January 26
Preparing to get snowed in…
UW-Milwaukee +13 -105
Also some tennis for tomorrow:
Nishikori -122 vs Wawrinka
NBA Sunday
Celtics/Golden State Over 213 (9-1 with Celtics Overs this season)
Also will put that in a teaser with Houston -8 at the Lakers.
Thanks Anthony Johnson, who shipped me a +220 dog yesterday in UFC, for allowing me to speculate wildly on NBA.
January 25
3-0 in college hoops yesterday. I’m going to take today off to celebrate. Also nothing looks bettable that’s the real reason.
UFC+ Boxing plays
UFC:
Anthony “Rumble” Johnson +225
Bader vs Davis goes the Distance -270
Boxing:
Brandon “Bam Bam” Rios by Decision +230
Over Rounds -10.5 (-155)
January 24
2-2 in basketball yesterday with the Lakers failing to cover by a point. Doing college today for no reason other than there is no hockey:
Michigan St. @ Nebraska +2.5
Dartmouth +10.5 @ Harvard
Buffalo @ Ohio +2.5
January 23
My basketball plays last night lost by 22 jillion points combined yesterday. I don’t have much faith in today’s plays being much better. I’m clearly turning into Pat with a healthy dose of cynicism attached.
Toronto -12.5 @ Philadelphia
Indiana +2.5 @ Miami
Lakers +13.5 @ San Antonio
Houston +2.5 @ Phoenix
Early Thoughts
First of all, who the hell ISN’T loving Ballgate? This below makes everything totally worth it; I just wonder whether or not this MOTIVATES the Pats (when they destroy teams after stuff happens like this) or if it DEFLATES them (see what I did there).
The Best Of Tom Brady’s Unintentional Balls Innuendo At His #Deflategate Press Conference http://t.co/cukh8KyMVH pic.twitter.com/QgedZjML9h
— BuzzFeed (@BuzzFeed) January 22, 2015
Former Pats’ QB Drew Bledsoe says that Tom is all about work ethic, and I certainly hope he’s right and I wouldn’t want Tom to pull a Ryan Braun on Drew.
As for any early leans, I don’t have any thoughts on the spread as of this point (the line moves have been interesting, however those who say they are the biggest moves in a while forget both the 2001 and 2007 Super Bowls, which saw big favorites lose 35-45% of their margins from start to finish), but I do like the over at 48.5 (-105), and the following props: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson for MVP (both at 13/4), and Bill Belichick to not be seen smiling for the entire game (-200).
1st look at LVH Super Bowl Props 2015 @beatingthebook pic.twitter.com/DZEfjpvA1S
— Harvey Haddix (@SportsDirector) January 23, 2015
Also an early UFC leans: Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Goes Distance -260 and Anthony “Rumble” Johnson (+220) in Sweden vs Alexander Gustafsson.
NBA BONUS: Love my Celtics, but have to take the Blazers -7 at home at the Rose Garden tonight. I’ve been there, it’s a great arena and I feel this line should be at -8.5 and above. The Celtics have not won against a Western team on the road since 2013.
January 22
First day of four with no hockey, so I am forced to turn to a different sport again. Toronto miracle covered the 6.5 last night but lost the game. South Florida +10 -105 @ Temple is our play tonight. Also NBA again Brooklyn +13.5 -105 @ Clippers
January 21
No actual plays yesterday but our hockey suggestions both lost in either overtime or shootout and our NBA play was a loser. Nothing doing again on hockey tonight so I will set money on fire taking Toronto +6.5 and +215. I may take a few days off from posting with hockey on break starting tomorrow but we will see.
One Super Bowl note is that the betting is shaping up a lot like last year where the public numbers clearly pointed Seattle’s way by game time.
January 20
Carolina was an easy 4-1 winner last night in Toronto as angry fans threw their Leafs jerseys onto the ice in disgust. Toronto is 1-6 since firing their coach and have scored as often as a bad soccer team of late with 2 in their last 5 games.
Nothing much doing tonight in the 2nd to last day before the all-star break. Ottawa at or around +150 visiting the Rangers is an option for risktakers but I will personally be passing. Nashville visiting Montreal is another option as well as the best game of the evening but will also likely end outside of our range.
