NFL Week 11
Arizona -3.5 (-120)
This is now at -5. The Raiders suck. Bet against them every week.
Panthers -4.5
Detroit also sucks.
Philly at New Orleans Under 57.5 (-110)
The Eagles have only scored more than 24 pts once this year.
Jacksonville +6
Steelers on fire but Big Ben on the road usually has issues covering big spreads.
TEASER (+140):
New Orleans Saints -9
Los Angeles Chargers -7
Tennessee Titans +3
DFS:
CFL PLAYOFF BONUS:
Calgary -4.5 (-110)
NFL Week 10
Kansas City -17 (EVEN)
Detroit +7 (-115)
Washington at Tampa Bay Over 51
TEASER (+140):
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5
New England Patriots -7
Kansas City Chiefs -17
I’m also gonna keep an eye on the Buffalo vs NY Jets live lines only if Nathan Peterman starts and somehow gets a 3 or 6 pt lead or something and get the Jets down past the -7 they are currently because they aren’t playing that well either. Bet against Nathan Peterman every week you can, it won’t last #freemoney!
DFS:
NCAA:
Florida State +16.5 (-110)
Week 9 NFL
NFL
Packers at Patriots Over 56.5 (-120)
Rams at New Orleans Under 60 (-110)
KC Chiefs -9
TEASER +150:
Minnesota Vikings -5
Carolina Panthers -6.5
Kansas City Chiefs -9
DFS:
NCAA:
Northwestern +10 (-110)
TCU at Kansas State Under 46 (-115)
Premier League:
Tottenham -0.5 (+120)
NFL Week 8
Indianapolis -3 (-105)
The Raiders suck. Bet against them every week.
Jets +9
The Bears will keep them around; both teams are banged up.
TEASER +140:
Los Angeles Rams -9 (-280)
New Orleans Saints +1.5 (-280)
Pittsburgh Steelers -8 (-280)
DFS:
Week 7 NFL
Jacksonville -4 (-105)
They are going to be mad this week at home after 2 frustrating losses. Houston sucks and DeShaun Watson has been sacked the most out of any QB this year.
Indianapolis -7 (-105)
I will take Luck over Anderson. Maybe he gets hurt and we see the Nathan Peterman experience again! BTW he has still had the case of the bad turnover…but Luck has played pretty well this year, considering who he is throwing to.
Browns at Bucs Over 53 (-110)
Ravens vs Saints Under 49 (-110)
Parlay (+207):
Kansas City Chiefs ML (-265)
Los Angeles Rams ML (-500)
Jacksonville Jaguars ML (-230)
Indianapolis Colts ML (-340)
TEASER (+150):
Indianapolis Colts -7
Jacksonville Jaguars -4
Kansas City Chiefs -7
DFS:
Game 6 Trend
Milwaukee ML EVEN
The Brewers come home for a Game 6 tonight down 3-2 with Wade Miley on the mound. The only real concern for me is that he was taken out after 5 pitches LAST GAME…it makes for the first time in 88 years a pitcher started back to back games.
I love taking this spot, a Game 6 team coming home down 3-2. They usually play their best game because the goal is to force the end all Game 7 (where the home team usually loses to, in my view, due to the adrenaline dump from Game 6). I have been doing this bet since the 2006 Mets, where Tom Glavine pitched a gem to force a Game 7 (which the Mets lost 1-0). It’s been consistent for me ever since, and I will stay the course tonight.
Thirsty Thursday
MLB:
Boston at Houston Over 8 (EVEN)
NHL:
Bruins -125
NBA:
Lakers ML +125
Also probably big baseball bet tomorrow as we get a team down 3-2 going home in a Game 6 (a bet that has done me well over the years)
NFL Week 6
Arizona at Minnesota Over 44
Miami +3.5 (-110)
The Dolphins have struggled, and shitted away a game last week with 2 TOs for TDs in the 4th. The Bears are coming off a 45 point week but also a bye and they let teams on the road hang around, as young teams do.
