Lord of Nationally Televised Broadcasts
There’s sports handicapping, and then there’s handicapping prime-time, nationally televised games. In the first, the sports world is your buffet, it is up to you to pick out a couple of items from dozens of choices. Based on sheer volume, there are going to be lazy lines, or games where info may be difficult to quantify in an algorithm, or public sentiment, or whatever. Not so much, when there is only one or 2 games going on, though. To anyone (including myself) who pops out an overall record, the subsection should be record in games played when the Eye of Sauron is blasting down full force. So sometimes you let others lead the direct attacks on spreads and money lines, while you sneak around to get in on the action. Temple had the #2 pass D last yr in college football. They lose Reddick to the pros, but bring back a decent amount of talent…
Team Total : USF Under 40 -115
Week 2 NFL
Miami @ LA Chargers Over 46
NE @ New Orleans Over 56
Philadelphia +6 -125
Pittsburgh -9 (EVEN)
Parlay +101
Oakland Raiders-1000 ML
Seattle Seahawks-1000 ML
Carolina Panthers-280 ML
Pittsburgh Steelers-450 ML
TEASER +130:
New England -7
Carolina -7
Pittsburgh -9
GGG vs Canelo
GGG vs Canelo
I have no major thoughts tonight….it should be a great fight between two warriors who, I think, take it the distance. I am making a small play at -130 Fight Goes the Distance as I think this should be at around -175 or so. Canelo at +145 is OK value considering you are getting odds on an essential coinflip.
CFL BONUS:
Argos v Eskimos Over 52
Hilton Contest Picks Week 2
Texans +6.5
Jaguars +2.5
Colts +7
Steelers -5.5
49ers +14
Survivor: Raiders
Season: 4-1-0, 1-0
NFL Week 1
Cleveland +10
Betting more against Big Ben’s torrid numbers on the road as supposed to how good of a chance Cleveland has to keep it close.
Baltimore +3
Both of these teams, Ravens and Bengals, stink
Philadelphia -1
The Washington Football team stinks and Philly should be pretty good this year
SD/Denver Over 43
NYG vs DAL Over 49
TEASER +120:
Carolina -6
Houston -6
SD/Denver Over 43
DFS:
Hilton Contest Picks Week 1
Bears +6.5
Browns +8.5
Jaguars +5
Vikings -3
Washington -1
Survivor Pick: Bills
YTD 0-0
-Lou
2017 NFL Over Unders – Lou
My 5 vs. Pat. Most of these were discussed on this week’s podcast w/ Sean
5) Chicago Over 5.5
4) Chargers Over 7.5
3) Rams Over 5.5
2) Raiders Under 10
1) Bungles Under 8.5
CFL Week 11 and 2017 NFL Preview Podcast!
First of all, it’s that time of year for Lou and I to give our preseason NFL thoughts! We don’t give a Super Bowl pick this year because who the fuck knows, right? (Well, the Pats should win it all…….). We also give the Week 1 leans we have this week (and I’ll post my picks later in the week).
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/mc-afc-2017
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/miracle-cover-nfc-2017-preview-and-week-1-leans
And here are my CFL and CFL DFS leans for the week:
MTL/BC Under 50 (-110)
TEASER:
EDM +6.5 and OTT/HAM Over 53.5
College FB Holiday Plays
Went .500 on Saturday. Couple more plays for holiday weekend…
W Virginia (+5) @ Va Tech (n) WVU has a “havoc-loving” DC as well as 2 very capable safeties, which would seem to spell trouble for opposing teams with an inexperienced QB. Que redshirt freshman Josh Jackson.
Tennessee @ Ga Tech (+3) (n) Ga Tech had more 4 Star recruits this year than in the last 4 or 5 years combined. Positive trajectory. Tennessee meanwhile loses a boatload of talent this year, which should make life difficult for Butch Davis at the onset.
Week 1 NCAAF
Mostly underdogs. I wasnt going to touch the Nevada/Northwestern O/U but it has gone up something like 9 points since it opened.
Bowling Green +17 @ Mich St Spartys in jail
Wyoming +12 @ Iowa Josh Allen introduced to America
California +13 @ UNC Cal’s offense is based on creating one-on-one match-ups. It apparently thrives in some cases but fails miserably when the opposing D has skill players that win individual battles. UNC’s defense is supposed to be improved but we are banking on them still being a lower tier D
Troy +9.5 @ Boise St According to RotoWorld, Troy “houses one of the most prolific offenses in the Group of 5 behind QB Brandon Silvers and RB Jordan Chunn.” RoWo adds the offense has “as much stability as any in the nation.”
Ga Southern @ Auburn -33.5 Auburn’s Nat’l Champ odds have gone from roughly 50:1 to 20:1 in recent weeks
Arkansas St +14.5 @ Nebraska DE Rolland-Jones goes to town as Nebraska’s weak WR corp fails to get open in time
Vandy @ MTSU +3.5 Excellent WR corp wins against Mason’s very capable D.
Nevada @ Northwestern Under 61
