Category: NFL
Monday Night Football Math
Ravens +4 (-110)
Yes, the Ravens are down to their 3WR, their backup QB (Matt Schaub), and backup RB (Buck Allen). Their defense is injured. But they face the Browns, starting a McCown tonight because Johnny Manziel can’t layoff the sauce and are somehow giving 4 points despite this being a pick’em before Joe Flacco was declared out for the year. As bad as the Ravens have been, they’ve actually played 90% of their games with a score margin of less than 5 pts.
75% of the bets are on the Browns….that is insane. The Browns aren’t 2 points better than anybody right now (maybe Tennessee – they suck too), never mind 4. Someone will win this shit fest 13-10.
Looks like the underdogs are catching up to the favorites later in the year. The only team holding serve is Carolina.
NFL teams getting ≤35% of the bets this season have gone 42-29 ATS this season. (59.2%)
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) November 30, 2015
Congrats to the Edmonton Eskimos for winning the Coupe Grey! I batted 80% on CFL this year (shoutout to buffaloholdem for some of these leans) and can’t wait for more rouges next year!
About to hand this bad boy out! #CFL #GreyCup pic.twitter.com/PRJdYTST2P
— CFL (@CFL) November 30, 2015
NFL Week 12
MIA vs NYJ Over 43.5
MIN +1.5
TEASER:
MIN +1.5
CIN -10
ARI -10
AND
TEASER: HOU -3 and Over 50
Totals and betting trends on Sunday's NFL games courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/9mK8CdMdpt
— Covers (@Covers) November 29, 2015
NFL Week 11
TB +7 (-120)
StL +3 (-110)
MIA v DAL Over 46
KC v SD Over 45
TEASER:
CAR -7
NE -7.5
ARI -5
Breakdown of the percentage of all point spread wagers (by total # of tickets) on Sunday's NFL games @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/UeBrgqcU94
— Covers (@Covers) November 22, 2015
CFL BONUS:
Redblacks -6
TNF
I am going to pick the Jags and their piss colored unis tonight at -3 (EVEN). THey have played well lately and Yeldon is cleared to play. A win by any of these teams tonight gets them back in the AFC South “race”. We could see another 7-9 division winner this year! Always makes playoff gambling more fun!
NFL Week 10
NO at WAS Under 50.5
WSH +1 (-115)
PIT -6 (EVEN) (Big Ben *is* playing today)
PHI v MIA Over 49.5 (no Brent Grimes for MIA)
TEASER:
BAL -6
StL -7
PIT -5.5
Lou also likes DET +11….Megatron is playing today but man did Detroit look shitty two weeks ago. GB is playing shitty too but you’d expect a bounce back from Rodgers at some point. Both ML for JAX (+205) and TEN (+180) are tempting. The Jaguars haven’t won a road game in 714 days. The Titans have lost 9 consecutive home games.
Here's a look at totals and betting numbers on Sunday's NFL games courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/MgKxYGi8wN
— Covers (@Covers) November 15, 2015
NFL Week 9
BUF v MIA Over 44
NYG -3 (+115)
Rams +1.5 and in TEASER with Under 41
This has been a top heavy season so far, but the dogs are coming back up:
A rise in NFL upsets has given life to road dogs of 6 or more points, which have gone 18-12-1 ATS (60%). Jags, Skins, Titans getting 6-plus.
— Jason Logan (@CoversJLo) November 8, 2015
TEASER:
NE -14
NO -7.5
PIT -5.5
Thursday Night Leans
NHL:
BOS v WSH Over 5 (-125)
Basically anytime Tukka Rask is in goal, bet the over for the Bruins. He allowed 5 goals on 19 shots last game; that’s a goal for every 4th shot.
I, along with Lou, also like the Winnipeg Jets +105:
Islanders and Jets are our plays for this evening. Possibly Florida in the late game away to SJ
— Miracle Covers (@miraclecovers) November 5, 2015
NFL:
TEASER: CIN -12 AND Under 45.5
Let’s hope we find a goal today:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJq5rDKq7R8&feature=youtu.be
NFL Week 8
DET vs KC Over 45
MIN v CHI Over 43
CLE +6.5
McCown *is* playing today, and the public is HEAVY on ARI:
Cardinals are the most popular spread bet (82%), moneyline bet (78%), and parlay/teaser (91%) of the day: https://t.co/m8ZX71nzo2
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) November 1, 2015
TEASER:
STL -9
ATL -7
CAR -7
CFL Bonus:
MTL v SAS Over 44
Now here is your NFL Quiz of the Day:
https://twitter.com/Ethan_Booker/status/651206256682663937
Prop Bet 10.29
I found a prop for tonight: Danny Amendola Over catches 3.5 -130. He’s caught 9 balls the last two games for over 190 yards and 2 touchdowns. As long as Gronk/Edleman are healthy, he’ll get one on one vs some shitty 4th string CB and will take advantage, especially with Brady throwing like he is. Miami also pretty porous vs the pass, personnel wise, and due to injuries in the Pats’ OLine, I expect Brady to throw the ball early and often to beat the pass rush getting there tonight, so Amendola should get a lot of opportunities as the coverage will rotate vs Gronk/Edleman.
Here’s the action numbers on tonight’s game:
Here's a look at the action on the Dolphins-Patriots Thursday nighter courtesy @WilliamHillUS pic.twitter.com/aVQTymCHB5
— Covers (@Covers) October 29, 2015
Since 2003 the Patriots have gone 38-41 ATS when favored by at least 7.5-points. They're 89-49 ATS in all other games.
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 29, 2015
NHL Bonus:
CHI @ WIN Over 5 (-115)
