EURO 2016 Preview
Winner:
Germany +450
Germany’s talent is the best across the board, and they are relatively fit. They are coming off the World Cup win in Brazil and this tournament is a start of the last generation of players from that team like Mueller, Neuer, etc.
Belgium +900
Belgium was the #1 ranked team in FIFA at one point, and they also have a ton of young and up and coming talent that will be a force. There only weakness to me is at the wingbacks position. They are strong every where else and at +900 for a top 5 team in the world, it’s good value IMO.
Single bets:
Wales Points Over 3.5 (-105)
Wales was impressive in the qualifying round, and Bale was the second best player during those games (behind Poland’s Lewandowski). They also drew a good group and have winnable games versus Russia and Slovakia.
Group B Prop – 1. England 2. Wales +350
I think they both get out of their group in this order. This could be England’s year (+800 to win it all)to finally make a push with all of the exciting young talent they have. Their manager Roy Hodgson, who is known as conservative, is playing a 4-3-3…even he knows he has good talent this year. Also good news for England: the group stage does not have penalty shootouts.
Group E Winner: Belgium -105
Their group: Italy (who is in a turnover year), Ireland (I love the lads, but they have looked like shit in the friendlies leading up to EURO2016. Roy Keane wanted to kill the players after losing in a friendly to Belarus.), and Sweden (who is the wild card in this group; it all depends if Zlatan can turn on the throwback beast mode).
Group C Prop: 1. Germany 2. Poland +135
Germany to Reach the Final +175
My final four: Germany, England, Belgium, and Poland.
Top Goalscorer – Robert Lewandowski +1400
Poland was the best “in form” team during its qualifiers. Lewandowski averaged a goal a game during those prelims (the only other player to do so was Bale).
Lou’s plays:
Adding these as Lou just had a kid and hasn’t had time to post. I’m also taking on of his leans on Italy as well:
Italy to NOT make it out of the Group Stage +400
Austria 40-1 to win it all
Copa America Tuesday
Costa Rica 0.5 (+120)
Only 38% of the public is on Costa Rica, a team that always gives the US trouble. The US is having its own issues right now with form and Klinsmann might be out the door if they don’t win/draw a match in this group.
PARLAY (+700): Costa Rica/USA Draw (+415) and Colombia (-125)
Euro pre-tournament leans to come later in the week.
UFC 199
Dan Henderson +280
This is probably his last fight. He’s from Cali, and the fight is in LA. I expect him to come out on his sword and try to KO Lombard.
Dominick Cruz by decision -165
I think Cruz’s head movement and defensive boxing are some of the best in MMA. He has the reach advantage and height advantage on Uriah Faber. Faber is also one of the more durable veterans in the UFC and rarely gets KO’d. I think Cruz outpoints him and gets the decision in 5.
No, fight does not go the distance – Poirier vs Green +140
These two have talked shit all week, and Poirier is a “KO or KO’d” type of fighter. They won;t be looking for just a win here; they wanna fuck each other up.
PARLAY +420:
Cruz -400
Rockhold -700
Henderson +280
UFC 198
Werdum -150
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +195
PARLAY @ +236:
Werdum -150
Cyborg -1200
Moraes -450
Lineker -155
MLB Plays
Yada, yada, ball of suck…
ALL @ 16
MLB Plays
People need to start paying attention to my baseball plays. Fading my action so far has been the best quick rich scheme to not involve a Wilpon in ages. Let’s start winning some.
All @ 16
MLB and a Horsey
Riding the anti-Oriole Express tonight. Have Jesse Hahn @ +112 @ 15. I’ll update my pathetic bank at some point. Have 3 bucks on Lani for Kentucky…
