Miracle Covers

Week 13 NFL

New Orleans +7

I think this is a close game today; the Saints have been struggling but their offense plays way better at home, averaging a full 14 more points at home than on the road this season. Carolina has a great defense with the best corner of 2015 Josh Norman, the best LB core in all of football, and a decent (yet depth lacking) defensive line. A McCown threw 31-35 for over 300+ yards vs Carolina in Week 2, so I expect them to be able to move the ball and keep it close in the Superdome. Carolina wins by 3 however, IMO, so I don’t recommend the ML at +260…but if you *are* gonna take two MLs down the stretch vs the Panthers, this one as well as when they are at the Giants in Week 15 would be the ones.

BUF v HOU Under 41.5

I have no idea how points get scored today except for a McCoy run or a Hopkins long TD pass. Both of these defenses are pretty good and it’s cold in Buffalo. This is also a de-facto playoff game as the winner has an more of an inside track to one of the wild card spots.

Miami vs Baltimore Over 42.5

I’ve taken the Miami over the last 4 weeks and it has hit each time. Both of these “back fours” are pretty awful, and the offenses turn the ball over a lot creating defense score opportunities as well.

NY Giants +2 (-105)

Betting on Eli is so dangerous; it’s like eating Chipotle: sure it might be good…but you could also get e.Coli. Eli usually does the “good game/bad game” thing, and he had a shitty game at 1st place Washington last week (can’t believe I just typed that), but with Revis out, I expect a huge day from OBJ and a win over a pretty average-at-best Jets squad.

TEASER:

NE -9

NYG +2

Odds to make NFL playoffs

Chiefs -400
Colts -280
Steelers -140
Texans +135
Jets +180
Bills +260
Raiders +800
Jags +1400
Dolphins +1600

— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) December 6, 2015

Monday Night Football Math

Ravens +4 (-110)

Yes, the Ravens are down to their 3WR, their backup QB (Matt Schaub), and backup RB (Buck Allen). Their defense is injured. But they face the Browns, starting a McCown tonight because Johnny Manziel can’t layoff the sauce and are somehow giving 4 points despite this being a pick’em before Joe Flacco was declared out for the year. As bad as the Ravens have been, they’ve actually played 90% of their games with a score margin of less than 5 pts.

75% of the bets are on the Browns….that is insane. The Browns aren’t 2 points better than anybody right now (maybe Tennessee – they suck too), never mind 4. Someone will win this shit fest 13-10.

Looks like the underdogs are catching up to the favorites later in the year. The only team holding serve is Carolina.

NFL teams getting ≤35% of the bets this season have gone 42-29 ATS this season. (59.2%)

— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) November 30, 2015

Congrats to the Edmonton Eskimos for winning the Coupe Grey! I batted 80% on CFL this year (shoutout to buffaloholdem for some of these leans) and can’t wait for more rouges next year!

About to hand this bad boy out! #CFL #GreyCup pic.twitter.com/PRJdYTST2P

— CFL (@CFL) November 30, 2015

NFL Week 12

MIA vs NYJ Over 43.5

MIN +1.5

TEASER:

MIN +1.5

ARI -10

AND

TEASER: HOU -3 and Over 50

Totals and betting trends on Sunday's NFL games courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/9mK8CdMdpt

— Covers (@Covers) November 29, 2015

Happy Thanksgiving

DET v PHI Over 47

DAL +1

TEASER:

GB -8

ARI -10.5

NFL Week 11

TB +7 (-120)

KC v SD Over 45

TEASER:

CAR -7

ARI -5

Breakdown of the percentage of all point spread wagers (by total # of tickets) on Sunday's NFL games @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/UeBrgqcU94

— Covers (@Covers) November 22, 2015

CFL BONUS:

Redblacks -6

TNF

I am going to pick the Jags and their piss colored unis tonight at -3 (EVEN). THey have played well lately and Yeldon is cleared to play. A win by any of these teams tonight gets them back in the AFC South “race”. We could see another 7-9 division winner this year! Always makes playoff gambling more fun!

NFL Week 10

NO at WAS Under 50.5

WSH +1 (-115)

PIT -6 (EVEN) (Big Ben *is* playing today)

PHI v MIA Over 49.5 (no Brent Grimes for MIA)

TEASER:

BAL -6

PIT -5.5

Lou also likes DET +11….Megatron is playing today but man did Detroit look shitty two weeks ago. GB is playing shitty too but you’d expect a bounce back from Rodgers at some point. Both ML for JAX (+205) and TEN (+180) are tempting. The Jaguars haven’t won a road game in 714 days. The Titans have lost 9 consecutive home games.

Here's a look at totals and betting numbers on Sunday's NFL games courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/MgKxYGi8wN

— Covers (@Covers) November 15, 2015

NFL Week 9

BUF v MIA Over 44

Rams +1.5 and in TEASER with Under 41

This has been a top heavy season so far, but the dogs are coming back up:

A rise in NFL upsets has given life to road dogs of 6 or more points, which have gone 18-12-1 ATS (60%). Jags, Skins, Titans getting 6-plus.

— Jason Logan (@CoversJLo) November 8, 2015

TEASER:

NE -14

PIT -5.5