1/10
Some last-second Premier plays. Rebecca Lowe just said “this is how you do it” talking about Premier League Extra Time features. A sign that these picks will win? Undoubtedly.
Swansea/West Ham Under 2.5 -102 @ 16
Leicester (pk and -.5) -113 @ 16
YTD : -19.21
MTD : -19.21
****UPDATE****
Patriots -7 +103 @ 18
I am surprised by everything with this line. I am surprised it is plus money on the 7, I am surprised 7 isn’t 9, and I am surprised the majority of the money is on the Ravens.
January 9
Nothing doing yesterday. One NHL game for 1/2u tonight and that’s the Devils +150 at home to the Islanders. We are fading every traditional hockey stat and some sharps on this one so feel free to pass. Some NBA action as well:
Chicago PK EVEN @ Washington
Utah +11.5 @ Oklahoma
Memphis +1.5 @ New Orleans
1/8 – This is Hockey Do It
Making a half dozen or so very vanilla (even by hockey standards) plays tonight. Couple of slight faves, couple of slight dogs, and one substantial favorite for MLs, couple of unders on 5.5 lines. Nothing revolutionary. Let’s see what happens. If I was sipping on something I’d probably tie these together in a 4 dollar parlay or something, another time…
All plays @ 12
Bruins ML -169
Hurricanes ML -205
Stars ML +137
Jets ML -108
Rangers ML +144
Sharks/Blues Under 5.5 -137
Jets/Coyotes Under 5.5 -140
YTD : -22.01
MTD : -22.01
Jan 8
Mixed but winning day for us yesterday. Boston and Washington were winners but our under lost and NBA plays went 1-1. Nothing doing for me this evening, but those scrounging for a play can try Dallas +140 or so away to Nashville. I’ll try and have one more look before the 8PM games, but it looks likely today will be a pass all around.
Jan 7
Our single play on the Sharks last night was a winner, 4-3 in overtime. Some confirmed action early tonight:
Boston +130 @ Pittsburgh
Washington @ Toronto UNDER 5.5
NBA because I’m an idiot Houston -6 @ Cleveland
Potentially adding the Caps straight up at -125 or so, Red Wings and Pacers
UPDATE 1: Washington -125 @ Toronto. Indiana +11.5 @ Golden State
January 6
A nothing day yesterday and close to a nothing day again today. San Jose +125 @ Minnesota is our only play.
Day 5
1-2 in yesterday’s games as bowl season effectively comes to an end. I suspect there may be action on Ohio St. but I also could not even tell you when the game is scheduled for so we’ll leave that for next week. A pretty barren evening tonight.
NFL Sunday
2-0 after last night (although we got miracle covered for the side stuff)…our quest vs the spread is still alive! Today is the gauntlet however as these games as incredibly hard to pick, IMO. For example:
Carolina just made gambling history: they sweated out a cover in a home playoff game against an offense that couldn't break 100 total yards.
— Bill Simmons (@BillSimmons) January 4, 2015
Cincinnati +4 (EVEN, started at -105)
This was tough game to pick. Luck > Dalton at the QB position….but the Bengals have advantages everywhere else except WR (AJ Green is out) and TE (no Jermaine Gresham). Still, something smells fishy about the Colts here; they play in the crappy AFC South and can’t stop the run. The key is the fact I think the Bengals can run on Indy’s defense with Bernard and Hill, and keep things close. Luck is still young where he’ll make a mistake or two during his young career in these big games; he Ahmad Bradshaw was healthy (he was in the first matchup, a 27-0 win where he had 2 TDs), however, I might of taken the Colts. The majority of the money is on the Colts, around 72%. Betting on Marvin Lewis slightly scares me, however. But before I make my next pick, however, let me burn a timeout….
Dallas -7.5 (+140, started at +120)
All year, I have been talking up how much I wanted to bet against the Lions in big spots. Stafford 0-16 on the road against winning teams. The Lions’ propensity to get personal fouls at the worst times. Jim Caldwell’s “Weekend at Bernie’s” demeanor. And of COURSE the gambling gods torture me with one of Darts’ unwritten rules of miracle covers: “Don’t bet on the Cowboys after January”. Alas, I must take Romo here; the Cowboys are playing great and as bad as Romo is in big games, Stafford is that much worse. It also seems like it is destiny that Seattle and Dallas meet in the NFC Championship game as they are, IMO, the two most talented teams in the NFC.
TEASER: CIN +4 and DAL -7.5
2015 Day 4
Yesterday we won our Nashville play in one of the more ridiculous and entertaining games of the year. I asked on Twitter if anyone had stats on blown leads of three goals or more prior to the end of the 3rd as Nashville led 5-1 and 6-3 only to finish 7-6 winners in overtime. Everything else was a pass. Two NFL games this afternoon and I am on both
Bungles +3.5 @ Indy
Lions +6 @ Dallas
My only regret is not getting a better line earlier in the week (4 and 7 respectively). I’ll likely have an NBA game and amateur football play later this evening.
UPDATE Ark St +3
Saturday
More bowl game winners yesterday pushing our record for the season to 17-7 +12.32 with two games remaining. We ended up 4-0 on our 2u plays of which UCLA was one along with South Carolina, Bowling Green and Texas A&M. Hockey has been a waste of time to date with two losses and a pass on a winner taking the season record to 34-42-1 good for a sad +0.23. NFL regular season finished up at 16-15 +4.35.
I don’t like either playoff game today, but I do have a preference on both the Bungles and Lions tomorrow getting at least 3.5 and 7 respectively. For anyone looking to take Carolina today, you should be able to get 5.5 as Arizona is getting bet down any time the line pops up to 6.
Lastly, there should be some NHL plays today: Nashville early and New Jersey, Minnesota and San Jose later on make up today’s shortlist.
UPDATE 1: Nashville +110 @ Los Angeles
