Category: Soccer
World Cup This Weekend
Like Lou, I am also hedging a result on Sunday except it is for Argentina to WIN (+140 and +240) as I have them 11/2 to finish second before the tournament. I will also make a small play on the draw at +230.
I will say if I had no horse in this matter, I would love Germany here. They are playing fantastic. This game is a big moment for Messi; he leapfrogs Pele as “greatest footballer ever” with a win here (he’s already the best CLUB player of all time, IMO).
For today’s game, Brazil v Netherlands, I like the over at +3 at +115.
Since 1978, every World Cup Third-place match has had at least 3 goals with an average of 4.22 goals per game.
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) July 11, 2014
Also, for those curious what the NBA futures are now after yesterdays news (how did I not make a small play on the Cavs when season ended in case this happened?)
Current NBA Futures (via 5Dimes)#Cavs +425#Spurs +500#Thunder +650#Rockets +700#Bulls +800#Clippers +1100#Pacers +1900#Heat +4000
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) July 11, 2014
Tuesday
Arizona was an easy winner in the baseball game we did not take last night. I honestly was tired when I got home and forgot about it. Brazil to advance today -104. Baseball later.
“Ole, Ole”? More like, “Parlay, Parlay!”
3-0 on the picks posted here last night; and I also had a fun hedge profit situation as before the Chile-Brazil game I took 2-1 result with Alexis Sanchez scoring at 100-to-1. He scored in the 31st to tie the game at 1, and I immediately hedged the 1-1 result (+425), the draw in the first half (+325) and second (+135) halves in live betting for a 70% ROI. Not bad.
We continue the degeneracy today as I am taking the Netherlands (EVEN), Costa Rica (+155) and putting both in a parlay (+250). Let’s hope Holland can win the first leg so I can hedge again, as I have always wanted to say, “Welp, it looks like I need to put money on the Greeks in the second game”, and not poop myself afterwards in fear.
Good luck today.
Saturday
Apologies for the lack of posts the past few days. Real life intruding again. No baseball plays for Thursday or Friday. 22-17 +6.41 as we approach July which is pretty acceptable. For World Cup, I am very tempted to go all underdog this weekend and take Chile, Uruguay, Mexico and Greece but I still do not have the public data & line movement info for soccer that I need to be at all confident getting a solid play in. I did hit on both England and France in the group stage, failing to advance and winning respectively, so I am 2-0 +2.41 there.
Baseball updates today, if any, to be posted here.
UPDATE: Braves (Halle) @ Phillies (O’Sullivan) +110
Saturday Plays
World Cup:
Luis Suarez has a future in corporate PR:
Luis Suarez says bite not intended, claims he lost balance & hit face on player causing 'a strong pain in my teeth' http://t.co/wblF4WLHsn
— Zeninjor Enwemeka (@Zeninjor) June 28, 2014
Columbia -105
UFC:
Clint Hester +105
Cub Swanson/Jeremy Stephens Over 4 Rounds EVEN
World Cup Today
Interesting intel here from Twellman about today’s game in Recife:
There is no chance that this rain storm hasn't water logged the field. Problem is nobody knows because not a single soul can get there.
— Taylor Twellman (@TaylorTwellman) June 26, 2014
I have since taken the under 2.5 at +110, and also the draw at +210 and two results: Germany 1-0 at (13-2) and the Draw at 1-1 (4-1)
Also as a side note, the Russia-Algeria game was my pre-tourney pick of “game most likely to be fixed” – but these teams actually play for something today! Also have been mildly impressed by Algeria, and have taken them at +220.
We’ll end with Pat Darts’ fav twitter account:
https://twitter.com/DidMetsLose2Day/status/481984779181502464
Wednesday
It is my hope that this World Cup educates Americans as to why draws (aka ties) are a suitable result for a low scoring game. The US draw against Portugal was gut-wrenchingly awful, yet the same result against Germany would be a definite success. Smart money is staying away from the early games tomorrow. I am 2-0 this World Cup with Argentina still alive. No baseball today as the line move on the Cubs did not go our way.
WC today
Honduras +1 at +130 and Under 2.5 +130 (v Swiss)
Iran/Bosnia Over 2.5 +150
Dzeko to score +110
Tuesday
Just brilliant with the biting winner and Colombia/Uruguay should be an excellent matchup. Easy winner in baseball last night. Long may it continue. Oakland (Kazmir) @ Mets (Colon) +117
1-0 for the World Cup as England did not advance. Kudos to anyone who had Costa Rica winning the group.
Bet of the year
And no, it’s not Ivory Coast -115 (which I like today)
It’s this below:
https://twitter.com/90thMin/status/481508698679148544
