Category: Hockey
Tuesday
A poor 0-0 yesterday as Washington and Edmonton won covered easily, with both teams playing arguably their best games of the season. I will be re-working some of my modeling this next week to try and keep this from happening again. Single play tonight and it’s a longshot, New Jersey +170 @ Pittsburgh. New Jersey is challenging the coinflip theory of shootouts, having lost their last 10 billion in a row, so they’ll likely need to win outright versus our usual strategy of forcing overtime and hope the result goes our way.
The under (7) looks good to me tonight in baseball but I am passing and not playing.
Monday
A winning Sunday for us yesterday as all plays were easy winners. NFL numbers have improved to merely below average here at the halfway point and we are an expected 5-5 in hockey plays. Two games of note this evening. In NFL, Washington is interesting at +10 but is currently at 9 or 9.5 and will likely end up being a pass. I will think about it if it hits 10 again though. In hockey, only two games and I’m considering Edmonton at home to Montreal. All of the numbers point to the smart play being on Edmonton, I just would like a better price. It is up to 124 at Pinnacle but I really don’t know what I’m going to do with it. 9:30 start time so we will wait and see. Full Tuesday NHL schedule tomorrow.
UPDATE: I was very close but am going to ultimately pass on Edmonton
Sunday
Really enjoying the Sunday morning Falcons-Lions affair, though the Lions are clearly jetlagged. We need more late night west coast games too, preferably involving the Raiders.
One confirmed play so far as I am working through the numbers like an underpaid analyst here on a Sunday morning. Updates as we go along and there will hopefully be a west coast hockey game tonight. Also a sincere apology from me for missing the over of the year in the Stars/Islanders game which finished 7-5, smushing the over by 6 goals. I don’t normally bet totals in NHL and so didn’t even think about this until after the game had started Neither team plays very much defense and both will at least be in the top 5 in goals scored at the end of the year. Dallas doesn’t have enough quality top 4 defensemen, but the Islanders just have too many forwards that simply don’t work hard enough without the puck. Islanders need an faceoff guy as well.
Buffalo +3 -115 @ Jets
Colts @ Steelers +3.5 -105
UPDATE: Sharks +135 @ Anaheim
Saturday
I still can’t find a freaking hockey game that is suitable enough to my liking. Rangers away to Montreal are really close, but I am still going to pass. Boston @ Toronto is another not terrible option I’m also choosing against. Should be something NFL or otherwise tomorrow.
UPDATE: Giants/Royals UNDER 7 -125
Sad Day
Lots of fucked up shit going on the world right now. But this tweet sure made me snicker:
NCAA, NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB have stopped bettors from legally wagering on their games in N.J. for now. Illegal bets expected to continue.
— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) October 24, 2014
LOL
And they will:
I like the under in the KC vs SF WS Game 3 at 7 (-110)
and Winnipeg -105 at home vs TB
Friday
No plays and nothing worth mentioning in any of the five games in the NHL tonight. Cautiously optimistic for Saturday and there should be some NFL games come Sunday. The games i listed but didn’t bet yesterday went 3-1 so that counts in fantasyland.
Sad Thursday
No plays again tonight unfortunately. Islanders, Nashville, Vancouver and Arizona are all leaners in order of worst to best value but none look like they are going to make it to the playable side. There is a NFL game also not bettable. 4-5 +1.1 so far for NHL. NFL has been awful to date 4-8 -3.51. MLB Regular season if I didn’t post it already finished 41-40 +3.72 and the playoffs were 1-0 +1.5. Hopefully better luck tomorrow.
Wednesday
1-1 yesterday with Toronto winning easily against what looked like a retro (94-2001) Islanders team with those players participating and everything. Vancouver, who we thoroughly enjoyed following last season, had a ridiculous loss against Dallas last night, missing only the bloopers music in the first two periods. Dallas is probably a top 5 offense so they don’t really need help like this to score goals:
Or this:
“I don’t know what to say, I haven’t done that before in the NHL,” Miller said. “I’ve done a lot of stupid things, but that’s a new one.
“I think we can classify this as not really my night,” Miller said, finally allowing himself to laugh at the understatement.
It was almost as absurd as the Liverpool-QPR ending over the weekend.
No plays in any sport tonight but there should be some action tomorrow.
Tuesday
All quiet for me over the last few days. NFL went 0-1 as I wasn’t around to get in on the Rams before kickoff. No hockey on Sunday or Monday but two plays tonight:
Toronto +130 @ Islanders and Vancouver +115
Saturday
I assume most or none of you care that our Alberta leans were 0-2 yesterday. Sean is correct about today’s games, we are staying on the Islanders as they are only slightly inferior to the Penguins. Islanders +140 @ Pittsburgh. Colorado +140 is a lean at Montreal. NFL late tonight or early in the morning.
UPDATE: An NFL play for tomorrow Cincinnati +3 +105 @ Indy
