NCAA Saturday

Nice rebound Saturday! Went 9-7, and hit a ML (Dayton) which pretty much broke me back to even, money wise, for this NCAA. Record wise, I am 16-22. Let’s see if we can get to .500 today!

UAB +6

UK -16.5

TEASER: UAB +6 + UK -16.5

Villanova -9.5

Arizona -9

Georgia State +7 (also in parlay with the coach falling off his stool again)

UFC (in Brazil, so going with the Brazilian underdog trend):

Jorge “Blade” De Oliveira +160

Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira + 425

Godofredo “Pepey” Pepey +250

Rise and Fire, pt 2

First of all, what a great day yesterday in basketball. Great games all around; really helped taking the beating I took yesterday not seem as bad. 7-13 overall this NCAA after starting 0-7. Like the many comebacks in this tournament, I feel a run coming on today!

We did have VCU, celebrating like these folks in Vegas after a meaningless layup at the buzzer (alas, my Cincy/Purdue under got reverse miracle covered):

Here are the plays today:

New Mexico State +10

Michigan State -6

Wyoming vs N.Iowa Over 111

West Virginia -6

Indiana vs Wichita St Under 140

Belmont +17

Valpo +175

Louisville -8

OK St vs Oregon Over 136

Robert Morris +22.5

Albany +13

Iowa -2

Coastal Carolina v Wisconsin Under 130

Dayton +140 (they are in Columbus, another de facto home game!)

SD State -180

Gonzaga -18

March 19

I am clearly a secret Canadian, posting about hockey in March instead of being a proper American and delving into the NCAA tournament in all its glory. Some actual plays tonight breaking a lengthy streak of zeroes:

All 1/2u plays:
Detroit @ Florida -110
St. Louis/Winnipeg UNDER 5 -105

Colorado @ Arizona +145

Rise and Fire, pt 1

I am 0-4 so far betting on the tournament – let’s try to keep the streak alive!

LOL at the NCAA’s campaign “Don’t Bet on It”….um dudes, that’s why this tournament makes a billion dollars a year. And also, how did I found out about the NCAA’s campaign? While filling out a bracket on CBS Sports……you know, stuff that every office in America is GAMBLING on. What a joke.

Don’t Bet On It – because you could probably get a better line at a different book

As I have mentioned, betting every game of the 1st round. I like two of these for more than the usual units: CIN/PUR UNDER 118 and WOFFORD ML +275

Onions….with a double order coming tomorrow:

Eastern Washington +7.5

Wofford +275

North Carolina State -2

Harvard +10.5

Notre Dame -12.5

Purdue v Cincinnati Under 118

Villanova -22 (started at -23)

Texas Southern +23.5

VCU +4

Xavier -3

Butler +1.5

SMU -4

Baylor -9

UAB vs Iowa State OVER 148

Stephen F. Austin +235

Hampton +20.5 1H

Update: Bloodbath to start day at 0-7, but have recovered for a 3-8 stand with a VCU sweat tha tended in a wonderful miracle cover at the buzzer 75-72. The SMU call KILLED us.

NHL:

Arizona +145

PARLAY: ARI +145 & WIN +110 @ +415

NCAA Tonight

North Florida -3.5

TEASER: N.FL -3.5 and Dayton -4 (they are at home lol)

0-2 so far….but you have to show some onions to keep firing.

NBA:

Celtics +7.5
(at OKC – Celts been the hottest team in the NBA this month!)

Great link below for the best NCAA announcing moments:

St Patrick’s Picks

Ah yes, the start of the NCAA Tournament; by far my favorite betting time during the year. The first 2 rounds are by far some of the best, most exciting sports around (even if the NCAA exploits the shit out of these athletes).

I also love betting the round of 68; I’ve actually batted over 60% on these games over the years they’ve gone on. I love the fact I’ll be betting on games that no one will be watching.

Manhattan -9

TEASER: Manhattan -9 and Ole Miss +4

I’ll also be placing 2 units each on some type of total, line, or ML for every game of the 1st Round. I’ll also highlight some of my likes that I’ll be betting stronger on as well. Those picks start on Thursday.

Happy drinking.

Paddys

Lots of random drunkenness today making me long for days of zero responsibility…

Likely nothing doing again in hockey tonight, but one trend that I want to point out that we missed at this point due to sheer ignorance. The NIT has become the home of experimental rules changes in college basketball and they’ve made a substantial one this year, changing the shot clock from 35 seconds to 30. This seems a nominal change, but the totals for NIT games are all up 6-15 points from their openers. People are just laying into books for obscene amounts though the value is now gone and the lines are probably overadjusted at this point to stem the tide.

There should be an expected 8-12 extra possessions a game because of the change, which at a point per possession would account for the line adjustments. Something to keep in mind for future seasons and tournaments at the very least.

The lines for region winners and on Kentucky to win look pretty correct to me, but I’m far from a college hoops expert. Best I can see that’s not a longshot is Villanova at or around 2:1 in the east.

March 16

Took yesterday off and missed what would have been a small losing 1-1 day with Pittsburgh and St. Louis the preferred plays. Four games tonight and the only thing remotely close is Washington -1.5 @ Buffalo. Montreal visits Tampa in what should be an excellent game but an unbettable one. More baseball as we get closer to Opening Day.

Pi Day

2-1 for a solid winning day yesterday of +1.2u. Two plays tonight:

Montreal @ Islanders -115

Calgary @ Colorado -144

March 13

Carolina was a loser yesterday. Three plays tonight:

Ottawa +160 @ Islanders
Dallas +160 @ Washington
Edmonton @ Columbus -1.5 +140