Category: NFL
Monday
Another winning day yesterday as only Washington was a loser. That’s two weeks in a row they have come up as a play and completely stunk. I’m honestly not sure how I will handle them if they come up as a play again in the next week or two. Houston was also an easy cover yesterday and they probably should have won outright. Atlanta required some incompetence by Buffalo but were a good play getting 4 or more points.
I hope someone has been following the hockey plays I have been listing as they’re now 7 for the last 8 and well up on the season.
Nothing in any sports tonight. Updates on lots of things in the morning.
NFL
Nothing clever here. Love faves this week. Am making an 80 bet to win 72 on all fave lines minus G-Men. In addition, all bets here @ 20
Miami @ Jets -1 -110
Chicago @ Vikings -1 105
Parlay MLs Panthers -305 Pats -285 Browns -315
Cards @ Eagles -3.5 +100
Dolphins/Jets Over 39.5 -110
Parlay MLs Colts -180 Bills -25
Sunday
Mixed day yesterday as both hoops sides were winners, Eastern Illinois by a single point and Harvard by a lot. One the Texas A&M total, it turned out to be a bad line as it should have been 138.5 instead of 128.5 and was quickly corrected after I placed by action. It didn’t matter as the teams only combined for 107. Kentucky was an easy loser in football and I’m back to a slight negative there after a good run.
NFL today had two games worth noting, only one of which is any good at the moment. Houston is hosting New England today and were anywhere from +9.5 to +7.5 underdogs. That’s now moved to 7 or even 6.5, removing the Texans as a play today :( The other notable game is Atlanta +4 “at” Buffalo as the game is being played in Toronto. I am on Atlanta for a small (half) play. Lastly, the night game tonight is the Giants @ Washington. Not sure yet if that will amount to anything, but if so Washington is the side to be on there.
NHL: Nothing yesterday but one game very likely today and that’s Edmonton +150. Gametime is 6:00 Eastern so I’ll confirm that later.
NCAA: No totals yet as they tend to get released late. One side today, Siena +10.5
Good luck today.
UPDATES: Added Atlanta +4.5 to make for a full bet and confirming Edmonton +150
UPDATE 2: Washington to win -105
Week 13 Quick Slants
UFC:
Nate Diaz +105
NFL:
Teasers: NE -9 and Over 47 at HOU; Atlanta +3.5 and Over 48 at BUF
Jacksonville +7 (even) also will throw this in teaser with Under 40.5 vs Cleveland
49ers -7 vs St. Louis
Our bet of the week comes from the WagerMinds twitter:
A $100 parlay on Auburn and Penn State to win outright would have paid $8,056. Sadly, no one on earth bet it.
— WagerMinds (@WagerMinds) December 1, 2013
Gobble Gobble; Gamble, Gamble
Tomorrow is a day of thanks, where millions across the country will be thanking many countless football players that they’ve never met for helping them win money for XMAS gifts this year.
I also thank the gambling gods to give me 3 reasons to watch these games tomorrow (because some of the talent on the field sure won’t). All of these teams are pretty darn flawed.
GB +7 (-120) at Detroit
Detroit is an undisciplined mess but supremely talented. The Packers also know they need to win this game to get it back to Aaron Rodgers for a chance to win the division/wild card down the stretch, despite having Matt Flynn at QB. It will be a close division game and I am sure someone on Detroit’s defense will at some point be called for an unsportsmanlike penalty call.
Pittsburgh/Ravens Under 41 (-110)
Big game for both teams, with the loser being out for a chance for the craptastic 6th seed in the AFC (which is +250 that team will have 9 or more wins).
I can win a division in fantasy football this week with a 6-7 record, so it’s not like *I* should talk.
Its going to be very windy and cold and raw at night in Baltimore, and these games are traditionally low scoring and close. Add to the fact that Joe Flacco is the most useless overpaid WR in the league, this game should be a yawner (until the 4th).
Parlay: GB +7, PIT/BAL U 41, OAK/DAL O 47 (2 units to win 20)
It’s the holidays, why not!?
Happy Thanksgiving and safe holiday travels everybody!
