temple is our play tonight. Also NBA again Brooklyn +13.5 -105 @ Clippers
January 21
No actual plays yesterday but our hockey suggestions both lost in either overtime or shootout and our NBA play was a loser. Nothing doing again on hockey tonight so I will set money on fire taking Toronto +6.5 and +215. I may take a few days off from posting with hockey on break starting tomorrow but we will see.
One Super Bowl note is that the betting is shaping up a lot like last year where the public numbers clearly pointed Seattle’s way by game time.
January 20
Carolina was an easy 4-1 winner last night in Toronto as angry fans threw their Leafs jerseys onto the ice in disgust. Toronto is 1-6 since firing their coach and have scored as often as a bad soccer team of late with 2 in their last 5 games.
Nothing much doing tonight in the 2nd to last day before the all-star break. Ottawa at or around +150 visiting the Rangers is an option for risktakers but I will personally be passing. Nashville visiting Montreal is another option as well as the best game of the evening but will also likely end outside of our range.
January 19
No posting from me yesterday as I was traveling. We missed a winner that showed up Saturday night that I didn’t have a chance to check which was the Rangers who won easily at Pittsburgh early on Sunday afternoon. Single play this evening and we’re betting on some entertainment value with Carolina +135 @ Toronto. Toronto hasn’t scored three goals in a game this calendar year and I’ve got this one pegged as a coin flip.
Also an NBA game because I’m an idiot: Chicago +3.5 @ Cleveland
