MLB Plays
Yada, yada, ball of suck…
ALL @ 16
MLB Plays
People need to start paying attention to my baseball plays. Fading my action so far has been the best quick rich scheme to not involve a Wilpon in ages. Let’s start winning some.
All @ 16
MLB and a Horsey
Riding the anti-Oriole Express tonight. Have Jesse Hahn @ +112 @ 15. I’ll update my pathetic bank at some point. Have 3 bucks on Lani for Kentucky…
Khan/Alvarez
Fight Goes the Distance +165
Khan has lost twice in his career….both by KO. But he has won his last 5 fights vs decision, and his switch from a new trainer from Freddie Roach was more of an emphasis on his defensive boxing, especially since getting KO’d in a fight he was winning vs Danny Garcia in 2012, which cost him a chance at Floyd Mayweather.
Make no mistake: Saul Alvarez will win this fight. He’s only ever lost to Floyd. He has too much on the line as all he needs to do is coast to a victory to guarantee at shot at Gennady Golvkin. THis matchup is a classic “power vs speed”, as it will be the quicker footwork of Khan, coming up in weight, to face the powerful hooks and body shots of Alvarez.
I think Saul gets into the clinch game with Khan when he can and land more power strikes, but Khan will work around him enough to get to a decision. We took the Cotto/Alvarez over on this site a few months ago, and the one theme in that fight was that Saul pretty much dominated, but got conservative in the final 4 rounds and decided to coast to a victory rather than going for a KO vs Cotto (and open himself up to a counter). AGain, all he (and his promoter Oscar De La Hoya) knows is just win the fight, and advance onto a sweet payday vs GGG.
Kentucky Derby Bonus:
Exacta Box (12/13):
1. Nyquist
2. Exaggerated
Longshot:
Majesto 30-1
MLB Play
Broke even last night, neither Rays or O’s hit for shit for Baltimore got the big bop.
My boy Bassitt, see what he can do.
Oakland +121 @ 12
Bank : -55.52
ZOMG a winner
Not so much a winner, but a bet against a loser. Whenever possible over the next week or so the play is against Baltimore. Their whole team is struggling to hit at the moment, Trumbo and Machado most importantly. We will also be banking on the consistent quality of Nick Tropeano over the human coin flip that is Chris Young.
PLAYS
RAYS -129 @ 16
ANGELS -117 @ 16
BANK : -53.20
MLB Play(s)
I tell you, it’s super easy to figure out your bank when you only lose bets. None of that fancy parlay calculator business needed around here. Just a good ol’ fashioned subtraction button, please and thank you. Side note, the ML for the Rays tonight is about -125, but there run line is like (-1.5 +170). I could be wrong but this appears way out of whack. For comparison, some similar MLs with their run line
PIT (-128) (-1.5 +132)
CWS (-115) (-1.5 +142)
NYY (-119) (-1.5 +138)
KC (-122) (-1.5 +134)
It would seem that Vegas is saying, Tampa may win tonight, in fact they probably will, but there is no way in Hell they are winning by more than a run. I could be misreading things but I think thats right.
Rays -125 @ 16
BANK : -$66
MLB Plays
We lose on Friday when Brian McCann hits one of probably 3 home runs he will hit this year off a lefty. Plenty more action where that came from. All plays @ 18. Good luck out there.
UFC 197
PARLAY @ -116:
Jon Jones -600
Mighty Mouse -400
Danny Roberts -400
Gennady Golovkin -10000 (Boxing)
Individual plays:
Danny Roberts -400
Dominique Steele looked like absolute dogshit yesterday at the weigh-ins and he immediately took off all his clothes to try as best as possible to make the 170 weight (he came in at 171 and made weight). It is usually very hard to come back from dehydration like that at welterweight and higher.
Rafael Natal +245
It’s not that I don’t think he’s an underdog to Whittaker, he is…..Whittaker is one of the better prospects in the UFC today. I just think the math on the line is wrong as Natal is a very dangerous opponent with excellent jiu jitsu. This should be at +150 or somewhere around there.
If you are thinking about taking OSP tonight, make sure you take the “inside distance” and “win in the 1st round” props. The only way he has a chance to win is in the 1st round as Jon could have some early ring rust and OSP tends to gas out after the first round as he throws everything with power (he does has several first round KOs for this reason). I think Jones wins in Round 2 or 3 by ground and pound.
NBA BONUS:
TOR @ IND Under 194
NBA Unders are hitting at a 65% clip so far this postseason.
Miami +2.5
Heat are just a bad matchup for Charlotte.
