Category: Basketball
NBA Play
Raptors @ Hawks +3 -102 @ 13
Largely brain dead from St Patrick’s Day weekend so this will be a quickie. As I noted to Louis, it is nice when you have a big weekend, and you wake up Monday morning and don’t find a thread of mind-blowingly horrific bets. “Lakers moneyline? Devils over?? Fairfield second half?!?!?!”
MTD : -24.68
Luck of the Irish
So Miracle Covers contributor (and Suns fan) Nick and I went to the Celtics game last night vs the Suns. The story of the night wasn’t the miracle cover that happened at the end of the game, where the Suns went on a 10-0 run in the final 1:30 to beat the Celtics 87-80 (and cover the -4.5 point spread) as the Celtics chucked up wild shots like it was the final seconds of a Pop-A-Shot run.
The *real* story (and incredibly tilting) for me was losing the half time beer bet with Nick on the 10th graders (all white kids….so it was evenly handicapped). We got back to our seats late from a beer run and saw his team, the Green team, hit a set-shot 3……so he set the line at -2.
My team, the White team, then went on a 11-6 run with 1 minute to go (thanks to having the tallest kid on the court who grabbed so many rebounds maybe the Celtics should look at signing him). Then, out of nowhere, the Green team scores 6 points in the span of 20 seconds, mostly on long shots I couldn’t hit at that age on a regular basis………including hitting a meaningless 3 at the buzzer despite being up one when they had the ball and the last shot. I yelped in agony, Nick raised his arms in victory, and everyone in our section was looking at us like we had two heads as I am yelling furiously at these poor children, “Pass the ball! Rotate! Box Out! Forward!”.
Yes folks, we have a gambling problem (and yes, like most of those in the stadium, you probably bought a Mega Millions ticket too, you degenerates!).
And it was….a miracle cover.
Today’s bets:
NCAA:
NC State +9.5 (-105) vs Duke
St Bonaventure vs St.Josephs Under 142.5 (-115)
UFC 171:
Diego “The Dream” Sanchez vs Myles “Fury” Jury Under Rounds +200; Fight does not go distance +170 (try to watch Diego fight if you can, the guy is simply an animal. He always puts up good fights too, with 7 Fight of the Night awards, because the guy just goes forward, no hands up).
Alex “The Dominican Nightmare” Garcia wins fight -400 (good prospect)
Hector Lombard vs Jake Shields fight goes distance EVEN (These guys are both wrestlers, so that means alot of grabbing and hugging and all out boringness)
Robbie “Ruthless” Lawyer wins by Inside Distance +400 (a speculative play vs Johny Hendricks, but we are getting good odds on a guy who has been knocking out people since 2005)
Tuesday
Winners all around yesterday including our actual play on New Jersey and our leaner with Dallas I ultimately passed on. +3u day for anyone who played both. Not much today with only four NHL games. The best option is…Vancouver at Winnipeg. Any of you reading can play them and according to all of my metrics, I should too. I am passing.
In NBA we are watching Charlotte @ Washington for a potential play. Good luck out there.
Monday
Extended commentary later, but short on time for now.
Last note on the Canucks here likely for quite a while. They ended up winning against Calgary the other night 2-1, but what’s most interesting is not the goal from centre ice, but the fact that that was one of 12 shots for the Flames. Twelve. That’s a more typical total for a single period much less a whole game. They were admittedly on the second half of a back-to-back having “earned” a win after an Islander 3rd period collapse, but that’s just unacceptable. It makes me want to UFN the Flames as well.
Three plays tonight:
NBA: Washington +8 @ Miami
NHL: Nashville +122 @ Ottawa, Winnipeg +145 @ Colorado
UFNs
Lou recently noted the Canucks had officially moved into the “Do Not Bet Until Further Notice” category. UFNs generally result from a team playing so well, or much more likely, so poorly, there can be only one course of action for the immediate future. UFN is pronounced You F’n. The 76ers are a prime UFN candidate right now, but Vegas is aware of whats up. If you place a 20 dollar bet on them to lose tonight you will be rewarded with 67 cents American if the Knicks win. UFN kidding me?
San Francisco +5.5 -106 vs BYU @ 12
MTD : -23
Sunday Degeneracy
NHL:
Detroit ML +140 at NYR
I also might take the Bruins/Panthers under 5.5 at -130
NBA:
Bulls +9 and Under 191.5 Teaser vs MIA
BTW here is some more Canuck fail:
Marching Forward
Nauseating last 2 months on my end. When I should have realized things were getting ugly was when Tott was up against Newcastle 0-2 and I had 0-2, 1-2 and 1-3 scorelines covered on bets and the final went 0-4. Forward.
Cardiff City vs. Fulham Draw +240 @ 12
***UPDATE***
I am not 1000% on this but I think there is a conference tournament being held in Asheville, North Carolina (Southern Conf.), and that UNC Asheville (Big South) is not a member of said conference.
Pitts @ Clemson ML +109 @ 11
MTD : -12
Friday
Our play on Vancouver yesterday…was not close. The Canucks may be the most dysfunctional team in the league and have moved into ‘Do Not Bet Until Further Notice’ status for me. I think they’ve now lost 11 of 12 obviously dating back to before the Olympic break. I didn’t take into account any streaks that were pre-Olympics, but it’s clear that nearly everyone involved has stopped giving a crap. From Canucks Army:
It’s not that I find curling more exciting than hockey, but I don’t think I’ve watched a full Vancouver Canucks game beginning-to-end since their game against Toronto right before the Olympic break, and before then, well, yeah.
Nothing doing in NHL tonight. NBA has Cleveland and Milwaukee on the watch list but nothing definite as yet.
NBA
New Orleans +8 @ Phoenix. Lots of coulda shoulda woulda NHL games from the last couple of days that I was too lazy to post but would have been winners. Turns out back-to-backs are a good thing when no one has played for three weeks.
UPDATE: Found us a hockey game for tonight…St. Louis +110 @ Vancouver Anaheim. Pretty rare when we get to wager on an actual good team.
NBA
“We came together…(and) asked each other if we really want this. We looked each other in the eyes as men and we all came together and decided we wanted to do this. So we came out firing.”
That is a quote from Andre Drummond after the Hawks/Pistons’ game a few nights ago. Drummond had a big night and the marque play of the game. The article goes on to note that the “Detroit big man finished 0 for 8 on free throws.” They wanted it so bad, Detroit wasn’t going to take the Hawks’ charity.
The win “snapped Detroit’s three-game losing streak and handed Atlanta its eighth straight loss.” The menu tonight in the NBA is pretty horrific. If we are to believe that in every NBA game there are experiences that could later be mistaken for quotes from Normandy survivors, nights like tonight put the League to the ultimate test. I am a sick person so there is a big part of me that wants to bet on the Milwaukee/Philly game, but I just don’t know what the Hell to do.
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -111 @ 17
***UPDATE***
Oklahoma St @ TCU +13.5 -105 @ 15
