Miracle Covers

Friday

Games went as expected yesterday, at least around here.  UAB was an easy winner, taking their game to overtime as a +17.5 underdog and the Saints won by 4, opting to run a play on 4th down as opposed to kicking a late FG.  I took a slight loss on the game after getting a late hedge in.  Nothing in hockey again tonight and college football is also looking sparse tomorrow.  One fake play in college hoops but no totals, and there are a bunch of games started already so no idea if I missed anything there.

 

Loyola Chicago +108

Current Numbers:

NCAA hoops Sides (Not for real $) 0-4-2 -4.4

NCAA Hoops Totals are 3-1 +1.9

NCAA Football: 8-8 -0.37

NFL Teasers 1-3 -2.6

NHL 9-7 +5.36

NFL: 10-5 +5.04

Tuesday

More winning yesterday for those who were following along.  Carolina won by four in a game I thought had a very good chance of ending in a tie or least least going to OT last night and our hockey play was a winner as Calgary won in a shootout despite conceding an equalizer with six seconds remaining in Winnipeg.  No plays in the NHL tonight despite some promising early numbers.

One total in college hoops in a contender for whitest game of the season so far:

North Dakota/Wisconsin UNDER 140

One fake play that will probably lose:

Rhode Island +23 

NCAA Marathon Live Blog

Over the next day or so the NCAA is doing their 24 hour marathon tip-off deal.  I am going to live blog this as much as possible.  Am I going to fall asleep at points?  1,000%.  Will I be drinking casually throughout, you betcha.

21:15 EST

I am currently watching MNF while sipping on a St Ides.  The glamor.  I was speculating on what job Schiano will have this time next year.  The easy answer is as an assistant somewhere in the NFL but I would not be shocked if he wound up coaching high school football for a bit.

21:45 EST

First bet is going to be Long Beach St +20.5 -106 @ 13.  They are on the road to #6 Arizona.

22:00 EST

Internet anthropologists observing this live blog decades from now should not expect the continuous fast and furious pace these entries are currently being made in.  I have  a billion channels but apparently none of them are broadcasting the Arizona game.  If things are competitive I’ll find it on the internet.  In searching for the game, I realize that there is a station broadcasting girls’ Ohio high school volleyball.  It’s listed as one of the Fox Sports channels, but I will refer to it as the Pedo Network until it proves me wrong.  I hear a noise of someone walking around upstairs and I quickly flip the channel.

22:50 EST

Miami coming back in MNF, see how that goes.  Watching Colo St vs Gonzaga.  Larry Eustachy has reemerged.  Get that man a beer.  Miami takes the lead, see what happens in the 4th.

BYU ML +172 @ 11.

23:30 EST

This game is going back and forth.  I have no idea which way it is going to go.  Which team is going to win the Ohio high school volleyb…I mean.  BYU is doing well against Stanford, up by 4 about a quarter through.  The over/under for the game was pretty high for a college game (155) and it is deserved, these teams can shoot.  You know you are in a sad state of ignorance when you are reading the comment section on espn to try to get scouting reports.  These were 2 different comments I read…

“BYU have couple of big men that will make the night hell for Stanford offense”

“How is interior play? That is likely BYU’s weakness this year, especially on the defensive end”

Okay.  Then there was this from someone who was listing reasons to bet against BYU…

“Can’t drink coffee and no Sex.”

There is definitely some irony gambling on and drinking to BYU.  Looks like Tampa is going to seal things up.

0:23 EST

Lou hopping in here because I can’t be awake and not participate in these shenanigans.  Is this a conference game?  I no longer have the desire or wherewithal to keep track.  If this is a conference game, BYU will be much better than most of the dreck that passed for Pac-12 basketball the past few seasons.  It’s like Big East tackle football if that still exists.  No idea if this will be an ‘up’ year for the Pac-12 or not.

0:35 EST

I’m reading a lot early this morning about all of these rule changes in college hoops this season designed to increase scoring.  Why not just decrease the shot clock from 35 to 30?

0:37 EST

Just took a flyer on Kentucky to win the national championship at +375.  Pinnacle had them at +300 so I can’t be that far off.

0:40 EST

0% chance Stanford wins this game currently down by 20.  Their defense has been as poor as Stanford’s women’s offense was against UConn earlier tonight.

1:00 EST

Going to go hopefully 2-1 on the night.  BYU should hold on.  Wichita St is next, do not know how many would remember this but this team made it to the Final Four last year.  That is reason enough to gamble against them.

W Kentucky +15.5 -106 @ 15

1:30 EST

Akron +9.5 -115 @ 14

To get back to Lou earlier, college sports essentially follow the pattern of non-conference early, and then hitting the conference sched up about quarter of the way through their season.  W Kentucky hanging in…

2:45 EST

W Kentucky is crumbling before me.  They are relying heavily on jump shots and they are simply not hitting them.  But still about 10 minutes left.  As I type W Kentucky has back-to-back 3 point possessions…

New Mexico St @ Hawaii -3.5 -112 @ 16

7:40 EST

Our picks are struggling at the moment.  La Salle usually has a good basketball program, we are going to take Quinnipiac simply for the sake of action.

Quinnipiac +12 -102 @ 15

8:30 EST

The public action on La Salle is to be expected, massive, which makes me like our Quinn play all the more.  I am going to add a bet on here.

Quinn/La Salle Under 156 -108 @ 14.  FGC is starting to pull away from Hartford, this is the only game I didn’t bet on and if I had I would have gone for Hartford.  The line ended somewhere around 7.5, we will see how things shake down.

8:45 EST

I had a dream the other night regarding fantasy football.  It was a completely different set-up then anything I have ever seen.  You have 10 player slots and 6 bench spots.  When you draft or pick up a player you have the option of having him take 1, 2, 3 or 4 spots in your lineup, but you have to declare it.  The spots the player takes up can be a mixture of starting lineup and bench.  For example, you can have Calvin Johnson for let’s say 4 player slots, of which you can have those stats in the starting lineup, on the bench, or a combo.  In such a league there are no positions really, just players.  I can’t decide if this would be an ungodly clusterfuck or if the idea has merit.  Probably clusterfuck, but I kind of like it.

9:45 EST

Where BYU and to a lesser extent Stanford had aesthetic beauty in their game to hit an over, these teams follow the quantity over quality method.  The number of shots taken within the first 10 seconds of the shot clock is way out there.  Currently we are on pace to cover both bets, but if these d-bags keep chucking who the hell knows.  I think I have to bet UMass later but the public money has to be all over them.

10:45 EST

Should cover both bets in the Quinn/La Salle game.  Basketball left to play, though.  All the action is on UMass, I will join the herd.

UMass -5 -106 @ 12

LSU/UMass Under 157.5 -106 @ 13

Speaking of LSU, we are coming of age to college athletes named Shaq.  Deadspin did shit about this roughly a month ago, I am just too lazy to reference it, but there is a crazy number of Shaqi emerging onto the scene.

11:48 EST

Public numbers are here: http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-basketball-public-betting-chart though I’m not sure how much good they are this early in the season.  I also don’t know how much public numbers matter in basketball in general.  I don’t have public numbers in my totals engine for baseball for example, but it’s the first thing I look at in everything else.  NFL public numbers aren’t correlated until week 3.

11:51 EST

Mediocre basketball!  UMass is up 5.  Again I have no useful knowledge, but with all of these ticky-tack fouls being called, it should bump scoring up because of the free throws.  I’m sure this is reflected in the totals.  Good shooting teams, like BYU, may need to get an extra point or two on their spreads because of the additional free throws per game this season versus last.

 11:54 EST

That was Lou talking, not Pat.  Not that anyone else is reading.  Hi Ed!

11:55 EST

UMass has fully 40% of their points from the foul line.  This is awful to watch.  I’m going back to do some work now.

13:05 EST

Lou is right, this game is ugly.  And by ugly I mean they have smooshed the over.  If this game was 12-9 at this point I’d be calling it a masterpiece.  Anyway.  UMass is up by 6 with 2 minutes to go.

WV -3 -110 @ 12

14:30 EST

The S Carolina/Baylor game is the only game on for the next few hours, which means I shall be napping.  Va Tech is on about a 66-3 run right now so we’ll see how that goes.

S Carolina +13.5 -110 @ 20

17:00 EST

S Carolina is hanging tough against Baylor.  NC State/Cincy is next and then there is about a trillion games on this evening.  Down money?  Gamble on a team that you don’t even know their mascot.  That solves everything.

Cincinnati -7 -104 @ 14

18:00 EST

LIU +23.5 -107 @ 12

LIU/Indiana Under 172.5 -117 @ 18

172/173 is just about as high as over/unders get in college basketball.  If you get a span of 3 minutes with only a bucket you are looking pretty good.  I love me a good under.  Cincy/NC St tied at the half.

19:00 EST

The power of Christ compels me to bet the marque games this evening.

Mich St -4 -106 @ 12

I will definitely make a poor decision in the Duke game later.  (Hint: Duke)  Cincy is pushing at this moment, LIU and the under are covering, life is lovely.  Also…

College of Charleston -6.5 -102 @ 13