Category: NFL
Week 18 NFL
Las Vegas +7 (-117)
Chargers have nothing to play for, will be resting players. Also, Raiders have actually been pretty good ATS this year, despite sucking IRL.
MIN at DET UNDER 56.5 (-107)
Expect this to be played like a playoff game with #1 seed at stake.
Buffalo -3 (-129)
I bought the half point; if Pats win today, Mayo should be fired immediately after the game.
PARLAY +201: TB ML -1600, BUF ML -190, LV +7
PROPS: Reggie Gilliam Anytime TD +150; Quintin Morris Anytime TD+800; Kyler Murray Rushing Yards OVER 44 -121; Kyler Murray Anytime TD +110; Davante Adams Anytime TD +110; Mike Evans Receiving Yards Bands 91-100 +450 & 101-110 +600; Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards OVER 87 -114; Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards OVER 33 -118
DFS:
Week 17 NFL
New Orleans +2 (-110)
Should be a pick, overreaction to last week’s ass kicking to the Packers. The Raiders are in tank mode.
Titans at Jacksonville OVER 38 (-110)
These defenses stink.
NY Giants +7 (-106)
Yes the Giants suck but the Colts aren’t 7 point better than anybody right now.
TEASER +150: NO +2, PHI -7.5, GB +1
PARLAY +285: PHI ML -375, NO ML +107, BUF -600, TB -600
PROPS: Chig Okonkwo Receptions AT LEAST 5 +110; De’Von Achane Receptions AT LEAST 4 -122; Tank Bigsby AT LEAST 1 TD +210; Dorian Thompson-Robinson Rushing Yards OVER 30 -114; Malik Nabers Receiving Yards OVER 73 +119; Tyler Huntley Passing Yards UNDER 160.5 -114; James Cook ANYTIME TD -125
DFS:
NFL Week 16
Buffalo -14 (-109)
The Pats suck. Mayo needs to go. And McDermott loves sticking it to New England.
LA Rams -2.5 (-119)
The Jets stink. We have Rams +525 to win NFC West and it’s in sight.
DET at CHI UNDER 47.5 (-110)
Detroit is banged up, it’s gonna be cold and windy, and Chicago’s offense sucks. This one could be 31-3 or some shit.
TEN at IND OVER 42.5 (-110)
These offenses will help these defenses score. Plus everyone is going to try and get good film because most of these guys on both teams gonna be cut or traded next year.
PROPS: Malik Nabers Receptions AT LEAST 7 -124; Hunter Henry Receptions AT LEAST 5 +118; Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards OVER 48 -113; Patrick Taylor AT LEAST 1 Rushing TD -125; Bryce Young Passing Yards UNDER 215 -115; Dorian Thompson-Robinson Rushing Yards OVER 30 -114
DFS:
Week 15 NFL
New Orleans +7.5 (-109)
Saints have the backup QB Baener going, but Washington is a young team that keeps teams in games way too much.
Carolina -2.5 (-115)
Carolina has been playing well and have a chance against this shitty Cowboys team.
Indianapolis at Denver OVER 43.5 (-110)
Colts OVERs have hit 3 out of the last 4, and Denver’s secondary is a little banged up (which is why they gave up 441 to Jameis a few weeks ago).
TEASER +150: ARI -6, CIN -6, MIA +2.5
PROPS: James Conner AT LEAST 1 TD -200; De’Von Achane Receptions OVER 4.5 -112; DeMario Douglas Receptions OVER 4.5 +117; Khalil Shakir Receptions OVER 5.5 +114; Bo Nix Rushing Yards OVER 15.5 -110; Jayden Daniels Rushing Yards UNDER 40.5 -110
DFS:
Week 14 NFL
Miami -6 (-110)
The Jets stink, Breece Hall is out, the Jets say they will draft a QB next year which is news that will piss off Rodgers, and there are reports Davante Adams already wants to leave.
Jacksonville at Tennessee OVER 40.5 (-110)
These defenses stink. And the offenses are so careless with the ball, they may give their defenses TAINTs.
Cleveland +6 (-105)
Jameis will giveth and Jameis will taketh away. Plus Pittsburgh, outside of Kansas City (who has led by more than 17 points for only 11 minutes this year despite being 11-1!), plays close games every week.
TEASER +150: NO -5.5, TB -6.5, MIA -6
PROPS: Wilson + Winston AT LEAST 1 INT +200; Devon Achane Receptions OVER 4.5 -112; Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards OVER 53.5 -121; Dawson Knox AT LEAST 1 TD +200; Kyler Murray Rushing Yards OVER 26.5 -112; Brock Bowers Receptions OVER 7.5 +100
DFS:
Week 13 NFL
Minnesota -3.5 (-102)
Lack of depth catching up to Arizona.
Indianapolis at New England OVER 42.5 (-114)
This game will be all OVER the place.
Houston -3.5 (-105)
Texans struggling, but they have to beat this shitty Jaguars team, right?
Carolina +6.5 (-110)
They have been playing better as of late.