Seattle -3 (+105)
Game in London. It’s at plus odds, the Raiders suck, and we have the Seattle season under. So why not.
TEASER (+140):
Carolina +1
LA Rams -7
Browns +1.5
DFS:
Bellator BONUS:
Yes (Fight goes the distance) (+180)
Fedor Emelianenko vs Chael Sonnen
Week 5 NFL and UFC 229
Arizona at SF Over 40 (-115)
These teams will fail upward to 40 points somehow.
Chiefs vs Jaguars Over 49 (-105)
I will also take a “Will Pat Mahomes throw an INT? – Yes” prop as he is due with 15 TDs, no INT so far this year. He’s pretty much a lock for MVP, barring injury.
Raiders at Chargers Over 53 (-105)
The lack of defense in this game will be played to Benny Hill music.
TEASER @ +150:
Chargers -5
Rams -7.5
Panthers -6.5
UFC BONUS:
Tonya Evinger +135
McGregor +155
Week 4 NFL
Miami +7 (-120)
The Pats are reeling right now. This kinda reminds me of 2002 when the team, coming off a Super Bowl, didn’t make enough additions in the offseason to offset the players who left as well as the weaknesses of the team that existed even in a Super Bowl year. The Pats as of right now only have 5 active WR on the roster: 1 is decent (Hogan), two of them are Special teams guys (Patterson/Slater), and the other two are super talented but unreliable and hurt (Gordon and Dorsett). Maybe they should of overpaid Amendola like Miami did. Gronk is getting triple teamed because of this and he’s frustrated. Brady has almost no one to throw to, and he’s pissed at the coach, who the fans in NE are starting to question more than at any time of his 18+ year tenure here. 6 out of the 8 guys they drafted are on IR, including the best of the bunch LB Ja’Whaun Bentley. They’ve lost two RBs to IR that were going to play a big role in the run game (Hill and Burkhead). Sony Michel might also suck. The defense still sucks; we paid Adrian Clayborn and Danny Shelton all this money and they have 3 tackles between them through 3 games. Maybe things stabilize when Edelman comes back and Gordon gets up to speed on the offensive side, but defensively this might be the worst team Belichick has had since 2006. This line is too high; Pats still might win at home and Miami might not be as good as their 3-0 record suggests considering they haven’t played a top team yet, but I don’t think the Patriots are seven points better than anyone right now.
Titans +3.5 (-110)
Former Patriot HC Mike Vrabel has done a good job managing the game flow for the Titans; the improvement over Mularkey (who clearly DGAF) shows. Vrabel also gives his team Tuesdays off if they win (I love these videos). The Titans win games ugly but they do so through excellent tackling, not turning the ball over, little penalties, and good special teams. When you win a game after QB Blaine Gabbert throws for 133 yards, the coaching staff is doing THEIR part. Philly is 2-1 but they have struggled in each game, and Carson Wentz still is in “preseason warmup” mode. Titans are probably a Wild Card team in the AFC, taking over the spot from the woeful Texans.
Jacksonville -7.5 (-110)
Sam Darnold is a promising QB, and the Jets are an OK team, but he’s going into the Jaguars den against the most intimidating front 7 in the NFL. Bortles putting enough points on the board is always a concern for a cover, but the Jags might get a defensive TD or two in this one as Darnold likes to take too many chances, something he has to improve on if he wants to become a consistently winning franchise QB, as supposed to a decent one.
Browns +3.5
This started at EVEN; all the money is going on the Raiders and I have no idea why (minus them being a public team). The Browns have the #1 defense. It’s Mayfield’s first start but he does it against a team with no pass rush and is the worst in the league in TO ratio.
SF at LA Chargers Over 46 (-110)
TEASER @ +150:
Houston +1
Jacksonville -7.5
Miami +7
DFS:
Bellator 206 BONUS:
Rampage Jackson vs Wanderlei Silva – Fight Goes to Distance – Yes @ +155
