Category: NCAA Football
The Miracle (Cover) of Christmas
The most craziest miracle cover I maybe have ever seen just happened in the game Lou bet on, Central Michigan +3.5 vs Western Kentucky.
WKU was up 49-14 after 3 periods, and blew that lead via 5 straight TDs in the 4th quarter….including this last one which might be the play of the century:
CMU goes for 2 at the end for the win, and misses….which is a miracle cover in itself due to the fact that any college line from 4 on up is in jeopardy with their stupid “everybody gets a shot” overtime rules.
Western Kentucky ticket holders congrats: you are part of the #1 bad beat of 2014
— Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman) December 24, 2014
And it was….a miracle cover. Somewhere, Romeo Crennel is smiling.
As for me, I start my football betting tonight with Bovada’s “Bowlopoly”, where one can bet and accrue prizes and bonuses off of the property pieces.
The game tonight is the Hawaii Bowl in Honolulu, and I’ll take Fresno St +2 as well as put them in a teaser with the Over at 60.
The video above has me jacked up for the upcoming gambling season with bowl games as well as the NFL playoffs. I might try to get Lou and I to do a podcast preview for ya’ll when the wild card matchups are announced.
Merry Christmas
All winners yesterday, including the game I didn’t realize kicked off at 6pm where I would have had Marshall who won easily. Navy covered and Carolina won in a shootout. I barely got Central Michigan +3.5 posted on Twitter, much less here and they have responded by stinking things up and currently trail 28-7. NHL has the holidays off so we’ll resume here on Boxing Day in all likelihood.
Tuesday
0-2 yesterday as both our plays lost by alot alot. I would have played Florida who won in a shootout but was out Christmas shopping. Only one game on our list today and it’s a go: Carolina +132 @ New Jersey
One bowl game since I missed the early one which had the temerity to kickoff at 6:00pm: Navy +3.5 -112
Monday
Not the best day yesterday as Chicago covered but failed to win outright or hit the over due to some dreadful red zone offense. Tampa was also a loser for everything except a top draft choice but I am pretty sure we were on the “correct” side there. Props to Sean for a near-perfect day, pushing on Cleveland/Carolina and winning everything else. No NFL action tonight but one NHL play so far:
Nashville @ Columbus +135
Florida and Arizona are on the shortlist for later and I’ll likely end up with a decision very close to game time.
In amateur football, we had some late action I didn’t even have time to post because someone deemed it a good idea to have a bowl game kickoff at 2pm on a non-holiday Monday. BYU lost in double overtime after setting a chance to drive for a late game winning field goal on fire when their coach used two timeouts to defend an extra point. Memphis’s kicker then hit a 55-yard field goal to send the game to overtime number two after which the BYU players realizing they could not beat their coach with a gatorade jug started a riot instead.
Some more mediocre numbers for you on the season:
NFL: 16-15 +4.35
NHL: 29-34 +2.56 (not including tonight’s action)
NBA: 9-10-2 -1.56
Bowl Season: 1-4 -2.12
UPDATE: Columbus is not doing terribly well currently down 2-0. Arizona +170 @ Vancouver in the late game
Shitty Bowl Game Saturday
As mentioned, I’m going to pick every bowl game this season here and have plays on 65-75% The first game seems designed to have as a small an audience as possible, the New Orleans Bowl which kicks off at 10:00 am local time. It has the added benefit of being completely unbettable. I’ll be at brunch, thank you. Picking UL Lafayette because I have to pick someone. In fact, I won’t be watching any of these games if at all possible, since betting and watching are mutually exclusive activities. The remaining picks for today:
UTEP + 10 vs. Utah St.
Utah vs. Colorado St. +2.5
Western Michigan -2 vs. Air Force
South Alabama vs. Bowling Green +2.5
In NHL our strong week continued as all three leans were good. The Devils even won in a shootout, which is more rare than seeing a rainbow and a unicorn on the same day. Philly, Nashville and Carolina makeup the shortlist for tonight.
UPDATE: All of the previous teams mentioned for NHL make the list for tonight:
Philadelphia +150 @ Toronto
Rangers @ Carolina +130
Nashville +115 @ Minnesota
I don’t understand the Nashville line at all with Rinne in net tonight. Also forgot to check who was playing NFL today as Washington was on my shortlist for this weekend. Also some NBA because I’m an idiot, Indiana +3, to win +130 @ Denver
Saturday
NCAA:
Army/Navy Under 54.5 (GO ARMY! BEAT NAVY! OR AT LEAST COVER THE +16!)
NHL:
Anaheim +110
MMA:
Stipe Miocic +300
Palhares v Fitch Goes the Distance +350
Saturday
2-0 yesterday with Sacramento covering. I have a quiet 5 wins in a row in NBA as does Sean with his Celtic overs that are now 6-0. Buffalo won in hockey and Edmonton lost in overtime because I am running bad. Likely nothing in any sports other than amateur tackle football. I’ll try an update before the evening games but here is what we have so far:
Syracuse +12 @ Boston College
North Texas +5 @ UTSA
Connecticut +21.5 @ Memphis
UPDATE: Syracuse and UNT were both losers. Wake Forest +17 @ Duke
Hockey: New Jersey +155 @ Islanders
Friday
1-0 for me yesterday as Detroit won easily and I passed on both LSU and SF last night. A quick note to Sean and anyone else is that the fading the broadcast teams only tends to work when the line is under a touchdown. Edmonton and Buffalo are showing up on my hockey list today but I am not taking either of those teams while mired in a losing streak. A college football game to start the day: Ball State + 10 @ some MAC team.
UPDATE: Ball St. covered the 10 and won by 17! NBA tonight because I’m an idiot, Sacramento + 12 @ San Antonio
Friday
Arizona/Phoenix was a loser in Dallas yesterday 3-1. Just like at times last season, the Coyotes would play a solid 1st two period and then fail to turn up for the 3rd, just like a pub soccer team would if you told them there were three halves. I did take the opportunity to tweak some of my systems over the past 24 hours so hopefully some better results await. Two games of note this evening. First we have a play on the co-official team of Miracle Covers this season, Islanders +150 @ Pittsburgh. We are also close on Boston -125 @ Columbus but it’s ultimately going to be a pass.
Also an early amateur tackle football play for tomorrow, Stanford -5.5 @ Cal. The line is currently 6 at most places.
