Category: Hockey
How Did I Become the College Football Guy?
Pat is stealing my mojo with the premier league plays, though to be fair I haven’t has a soccer play in months since Betfair dropped their API which allowed everyone to see what % of folks were on what side. I’m like a blind infant without that kind of info. It’s readily available for football though, so more plays!
Texas A&M @ LSU – 5
Miss St. @ Arkansas PK
Boise St. @ San Diego St. +6
There should be a hockey game later. No totals posted for college yet.
UPDATE: Hockey in early as I am out for the day:
Ottawa +125
Dallas +166
Monday
Fun day yesterday with lots of winners, hope some of you were able to follow along. Only the late, late play on Minnesota and teaser were losers thanks to the Falcons getting back to their heritage and losing horribly at home for no real reason at all. I doubled up on the Miami play and long time readers know that the Chargers are my 2nd favorite team to bet against (Dallas being #1) so that was an added bonus.
One NFL game tonight and Carolina is the side to be on. The line unfortunately won’t be moving off of 3, so I will most likely pass, but the game opened at 1 and anything up to 2.5 would be good value. Not a guarantee by any stretch, but at the very least there is no compelling reason to take New England.
There should be at least one and maybe even two hockey games tonight. I’ll update later in the evening. Season totals below…
Tracking plays in NCAA hoops are down to 0-2-2 -2.2
NCAA Hoops Totals are 2-0 +2.0 Those are real plays, albeit not for a whole lot relative to the other sports.
NCAA Football: 7-8 -1.37
NFL Teasers 1-3 -2.6
NHL 8-7 +4.01
NFL: 10-5 +5.31
EDIT: Calgary is the only hockey play tonight Flames +135
Sunday Funday
Two winners yesterday as Miss St. and the basketball under both easily covered and a push again on the tracking basketball play.
Lots of NFL plays today:
Miami +2.5 (Adding onto Miami +1 from yesterday)
Buffalo +2.5
Pittsburgh +3
Bookmaker garbage teaser: ATL +8.5, Buffalo +8.5, Denver -1.5
College Hoops:
Stony Brook +12.5
Michigan/Iowa State Under 148
NHL:
Columbus +145 @ Ottawa
UPDATE: NFL Minnesota +13
Saturday
Just waking up and there are games starting already. This must be what it feels like to live on the west coast.
College football: Probably no plays for me today. I am tempted by Louisville & Miss. St but don’t like the Bookmaker lines per usual.
EDIT: Taking Miss. St. +24 -112
College hoops: Florida Atlantic was a close loser yesterday losing by 33. One more fake play today, St. Joseph’s +4
BONUS: A real play! OSU/Marquette Under 144
NHL: Edmonton will be a play depending on where the public number ends up. 10:00 East coast time to I’ll update or not later tonight.
NFL: There will be plays tomorrow, and I’ve already got some action down on Miami+1 and Miami EVEN as that’s definitely the best play of the week.
Friday
We bet and/or didn’t bet on a bunch of pushes and coin flips yesterday. Indy Miracle Covered or Miracle Pushed depending on your line. I ended up passing but my comments make me look smart so I’ll try not to get injured patting myself on the back. William and Mary pushed on +17, scoring only a single point in the last four minutes. Columbus lost to Boston in overtime and Tulsa covered losing by 11.
More nothingness in hockey tonight, and there’s nothing particularly close either with the public numbers just not lining up with what I like to see. One tracking play in hoops and it’s Florida Atlantic +31 at Duke. We’re 0-0-1 to start the season but unlike the NHL, we don’t get any loser points. I’m hoping for a push again tonight.
Amateur football and other things tomorrow.
Thursday
I’m still under the weather, so pardon more than the usual lack of cohesion…
NFL tonight is Colts @ Titans. Everyone is on Indy by a 4.5:1 ratio, but the line has moved around quite a bit this week between TEN +1 and TEN +3. It’s currently at 2.5. If I can find 3 I’ll take Tennessee, but if not I will pass. I could be convinced to take the Titans in a smaller play and/or in any picks contests should they be available.
NHL has one game that is on the fence that I’m going to play and that’s Columbus +155 @ Boston. I would prefer the total to be 5.5 instead of 5, but that’s never going to happen with Boston’s league best defense, but I will let the 13% public betting number and reverse line move take priority here. Plus we haven’t had a play in nearly a week.
“Amateur” College Football, I would take Tulsa tonight at 14 but not 13.5 or 13. Not going to stick around withing on the line to move on that.
Lastly, College Basketball, I don’t know how to bet these but I will track my plays here as best I can. One to start with tonight, William & Mary +17
Good luck out there.
Saturday
NCAA
Purdue +15.5 at home to Iowa
Kentucky +14.5 I am waffling on, but if there’s another tackle football game today for me, this will be it.
NHL will have to check in later. There’s nothing right now.
UPDATE: Kentucky started already and I didn’t get a bet in. I really thought it was a night game.
UPDATE #2: This is really ugly. Florida +165 @ Ottawa. Florida is winless in 7 and just got a new coach & Ottawa has been much improved of late.
Thursday
Today in gambling reminds me of our old Sports Trivia days, “Question 9: Sports!”
Hockey has one straightforward play tonight, Vancouver +156 @ San Jose. Senators were a winner on Tuesday.
College tackle football, Stanford +10 -110 at home to Oregon
Lastly, in Professional tackle football, I have Minnesota +1 at home to Washington.
There is NBA tonight as well, but I do not yet know how to wager on it. :(
Good luck out there.
Tuesday
Some bookkeeping and a play in hockey:
NCAA is down to 5-7 -2.34
NFL is 5-3 with yesterday’s injury-aided win +1.01.
NHL, 5-5 +1.85 with Ottawa +115 going tonight.
Also a note from Captain Obvious: It’s easier to be in the plus instead of minus when the games you’re betting have a ‘+’ in front of them.
Saturday
How am I the one of the three of us betting on college football when most 12 year olds south of Maryland have more knowledge about the sport than I do? Regardless, only one play today and it’s Arkansas, one of my least favorite institutions, +7.5 at home to Auburn.
No hockey today with the more restrictive system I put on. Nashville would be on today otherwise. 1-1 yesterday and that makes me a small winner.
I don’t have anything in NFL at the moment and I’m not sure if I will be around for kickoff tomorrow. Minnesota, Jets, St. Louis, Buffalo, Washington, Philly, Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Houston are the options. That’s obviously really broad for a reason as I haven’t looked in depth. Sean’s play on the Bills would be much more appealing if they weren’t on QB3 or QB4. It’s really hard to bet a future house on a third stringer, not that I wouldn’t do it in some circumstances.
Good luck to everyone.
