Copa America Tuesday
Costa Rica 0.5 (+120)
Only 38% of the public is on Costa Rica, a team that always gives the US trouble. The US is having its own issues right now with form and Klinsmann might be out the door if they don’t win/draw a match in this group.
PARLAY (+700): Costa Rica/USA Draw (+415) and Colombia (-125)
Euro pre-tournament leans to come later in the week.
UFC 199
Dan Henderson +280
This is probably his last fight. He’s from Cali, and the fight is in LA. I expect him to come out on his sword and try to KO Lombard.
Dominick Cruz by decision -165
I think Cruz’s head movement and defensive boxing are some of the best in MMA. He has the reach advantage and height advantage on Uriah Faber. Faber is also one of the more durable veterans in the UFC and rarely gets KO’d. I think Cruz outpoints him and gets the decision in 5.
No, fight does not go the distance – Poirier vs Green +140
These two have talked shit all week, and Poirier is a “KO or KO’d” type of fighter. They won;t be looking for just a win here; they wanna fuck each other up.
PARLAY +420:
Cruz -400
Rockhold -700
Henderson +280
UFC 198
Werdum -150
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +195
PARLAY @ +236:
Werdum -150
Cyborg -1200
Moraes -450
Lineker -155
MLB Plays
Yada, yada, ball of suck…
ALL @ 16
MLB Plays
People need to start paying attention to my baseball plays. Fading my action so far has been the best quick rich scheme to not involve a Wilpon in ages. Let’s start winning some.
All @ 16
MLB and a Horsey
Riding the anti-Oriole Express tonight. Have Jesse Hahn @ +112 @ 15. I’ll update my pathetic bank at some point. Have 3 bucks on Lani for Kentucky…
Khan/Alvarez
Fight Goes the Distance +165
Khan has lost twice in his career….both by KO. But he has won his last 5 fights vs decision, and his switch from a new trainer from Freddie Roach was more of an emphasis on his defensive boxing, especially since getting KO’d in a fight he was winning vs Danny Garcia in 2012, which cost him a chance at Floyd Mayweather.
Make no mistake: Saul Alvarez will win this fight. He’s only ever lost to Floyd. He has too much on the line as all he needs to do is coast to a victory to guarantee at shot at Gennady Golvkin. THis matchup is a classic “power vs speed”, as it will be the quicker footwork of Khan, coming up in weight, to face the powerful hooks and body shots of Alvarez.
I think Saul gets into the clinch game with Khan when he can and land more power strikes, but Khan will work around him enough to get to a decision. We took the Cotto/Alvarez over on this site a few months ago, and the one theme in that fight was that Saul pretty much dominated, but got conservative in the final 4 rounds and decided to coast to a victory rather than going for a KO vs Cotto (and open himself up to a counter). AGain, all he (and his promoter Oscar De La Hoya) knows is just win the fight, and advance onto a sweet payday vs GGG.
Kentucky Derby Bonus:
Exacta Box (12/13):
1. Nyquist
2. Exaggerated
Longshot:
Majesto 30-1