SF at BUF UNDER 44.5 -110
It’s gonna snow and SF is banged up
TEASER +150: SEA +1, BUF -6, WAS -6
PROPS: Hunter Henry Receptions AT LEAST 5 +110; Kirk Cousins AT LEAST 1 INT -112; Derrick Henry + Saquon Barkley AT LEAST 1 TD +110; Puka Nacua Receptions OVER 6.5 -107; Alec Pierce Receiving Yards AT LEAST 45 +112
DFS:
Pre-Thanksgiving Week NFL O/U Update
Update #2 on NFL Win Total O/U. Same deal as the first one, # in parenthesis is the live O/U. Color coding of green = good, red = poor, purple = steady. These are rounded a bit if there’s heavy juice…Gowin was the slim leader over JaPan in the first update but now that role has flipped. Van, Gowin and Darts are all virtually locked-in to at least 2 Ls where Pan only has 1. Pan, tho, has several teams whose final total would be considered a coin-flip at this point. There is a universe where everyone finishes 5-3..Happy Holidays.
VT | Gowin | Darts | JaPan |
Pats u4.5 (4.5) | Falcons o9.5 (9.5) | Broncos o5.5 (9.5) | Packers o9.5 (11.5) |
Chiefs o11.5 (14) | Cardinals o6.5 (9) | Cowboys u10.5 (6.5) | 49ers o11.5 (8) |
Dolphins o9.5 (8) | Giants u6.5 (3.5) | Bills u10.5 (13) | Bengals u10.5 (8) |
Commanders o6.5 (10) | Steelers u8.5 (11) | Titans o6.5 (5.5) | Rams o8.5 (8) |
Jags o8.5 (4) | Colts u8.5 (8) | Jets o9.5 (5.5) | Browns u8.5 (4.5) |
Vikings u6.5 (12) | Lions o10.5 (14) | Raiders o6.5 (4) | Seahawks o7.5 (9) |
Panthers u5.5 (4.5) | Ravens o10.5 (11.5) | Bucs o8.5 (9) | Saints u7.5 (7) |
Eagles o10.5 (13.5) | Bears o8.5 (5.5) | Chargers o8.5 (10.5) | Texans o9.5 (10) |
Week 12 NFL
Washington -10 (-117)
Everyone is out for Dallas. Dan Quinn used to coach for them and knows the playbook. I think the only worry against this bet (outside of Washington being a talented yet young football team) is that Dallas plays better on the road than at home, where they are on pace to be the worst home team of all time, so far going 0-5 with a -118 point differential.
Miami -7 (-110)
I bet the Dolphins at home vs the Patriots almost every year; historically have struggled down there.
Minnesota -3 (-120)
Eberflus sucks and its a race if he gets fired before Doug Petersen (McCarthy won’t be until after week 17, Jones doesn’t fire in season).
Philadelphia -3 (EVEN)
Probably end up chopping but a road-home game for Eagles in LA.
NY Giants +5.5 (-105)
DeVito magic baby! And the Bucs are banged up vs a good Giants defense.
Detroit at Indianapolis OVER 50 -110
Could be game of the day.
TEASER +150: ARI +1, MIA -1, GB -6
PROPS: Jauan Jennings OVER 4.5 +118; DeMario Douglas AT LEAST 5 Receptions + Hunter Henry AT LEAST 4 Receptions +234; Kyler Murray AT LEAST 31 Rushing Yards -114; Baker Mayfield AT LEAST 1 INT -103; De’Von Achane Receptions AT LEAST 5 -103; Brock Bowers Receptions UNDER 6.5 -127
DFS:
NFL Week 11 + CFL Coupe de Grey
Jacksonville at Detroit OVER 47 (-115), Detroit -13.5 (-110)
Another game where Detroit, coming off a bad (winning) performance vs Houston and motivated by a week of bad film, may hit this OVER by themselves today. Also taking Detroit 1H -8.5 (-115).
Tennessee +6 (EVEN)
Vikings have had issues on the road putting inferior teams down/away. ML at +225 is tempting here.
Green Bay -6 (-115)
Packers keep teams in games as well, but I am betting against Eberflus every week until he gets fired. The Bears are in free fall and may of already ruined Caleb Williams.
TEASER +150: Green Bay -6, SF -6.5, CIN +1.5
PROPS: David Montgomery + Jahmyr Gibbs AT LEAST 1 TD +122; Dawson Knox Receiving Yards OVER 41 +116; Devonte Wyatt AT LEAST 1 SACK +175; Rashan Gary AT LEAST 1 SACK -106; Kirk Cousins AT LEAST 1 INT -125; Christian McCaffrey AT LEAST 5 Receptions -112; Hunter Henry + Demario Douglas AT LEAST 4 Receptions +194
DFS:
CFL Grey Cup: Winnipeg -9 (-105)
NFL Week 10
Arizona +2 (-115)
Should be Arizona -2. The Jets stink.
Pittsburgh +2 -110
Jayden Daniels gets an education vs the league’s #1 defense.
Chargers -8 -110
The Chargers have been playing well defensively and if they can run the ball, they have a chance in any game. Especially against a shitty Titans team.
Denver at Kansas City UNDER 42.5 -108
Kansas City getting close to their first loss; but probably not today. Denver may keep it close though.
PROPS: Christian McCaffrey Receptions AT LEAST 4 -104; Drake Maye Rushing Yards OVER 33.5 -115; Drake Maye & Caleb Williams AT LEAST 1 INT +223; Dalton Kincaid Receptions OVER 5.5 +114; Bo Nix AT LEAST 30 Rushing Yards -114; Jayden Daniels Rushing Yards UNDER 45.5 -114; Hunter Henry Receptions OVER 3.5 -164; Saquon Barkley AT LEAST 2 TDS +250
DFS: