Category: Basketball
Monday
It’s currently raining and the temperature is steadily dropping in New York this evening, so get ready for some additional fumbling! Jets are the play tonight if you can find +7, though I am personally passing even if it gets there. As mentioned Tampa was a winner yesterday but somehow conspired to only cover and not win outright.
Nothing doing in hockey tonight thankfully, though Tampa @ Rangers should at least be good to watch. NBA because I’m an idiot:
Minnesota +15 @ Clippers
0-fer
0-for-Saturday here yesterday as I was 0-4 on amateur football and 0-1 on hockey with the Devils losing 3-1. I did find a winner on Calgary right before gametime but was out & about and didn’t get it posted here or on twitter.
NFL today and there’s only one game I actually like and that’s the Tampa getting +6 and +200 hosting the Bungles. I have leans on Washington, Jacksonville and New Orleans but am passing on all three.
There is a chance I’ll have a few NBA games this evening. Good luck today
UPDATE: Tampa covered but somehow did not win. NBA tonight:
Minnesota +13 @ Portland
Toronto -7 @ Lakers
First of Many
If he falters there are many to take his place
Friday
1-0 for me yesterday as Detroit won easily and I passed on both LSU and SF last night. A quick note to Sean and anyone else is that the fading the broadcast teams only tends to work when the line is under a touchdown. Edmonton and Buffalo are showing up on my hockey list today but I am not taking either of those teams while mired in a losing streak. A college football game to start the day: Ball State + 10 @ some MAC team.
UPDATE: Ball St. covered the 10 and won by 17! NBA tonight because I’m an idiot, Sacramento + 12 @ San Antonio
Oral Roberts
Scored 69 points last night. That is all for now.
Thanksgiving Wednesday
Not the best Tuesday for us as our shitty hockey plays as I termed them on Twitter went 1-2 with our respective teams opening at 1-3, 0-3 and 0-3, with Colorado, the team that won for us, conceding on an impressive 8 shots. Not to be outdone, Edmonton conspired to give up a goal from centre ice in their 3-2 loss. Colorado beat Arinix 4-3 in overtime and because it seems like the Coyotes are constantly leading after two periods before setting the game on fire I pulled the following chart together:
| TEAM | POINTS | 3RD PERIOD GD |
| COLUMBUS | 14 | -18 |
| DALLAS | 22 | -15 |
| BUFFALO | 14 | -15 |
| ARIZONA | 21 | -10 |
| WASHINGTON | 21 | -7 |
| PHILADELPHIA | 19 | -5 |
| SAN JOSE | 24 | -4 |
| NEW JERSEY | 21 | -4 |
| CAROLINA | 15 | -4 |
| WINNIPEG | 25 | -2 |
| MINNESOTA | 24 | -2 |
| EDMONTON | 14 | -2 |
| ST LOUIS | 30 | -1 |
| PITTSBURGH | 30 | -1 |
| FLORIDA | 20 | 0 |
| ANAHEIM | 33 | 1 |
| DETROIT | 27 | 1 |
| BOSTON | 27 | 1 |
| NY ISLANDERS | 30 | 2 |
| NY RANGERS | 22 | 2 |
| TORONTO | 24 | 5 |
| COLORADO | 21 | 5 |
| TAMPA BAY | 30 | 6 |
| LOS ANGELES | 27 | 6 |
| NASHVILLE | 30 | 7 |
| OTTAWA | 24 | 7 |
| VANCOUVER | 31 | 8 |
| MONTREAL | 33 | 9 |
| CHICAGO | 25 | 12 |
| CALGARY | 28 | 18 |
In the ‘no shit’ category of analysis, the teams at the top end of this table are worse than those at the bottom, but this explains a good chunk of the underperformance of Dallas, Columbus and Phoenix and the hot start of the Canadian trio of Calgary, Vancouver and Montreal all of whom seem to be playing slightly below or above their talent levels would suggest. The best teams should be only slightly and not extremely positive as they hopefully have lots of leads they have successfully defended.
NBA because I’m an idiot:
New York +14 @ Dallas
Indiana +13 @ San Antonio
Waiting on the line on the two NHL games I am interested in. Will get an update here pretty quickly
UPDATE: Hopefully we’ll go 1-1. Let it be noted I am betting on Buffalo. No time to wait around for the Philly line to move to 155.
Winnipeg @ Buffalo +140
Philadelphia +150 @ Detroit
Wednesday
Two hockey games both nationally televised tonight and we are taking action on both of the away teams. Philadelphia +140 visits the Rangers in a bit and Vancouver -130 is at Edmonton in the late game. Both lines may move so I am getting action in now. NBA because I’m an idiot is Clippers -5 @ Orlando.
Penguins were an easy 4-0 winner yesterday but Umass lost handily. I’m going to try and do college football the rest of the year and likely again next season. Totals will probably be rare.
Monday
All winners yesterday except for the NBA which I am horrible at. Phoenix, which is in Arizona, got a 2-1 win in Edmonton to put us up to 14-13 +4.4. We had two NFL winners including the Rams moneyline to get us to 10-9 +3.85 for the season. Some plays and leans tonight:
Tampa and the Rangers are about to get started in New York. We have a very marginal lean on the Rangers but am passing on the game. Tampa is an excellent hockey team.
NFL is interesting as the public is all over Pittsburgh just like in the Jets game, so the please do not bet the Steelers tonight. I am however taking a rare total and that’s PIT/TEN OVER 46.
In soccer, despite not having any public betting data to work with, I have a play for tomorrow afternoon in a friendly: England @ Scotland +0.5 -130
Lastly, NBA because I’m an idiot: Chicago +5.5 @ Clippers
Friday Leans
They are at home vs the Cavs tonight. The line started at 211 -115, and since has moved down to 210 at -105. I’ve now been enticed to jump on in as I am 3-0 with this theory so far. The Celtics are the best inside FG team in the league (at .503 percent!) and the Cavs are in the bottom 5 in allowing points in the paint.
I also like the Detroit Red Wings +110 vs Chicago. The super duper Pavel Datsyuk is back in the lineup tonight.
Update: Lou took the Devils at +140.
