Category: NFL

Thursday Night Degeneracy

Ponder is starting tonight for the Vikes, so therefore I *must* take Green Bay -10 (-105) at home.  I am also putting them in a teaser with the under at 47 (also a hedge with Matt Asiata, who I have in 2 fantasy leagues).

We’ll continue the MLB binge with taking the Angels at -1.5 at +115 at home versus the Royals and putting them and Green Bay in a parlay at +410. 

Huge split for the Angels spread bet but I think betting against Ned Yost could be a profitable strategy for us:

 

 

NFL Week 4

Chicago +2 (-110)

Green Bay might be a bad team.  I hate betting on Jay Cutler but I’ll take the point when they are at home here.  Plus it looks like Marshall is playing.  This line has gone back ands forth from +1 to +2 all week.

Baltimore -3 (-120)

The Panthers are banged up and might only have 2 RBs available today.   Cam Newton has been walking around like he’s in a nursing home due to a bad back.  And it’s also Steve Smith III revenge day; also taking two props on him hitting the Over in Rec Yards at 69.5 and score a TD at +130.

Steelers -9 (+115) and Teaser: PIT -9 and Under 44.5

TB is the worst team in the league, and the Steelers can run the ball again for the first time since 2009.

Teaser: Dallas +3 and Over 54.5

This is an important game for both teams; its SNF which usually means a lot of points.  More betting on the type of game here, close and high scoring, than on Dallas itself.

I’m also really tempted to take the Raiders ML +155 in London vs the DolphinsTannenhill’s last presser where he addressed his job made him sound like a used car salesman, just like his coach.

Here are your most bet on games of the day:

Week 4

A lost week for me.  Last Sunday was painful, I was and still am convinced I was on the “right” side with St. Louis and Minnesota last week but ended up with a pair of close losses in both cases.  I also missed a couple of profitable plays in baseball being too caught up with work.  Baseball ends today with no notable games as the betting drops off significantly in September.  NFL with this bye week has not a whole lot looking good either.  One one game I have today and it Minnesota +3 +110 or +3.5 -105 hosting Atlanta.  This will be a 2u game for me.

Any updates to be posted as we go along.  Hockey starts soon, thankfully.

Thursday Night Football

WAS v NYG Over 45.5

Week 3

My Week 2 sucked; here’s to a rebound (although I’ve had a good week thereafter the disaster on Sunday):

Dallas -1.5

Yes, I am sucker.  But the Rams’ Shaun Hill might play instead of Austin Davis; which is funny because the line probably got suspended due to the fact the Cowboys become bigger FAVORITES if he plays lol

I thought the Rams might be the worst team in the NFL; but nope, that’s is Tampa Bay.  The Bucs should be relegated for the uniforms alone.  Then this happens:

Baltimore Pick (-105)

Got this at a pick’em on Monday; it’s now -2.  Ravens coming off of a long week layoff, and I can’t resist anytime to bet against Mike Pettine (although the “short Saints on the road” might be the bet of the year).  The Saints might be fraudulent, alot like this dive by an Army player:

https://twitter.com/SportsCenter/status/513702676564307969

Seattle -5

They are at home, coming off a loss, and keep murdering teams in that building.

Vikings/Saints Over 49

Now at 50.  I’m putting this in a 4 team teaser too:

TEASER: +375

NO/MIN OVER 49

Seattle -5

GB +1

IND -1

On a last note; make sure when YOU score a goal, to hug a loved one right after, yellow card be damned:

 

Sunday

Cubs were an 8-7 winner yesterday coming all the way back from 7-1 down in the late innings for a miracle cover.  Not much doing in baseball today. Two NFL plays this morning:

Dallas @ St. Louis +1 -103

Minnesota +10.5 -117 @ New Orleans

 

EDIT: Found a baseball game Miami +145

 

Latw NFLArizona +3

TNF

I like Atlanta -7 tonight.   TB might be worse than the Rams.

 

 

Thursday

Nothing doing tonight in either MLB of NFL.  Tampa at 6.5 +100 is tempting but still a pass.  Nothing remotely close in baseball.  I do like the over 46 if anyone can find it.

NFL Week 2

JAX +6 (-115)

Me and Lou will keep hitting that “DO NOT PASS” line

NYG -3 (+110)

Yes, I am a sucker

SF -7

I made the mistake betting on Jay Cutler in a teaser last week.  I will not this week.  Also a hedge with my season under 49ers bet.  Also:

TB -6 (+110)

#gamblingadvisoryalert on St. Louis.  We might have to bet against them every week until they figure things out.  Probably worst team in the league, I have friend who has them at 50-1 to be worst record, THAT’S looking good.  The main problem? QB.  When they lost Bradford, they lost “1 of 64” meaning one of the top starter or backup QBs in the NFL.  Now?  I am not sure they have 1-of-108.

TEASER:

NO -7

GB -8

ATL +5

+275

and

JAX +6

SF -1

PHI/IND OVER 54

+275

 

NFL Plays

Brutal day yesterday.  Back to the drawing board this week.  Side note, the Renaissance may be upon Manchester United after a brief Dark Ages.  They are in the process of man-handling QPR and although this isn’t necessarily proof of anything, the vibes seem overly positive.  Interesting to watch moving forward.  We’ll go back to bets @ 17, I clearly don’t understand 16 plays

Falcons @ Bengals Over 48.5 -108

Cowboys @ Titans -3 -119

Texans -3 -123 @ Raiders
Possibly more to follow based on how thirsty I am over the next few hours.