Category: NFL
Saturday
I assume most or none of you care that our Alberta leans were 0-2 yesterday. Sean is correct about today’s games, we are staying on the Islanders as they are only slightly inferior to the Penguins. Islanders +140 @ Pittsburgh. Colorado +140 is a lean at Montreal. NFL late tonight or early in the morning.
UPDATE: An NFL play for tomorrow Cincinnati +3 +105 @ Indy
Leans
I like the Oilers +165 tonight at Arizona (they lost 7-4 #meh….but the fucking Oilers scored 4 goals! That should win me something in principle!).
Also a weather alert: the under in tomorrow’s NE vs NYJ game at 44.5 AND 45 (it is going to be raining with high winds expected all game; also the Pats are missing 3 OL and their starting RB, and the Jets are the Jets). A teaser with NE -10 might be in order as well.
Interesting action on the O/U line tonight:
Despite 63% of bettors taking the over, the #Jets #Patriots total has dropped from 47 to 44.http://t.co/Ba8mkeUapZ
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 16, 2014
Miracle Cover Sunday
If you ever read a story with the words, “Floyd Mayweather did well,” combined with, “Vegas bookmakers lost…” it probably holds true that Lou also lost money on the same events.
Two last-second interceptions returned for touchdowns by the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals delivered million-dollar blows to Las Vegas sports books, including a $600,000 hit from boxing champ Floyd Mayweather Jr.
I was lamenting ending up with a poor line for both the Jets and Washington, but it didn’t make a difference in the end. I shrugged my shoulders at the Geno Smith INT in the early games, but was a bit flustered after INT #2 in the afternoon, especially as I thought Arizona had run out the clock. I also think I saw a 23-20 final posted at some point. I’m reminded of the day 4-5 years ago when I refused to let Sean & Pat leave the bar with the Lions down 10 (but covering) in Seattle with under a minute to play and no other games to be found because “I was sweating a Matt Stafford Pick-Six.” He promptly threw said interception two plays later and I went home winless that day too.
And it was a miracle cover.
Four games in hockey including Avs-Bruins which has already started. No plays out of the bunch. Kansas City might be playable in baseball but it’s far too early to tell and will be close if it turns out to be good. Rams are the side to be on tonight at home to San Francisco and I’ll update if I end up taking them.
UPDATE: 49ers @ Rams +4 -115 Good price and a good line, we’ll see if the result works out.
Sunday
1-1 on our hockey plays yesterday pushing us to 1-3 for the season. Ottawa was a winner in the shootout, but Winnipeg was never in the game versus San Jose losing 3-0. Our initial NFL experiment was a failure with both the Redskins and Jets lines moving in the opposite direction, but that’s probably just an indication I picked the wrong teams this week. Nothing doing on either NHL game later today.
Saturday
Our leaner in Carolina last night was nowhere near good. Carolina as Pat mentioned is not a very good team right now. A couple of options tonight that I’m waffling on are Winnipeg and Ottawa at San Jose and Tampa respectively. I’ll also likely get NFL plays posted up tonight in an effort to get ahead of the ridiculous Sunday morning line movement that’s been happening the past few weeks.
UPDATE: Ottawa +160 @ Tampa
NFL for tomorrow:
Thursday Night Degeneracy
Continuing with the “favorite on TNF” theme, taking Colts -3 (settled at -3.5, started at -2.5) +105. Luck is 12-2 in career vs division opponents.
Also taking first NHL play of the year with Winnipeg +120 vs the Arizona Coyotes (wha?). The only time you’ll hear me say: Let’s go Jets!
MNF
Taking the Washington team +7.5 tonight vs Seattle. This is partly a hedge with my under bet with them.
Also hedging against VT in fantasy football as I am up vs his last player, Steven Hauschka, Seattle’s kicker. The Over for 2 Seattle FGs is -110
In his #Seahawks career, Pete Carroll has gone 14-5 ATS as a home favorite but only 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) October 6, 2014
NFL Week 5
BAL +3.5
DEN -7.5
CHI v CAR UNDER 46.5
NO v TB OVER 48
Also, Philly’s line is down to 4.5 at some books. I’d take at -4.5 but not at -6.
Teasers:
PHI -6
SF -6
DEN -7.5
and
PIT -7
CHI v CAR UNDER 46.5
NO v TB OVER 48
And a ML parlay for fun:
And here are your most bet on games of the day:
Most popular NFL parlays:#Eagles 90%#Steelers 89%#Chargers 84%#Saints 81%#Lions 78%
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 5, 2014
Most bet NFL games:
1. Bengals-Patriots
2. Jets-Chargers
3. Cardinals-Broncos
4. Bills-Lions— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 5, 2014
NFL Sunday
A lost week for me, I’ll get current season totals up in a bit. No NFL plays for me today, though I’m close on several, Tennessee, Carolina and Arizona the primary ones, but I will probably pass altogether.
