Saturday Night Plays
NCAA:
TEASER: ALA -7 and Under 47.5
NHL:
BOS v MTL Under 5 (+130)
Gustavsson is starting tonight.
UFC:
A nice fun parlay here; the card is in Brazil and these are all 3 Brazilian fighters. I do like Dan Henderson (+230) in Main Event tonight vs a Steroid-less Vitor Belfort.
UFC Parlay for tonight: pic.twitter.com/riThmjx2rN
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) November 7, 2015
NBA Friday
Knicks vs Bucks Over 196 (-115)
And in TEASER (5 pts, -120) with Celtics at Wizards Over 210
NHL BONUS:
DET v TOR Over 5 -140
Thursday Night Leans
NHL:
BOS v WSH Over 5 (-125)
Basically anytime Tukka Rask is in goal, bet the over for the Bruins. He allowed 5 goals on 19 shots last game; that’s a goal for every 4th shot.
I, along with Lou, also like the Winnipeg Jets +105:
Islanders and Jets are our plays for this evening. Possibly Florida in the late game away to SJ
— Miracle Covers (@miraclecovers) November 5, 2015
NFL:
TEASER: CIN -12 AND Under 45.5
Let’s hope we find a goal today:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJq5rDKq7R8&feature=youtu.be
NFL Week 8
DET vs KC Over 45
MIN v CHI Over 43
CLE +6.5
McCown *is* playing today, and the public is HEAVY on ARI:
Cardinals are the most popular spread bet (82%), moneyline bet (78%), and parlay/teaser (91%) of the day: https://t.co/m8ZX71nzo2
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) November 1, 2015
TEASER:
STL -9
ATL -7
CAR -7
CFL Bonus:
MTL v SAS Over 44
Now here is your NFL Quiz of the Day:
https://twitter.com/Ethan_Booker/status/651206256682663937
NHL 10.30
BOS v FLA over 5 (-125)
The over has hit un all of the Bruins games so far. This moved down from 5.5 to 5 so we are gonna try and ride the wave tonight.
Over bets have cashed in all eight games the Boston Bruins have played this season. pic.twitter.com/IsjZhk523v
— Covers (@Covers) October 30, 2015
NBA Bonus:
Celtics vs Raptors over 200 (-110)
Prop Bet 10.29
I found a prop for tonight: Danny Amendola Over catches 3.5 -130. He’s caught 9 balls the last two games for over 190 yards and 2 touchdowns. As long as Gronk/Edleman are healthy, he’ll get one on one vs some shitty 4th string CB and will take advantage, especially with Brady throwing like he is. Miami also pretty porous vs the pass, personnel wise, and due to injuries in the Pats’ OLine, I expect Brady to throw the ball early and often to beat the pass rush getting there tonight, so Amendola should get a lot of opportunities as the coverage will rotate vs Gronk/Edleman.
Here’s the action numbers on tonight’s game:
Here's a look at the action on the Dolphins-Patriots Thursday nighter courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/aVQTymCHB5
— Covers (@Covers) October 29, 2015
Since 2003 the Patriots have gone 38-41 ATS when favored by at least 7.5-points. They're 89-49 ATS in all other games.
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 29, 2015
NHL Bonus:
CHI @ WIN Over 5 (-115)
Celtics Over(s)time
Celtics/Sixers Over 198 (-115)
Hit this 12/13 times last year, including 9 in a row. I expect the Celtics to push the ball and score a lot in their games this year, barring injury (which derailed them in the middle of the year. They trade Rondo and they got better a month later). The Sixers are young and don’t score alot but it’s not like the Celtics defend all that well, either.
Minnesota +3.5 @ LA Lakers (-115)
Flip Saunders, who was supposed to coach this year but resigned due to cancer, unfortunately died earlier this week. He was the only good coach they have ever had (even if, in terms of coaches in general, he was average) and the team was jilted by this; I expect a response especially from Kevin Garnett, who was with Flip early in his career. And the Lakers are fucking awful.
MLB BONUS:
NYM/KC Over 7 (-120)
World Series Thoughts
I don’t like either team for a series price (or length of series), but if you can find any price over +100 with either team, you are getting better than 50% of essentially what is a coin flip.
In terms of just my thoughts on who I think will win, I have to say I favor the Mets just because they have the better starting pitching that is also on a heater. It’s why the Giants won last year and they only really had one guy. Can Murphy keep hitting a HR per game? The long layoff might effect that. But he is +400 to win MVP as the favorite and honestly, the way he is going, that sounds about right.
KC is a better overall team with middle relief, 7-8-9 hitters, and home field. But better teams don’t decide series, better pitching does. And the Mets have the better starters and closer. The managers in both of these games can make cringe worthy decisions at times, and really will start the conversation for next year: “Maybe robots could do better at this managing baseball stuff”. Side note – the ASG deciding the home field in the championship series is dumb.
If #Cardinals had home field: 57% chance to win Series (via @JayKornegay). Actual odds: 45%. 12% All-Star game swing!
— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) October 23, 2013
I mean, in football for example….who would show more emotion on the sideline: a robot or Jim Caldwell? The players would probably prefer to run through a wall for the robot more, as he could also charge their cell phones for after the game.
As for tonight, I like the Under at 7 (EVEN). Matt Harvey is 3-0 lifetime when he gets more than 9 days of rest, with a era of 2.75. Volquez is KC’s best starter. Weather also will be in the 50s with light rain.
NCAA 10.24
Utah +140 and TEASER: UTAH +3 and Under 60
Clemson/Miami Under 56.5
EPL BONUS:
EVERTON +700
