Category: Baseball

Game 7

Posted in Baseball, Hockey - 2014/10/29 - 0 Comment

and I’ve got nothing…No bets, no leans. There is probably some value on the Giants at +125 to +130 but this is a game to pass on. Devils got smushed last night 8-3 after being up 1-0 after 8 seconds and 3-1 halfway into the 2nd. Undone by a near own goal in the first and some nitty and/or dumb penalties to the top powerplay team in the league. Nothing doing on either game tonight, but a full slate again Thursday

Tuesday

Posted in Baseball, Hockey - 2014/10/28 - 0 Comment

A poor 0-0 yesterday as Washington and Edmonton won covered easily, with both teams playing arguably their best games of the season. I will be re-working some of my modeling this next week to try and keep this from happening again. Single play tonight and it’s a longshot, New Jersey +170 @ Pittsburgh. New Jersey is challenging the coinflip theory of shootouts, having lost their last 10 billion in a row, so they’ll likely need to win outright versus our usual strategy of forcing overtime and hope the result goes our way.

The under (7) looks good to me tonight in baseball but I am passing and not playing.

Game 6

Posted in Baseball, NFL - 2014/10/28 - 0 Comment

I like the Royals tonight -142 vs the Giants.  Peavy is a great NL pitcher, but he just shits the bed in AL parks (and he has a 7.34 postseason ERA).  I also love betting teams, down 3-2, in Game 6s.  Especially teams with fight like the Royals.

Also, thanks to Lou for the Bills and Washington plays (I luckily got the Washington Colt McCoys at +10……part of a hedge for my season under 7.5 wins bet…which could be in jeopardy after their two games as they play the Vikings and the Bucs).

Another early NFL lean: KC -10 vs the Jets at -115.  Get it now before the juice/line goes up.  Chiefs are 6-1 vs the spread this year, are a great home team, and Mike Vick is starting at QB for the Jets.  Watch the “highlights” of him playing vs the Chargers and Bills, throwing balls into the dirt like it was a god damned cricket match.  Add a rift between the GM and the (lame duck) head coach over the Jets’ QB situation, and its easy money, IMO.

Week 8 NFL

Posted in Baseball, NFL - 2014/10/26 - 0 Comment

ATL +3 (late to this one but I woke up at 9am and saw that “Holy shit, DET has their #1 and 3 WR, and all of their TEs out!  They essentially signed the TE they traveled with just b/c he had a passport!”)

BAL/CIN under 45

GB +1 (EVEN)

OAK v CLE Under 43.5 (EVEN)

CAR +6

TEASER (+175):

BUF +3

GB +1

BAL/CIN Under 45

And in the spirit of miracle covers, here’s how Lou got screwed over for some of the runs in his under lats night:

Saturday

Posted in Baseball, Hockey - 2014/10/25 - 0 Comment

I still can’t find a freaking hockey game that is suitable enough to my liking. Rangers away to Montreal are really close, but I am still going to pass. Boston @ Toronto is another not terrible option I’m also choosing against. Should be something NFL or otherwise tomorrow.

UPDATE: Giants/Royals UNDER 7 -125

Sad Day

Posted in Baseball, Hockey - 2014/10/24 - 0 Comment

Lots of fucked up shit going on the world right now.  But this tweet sure made me snicker:

LOL

 

And they will:

I like the under in the KC vs SF WS Game 3 at 7 (-110)

and Winnipeg -105 at home vs TB

Sad Thursday

Posted in Baseball, Hockey, NFL - 2014/10/23 - 0 Comment

No plays again tonight unfortunately. Islanders, Nashville, Vancouver and Arizona are all leaners in order of worst to best value but none look like they are going to make it to the playable side. There is a NFL game also not bettable. 4-5 +1.1 so far for NHL. NFL has been awful to date 4-8 -3.51. MLB Regular season if I didn’t post it already finished 41-40 +3.72 and the playoffs were 1-0 +1.5. Hopefully better luck tomorrow.

Playoff Baseball

Posted in Baseball - 2014/10/07 - 0 Comment

I was all ready to writeup the record & recap for the season, and then a play appeared:

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Cardinals (Miller) +143

I didn’t get it posted so it doesn’t really count, but I am the owner of some Orioles to win the World Series shares at +725

Thursday Night Degeneracy

Posted in Baseball, NFL - 2014/10/02 - 0 Comment

Ponder is starting tonight for the Vikes, so therefore I *must* take Green Bay -10 (-105) at home.  I am also putting them in a teaser with the under at 47 (also a hedge with Matt Asiata, who I have in 2 fantasy leagues).

We’ll continue the MLB binge with taking the Angels at -1.5 at +115 at home versus the Royals and putting them and Green Bay in a parlay at +410. 

Huge split for the Angels spread bet but I think betting against Ned Yost could be a profitable strategy for us:

 

 

Wild Card Wednesday

Posted in Baseball - 2014/10/01 - 0 Comment

I like the under (6.5 -105) in tonight’s Pittsburgh vs Giants NL Wild Card game.  Madison Bumgardner always seems to come through for the Giants in these games, who are a pitching team.  Stats on the action below: