Category: Basketball
Thursday
1-0 yesterday as Georgia not only covered but won outright in overtime. Rangers were also a winner in NHL for those playing leans. One notable pass tonight and that’s Minnesota @ Phoenix. My single NHL play tonight is on Detroit +160 @ San Jose. I am 2-7 on plays the last month after a ridiculous start so be forewarned.
In the NBA tonight, I have Miami -8 @ New York. NCAA: Depaul +9 @ Butler and FIU +1.5 @ Rice
UPDATE: I realized after placing the bet that Detroit is in the East now. I will now stare at hockey divisions before I go to sleep the next few nights.
Wednesday
Pair of losers yesterday in NCAA. GA Tech managed to lose the second half by 20+ points after being down one at half and Vanderbilt miracle covered in a loss. Will try and do better today. Today’s leans posted across all sports with plays to follow in bold:
NCAAB: Richmond +2, Georgia +11.5
NBA: Golden State -6
NHL: Rangers +170
Decisions on plays in an hour or so.
UPDATE: Rangers are playing a Western team, so they are out. I can’t keep the conferences straight for hockey, much less the divisions. UGA is the only play for me tonight.
Tuesday
Minnesota was an easy NBA winner last night and Calgary also won for those being aggressive and taking ‘leans’ as well as plays. Nothing in NHL tonight despite a full slate, but New Orleans in the NBA will be a GTD. I’m leaving the NCAA Totals experiment aside for the rest of the season as there are just too many games & conferences to keep track of. Even getting NCAA sides done is time consuming, at least until I start getting my bet sizes up a bit larger and can afford to pay for the automation. That said, two college game tonight:
Georgia Tech +15.5 @ Duke
Vanderbilt @ Alabama -7
Monday
Back to normal service starting today. A quick note on the Chiefs-Colts game as it was example #5,290 why not to follow big lines moves in football. This is doubly true for the NFL over college. Anything over a point is significant and should generally be avoided. The only sticking point on the KC line was that it did not hit ‘3’ on either side, but a 4.5 point move is ridiculous regardless. Either take the other team or pass on the game entirely.
Nothing doing on the college game tonight so I will roll my perfect bowl season into next year even though I took off the better part of the games. In NBA, Minnesota -7 @ Philadelphia. NHL has a light schedule today. I was considering Calgary in the late game but they are playing too terribly for me over the past few weeks.
More tomorrow…
Positive Variance
Three sports and four winners yesterday made for a stark contrast to Thursday’s plays. I even missed getting in a play on Dallas/San Jose which the Sharks won in a shootout. Still a bit grouchy I didn’t get +175 on a coinflip, but the result worked out this time.
NFL today, Houston is the primary play this week at home to Denver +10. Other leans are on Washington, Indy, Minnesota, Oakland and Tennessee. I am going to take Indy with the line move +7.5. Indy/KC Over 47 is a close pass for me as well.
Nothing in NBA or NHL today and there is no college football. College hoops has some totals action today:
Purdue/West Virginia Over 147.5 1u
E Washington/Penn St Over 141 1/2u
Boise St @ Hawaii Over 160.5 1/2u
Good luck today.
Saturday
1-1 day yesterday as Brooklyn was an easy loser and the college over an easy winner. Lots of possibles at the moment, denoting them below with any actual plays for my own reference:
NHL Dallas, NBA New Orleans, College Hoops Texas & Notre Dame
New Mexico Bowl: Colorado St. +4.5
UPDATE: New Orleans +8, Notre Dame +6 @ MSG
Football: UL Lafayette +2.5
Loser Friday
Losers all the way around yesterday. I figured the over would be safe after a 4-point line move from 166 to 162 yesterday but it wasn’t close as the Under easily came in even on the reduced number. Both hockey plays were losers as well, Calgary in OT on a questionable penalty & powerplay goal and Columbus setting leads of 3-0 and 4-2 on fire before this happened:
No hockey tonight as I don’t want any part of the Islanders tonight. Florida is out of conference and Vancouver is on a back-to-back. Pair of basketball plays however:
NBA: Brooklyn -6 @ Philadelphia
NCAAB: UNO/Minnesota Over 153.5
Thursday
Washington won outright in our only action yesterday in a generally uninteresting game. I have two NBA futures open and neither is going well at the 1/3 mark of the NBA season: Bucks OVER 28 and Nets to win the Atlantic at -158. I took the Nets play basically because I thought the Knicks would be anywhere from average to not good and I figured no one else could feasibly win that division (TOR, BOS, PHI are the others). My Milwaukee play had everything to do with their old owner essentially forbidding their GM to tank and start over, desiring a “competitive” team instead (Read: 8th seed contender & 1st round fodder). The only problem is their entire starting lineup has been injured, and when you takeaway a few starters from a projected 28 win team you get the 2013 Milwaukee Bucks.
This brings me to last night’s game in Milwaukee versus the Knicks. The Bucks had a chance to win in regulation, and were gifted another overtime thanks to this disaster of a play. Note Walt Frazier channeling his inner Loubacca with this call. Just brilliant. Plays later per usual.
UPDATE: Actual gambling and lots of hockey on the agenda…
NCAAB: Duke/UCLA Over 162.5
NHL: Columbus +135 @ Philadelphia, Calgary +125 @ Detroit. Edmonton is an option for those looking for more action, but I am going to pass on them at around +170 at Colorado tonight.
Wednesday
I would be rivaling shortest post status if I didn’t have this sentence. Florida won, Alabama lost yesterday, both in close games. One NBA play tonight as I seek to fill the void between betable hockey games and that’s Washington +4.5 @ Brooklyn. I think I could walk down and attend this game for $10 if I wanted.
Good luck to all per usual and no NFL game tomorrow as an FYI.
Update Tuesday
No plays yesterday though Winnipeg hit the mythical, magical 35% public # cutoff and went on to win 3-2. They are technically a West Coast team playing East but the Jets used to be the Thrashers of Atlanta and Columbus of Ohio used to be in the “West.” Got it?
Plays Tonight: NHL Florida +118 @ Toronto, NCAAB Wichita St @ Alabama +2
Updates on how I am doing:
NCAA hoops Sides (Not for real $) 7-8-2 -1.8 (Closing this out as I am onto real $ now, albeit very sporadically)
NCAA hoops Sides (Real $) 1-0 +1.0
NCAA Hoops Totals are 7-5 +1.65
NCAA Football Regular Season: 10-11 -1.47 (Also closed as we are onto Bowl Season)
NFL Teasers 1-4 -3.2
NHL 17-12 +11.57
NFL: 15-12 +5.85
NBA: 2-2 -0.1
