Miracle Covers

EURO 2016 Preview

Winner:

Germany +450

Germany’s talent is the best across the board, and they are relatively fit. They are coming off the World Cup win in Brazil and this tournament is a start of the last generation of players from that team like Mueller, Neuer, etc.

Belgium +900

Belgium was the #1 ranked team in FIFA at one point, and they also have a ton of young and up and coming talent that will be a force. There only weakness to me is at the wingbacks position. They are strong every where else and at +900 for a top 5 team in the world, it’s good value IMO.

Single bets:

Wales Points Over 3.5 (-105)

Wales was impressive in the qualifying round, and Bale was the second best player during those games (behind Poland’s Lewandowski). They also drew a good group and have winnable games versus Russia and Slovakia.

Group B Prop – 1. England 2. Wales +350

I think they both get out of their group in this order. This could be England’s year (+800 to win it all)to finally make a push with all of the exciting young talent they have. Their manager Roy Hodgson, who is known as conservative, is playing a 4-3-3…even he knows he has good talent this year. Also good news for England: the group stage does not have penalty shootouts.

Group E Winner: Belgium -105

Their group: Italy (who is in a turnover year), Ireland (I love the lads, but they have looked like shit in the friendlies leading up to EURO2016. Roy Keane wanted to kill the players after losing in a friendly to Belarus.), and Sweden (who is the wild card in this group; it all depends if Zlatan can turn on the throwback beast mode).

Group C Prop: 1. Germany 2. Poland +135

Germany to Reach the Final +175

My final four: Germany, England, Belgium, and Poland.

Top Goalscorer – Robert Lewandowski +1400

Poland was the best “in form” team during its qualifiers. Lewandowski averaged a goal a game during those prelims (the only other player to do so was Bale).

Lou’s plays:

Adding these as Lou just had a kid and hasn’t had time to post. I’m also taking on of his leans on Italy as well:

Italy to NOT make it out of the Group Stage +400

Austria 40-1 to win it all

Copa America Tuesday

Costa Rica 0.5 (+120)

Only 38% of the public is on Costa Rica, a team that always gives the US trouble. The US is having its own issues right now with form and Klinsmann might be out the door if they don’t win/draw a match in this group.

PARLAY (+700): Costa Rica/USA Draw (+415) and Colombia (-125)

Euro pre-tournament leans to come later in the week.

Soccer Saturday

Sheffield Wednesday +230

Real Madrid/Atletico Under 2 (+105)

EPL Sunday

2-0 for Man City Overs…usually want 2.5 but we’ll take the Over 3 today at +105 vs Everton.

EPL Sunday

1-0 on Man City Overs so far…..getting on the pony again today with Over 2.5 @ +105

I know Mourinho is playing back for Chelsea on the road, but Man City’s defense is so bad they still might find a goal.

Soccer Leans 8.14

Man U @ Aston Villa Under 2.5 (-140)

Putting in +300 parlay with

FCB v Ath Bilbao Over 3 (-110)

Here’s a sweet Scorpion Kick to go into the weekend:

VIDEO: We might have the goal of the year already in this filthy scorpion kick http://t.co/GGbHT7PRg5 pic.twitter.com/3m3Bnz7gSg

— Deadspin (@Deadspin) August 14, 2015

Just a quickie

Slightly random bet here that I am probably putting about 25% too much on.

Di Maria to score today – Yes (+260) @ 16

Special thanks go out to my Irish brothers at Paddy Power (!) for the line.