Monday Funday
Great job by Sean and Pat here over the weekend. Great picks by both and a healthy profit was had by all. I sat out most of the day, losing the teaser be but winning some Zimbabwean dollars on a hoops “play.” More action this evening so let’s get to it…
NHL: Columbus +166
NCAA Hoops: Wyoming/Ohio State UNDER 131.5
Minnesota/Syracuse UNDER 143
NFL game tonight is San Francisco @ Washington +4.5. San Francisco is a west coast team playing on the east coast as a favorite with the public 79% on their side. They are also a top 5 play in the Hilton contest, and while those picks are 4-0 this week, it only puts them up to 19-32-2 for the season. Washington +4.5 is the play here.
Will update stats tomorrow.
NFL Sunday
I am largely passing on today’s slate of NFL games as there’s nothing that really stands out. Lots of games are 50/50 as far as public betting numbers. The two teams that were the closest to being bets for me are San Diego and the Jets, but I can only find 4 on the latter and the Chargers line has moved from +5 to +3.5 so that is an automatic pass as I don’t play follow NFL line moves of over a point.
I do have a garbage line teaser today and that’s Chicago and Pittsburgh both +8.5. They are both +1 on Pinnacle.
Yesterday had college football plays go 2-1 as LSU and San Diego State covered fairly easily with Arkansas losing in OT. Hockey plays were 1-1 with Ottawa winning 4-2 and Dallas losing heavily 6-1. Nothing in hockey or college football today.
Lastly, one college hoops play as I don’t see anything on the totals. Please don’t bet these or take the other side as I’m 0 for the season so far. Northeastern +12
Drunken Promises
Both Sean and I were winners last week, boldly picking the Raiders on the road. Fortune favored this brave pick, and we were rewarded with a cover. While watching the game, we patted each other on the back, saying “I mean, who thinks the Texans are 10 points better than anyone?” “I know right, you have to bet against them at that line against anyone, I’d do it if they were playing Jacksonville for Chrissake!” “No brainer,” said I, swigging from a 40. “Let’s do a shot.” Fast forward to this week, where lo and be-motherfuckin-hold who should the Texans be playing? Fantastic. As if betting Oakland wasn’t proof enough of mental instability, we now get to bet on the Jaguars. Where’s that 40 at? All of these plays are @ 19.
Jacksonville +10.5 -109 @ Houston
Jets @ Ravens Under 38.5 -113
Bears @ Rams Over 46.5 -102
Meanwhile the lines are going a bit bizzerk. I was all prepared to bet Tampa and the Chargers who have both dropped like 2 points in the last couple hours…
Cowboys @ Giants -2.5 -115
Steelers @ Browns ML -134
Colts @ Cards -3 -116
Broncos @ Patriots ML +111
7 Pt Teaser making the lines Tampa +14.5 Chargers +10.5 Jets +11.5
“The Raiders….on offense!”
Gotta hand it to the rookie Matt McGloin (Penn State) on the road last week coming up with the win. He looked very good, and the fact Penn State runs a pro offense helps. hell, the Raiders even scored touchdowns……on offense (despite missing all of his weapons)! We like him getting a point at home to the Titans (even) this Sunday.
I also like Jacksonville +10 (-115) in Houston. They’ve covered the number the last few weeks, and this bet is more of a moratorium on the fact that Houston, I don’t think, is ten points better than ANYBODY right now.
Baltimore -3.5 (-110) vs NY Jets – I’m not enthused taking the Ravens with juice here, but the Jets on the road have just been SO bad. Having a rookie QB doesn’t help, and Anthony Allen might miss this game as well and that’s huge because Rex Ryan’s blitzing, aggressive scheme relies on a roaming, instinctive, athletic safety. They just signed Ed Reed, but he only has 2 out of the 3 left there. Also teasing this with the under at 39.
Giants/Cowboys Over 45 (-110) – Watching missed tackles is kind of fun. I get to do it every week as a Pats fan. If we could only get the Tecmo Bowl music:
Thursday
Yesterday’s total was a winner in a contender for most boring college game of the season. Our fake play lost again and I think I’ll stop posting them at this point. No plays in hoops today. One football game in college, UAB +17.5. In NFL, I missed out yesterday and the line has now moved back to where it started to NO -7 or 7.5, so I am on the wrong side of this one.
Also nothing in hockey for those who are following there.
UPDATE: I am hedged out onto Atlanta +8
