Category: Baseball
World Series Thoughts
I don’t like either team for a series price (or length of series), but if you can find any price over +100 with either team, you are getting better than 50% of essentially what is a coin flip.
In terms of just my thoughts on who I think will win, I have to say I favor the Mets just because they have the better starting pitching that is also on a heater. It’s why the Giants won last year and they only really had one guy. Can Murphy keep hitting a HR per game? The long layoff might effect that. But he is +400 to win MVP as the favorite and honestly, the way he is going, that sounds about right.
KC is a better overall team with middle relief, 7-8-9 hitters, and home field. But better teams don’t decide series, better pitching does. And the Mets have the better starters and closer. The managers in both of these games can make cringe worthy decisions at times, and really will start the conversation for next year: “Maybe robots could do better at this managing baseball stuff”. Side note – the ASG deciding the home field in the championship series is dumb.
If #Cardinals had home field: 57% chance to win Series (via @JayKornegay). Actual odds: 45%. 12% All-Star game swing!
— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) October 23, 2013
I mean, in football for example….who would show more emotion on the sideline: a robot or Jim Caldwell? The players would probably prefer to run through a wall for the robot more, as he could also charge their cell phones for after the game.
As for tonight, I like the Under at 7 (EVEN). Matt Harvey is 3-0 lifetime when he gets more than 9 days of rest, with a era of 2.75. Volquez is KC’s best starter. Weather also will be in the 50s with light rain.
Royals Flush
Betting on the Royals has done me well this post season…..and we get odds on them tonight as the play is Royals +118 at home for Game 6. This bet is part of a hedge as well, as if this series does go 7, we hit 2 out of the 3 props we took before the series: 7 games at +180 and KC in 7 +425 OR Toronto in 7 +475
NHL Wednesday
BOS v PHI Over 5 (-145)
Lost my first baseball game in the playoffs yesterday..we are 6-1-1 this post season, but that doesn’t count the hedge I immediately threw into live betting when LaTroy “Old as Balls” Hawkins came in the 7th inning. The Blue Jays pitching got so bad, they actually had to use a position pitcher, who told catcher Russell Martin he had a “fastball, change, curve, and slider”. Maybe they should of put him in the 7th inning.
BTW if you are interested: the Cubs at +1000 to win the series vs the Mets.
Monday Night Madness
NFL:
NYG +4 and in TEASER with OVER 51
MLB:
TOR V KC Over 8 (EVEN)
Great article from David Wayne Perdum about the MSU v UM miracle finish on Saturday:
At the Mirage sportsbook, Jay Rood, vice president of MGM race and sports, heard the crowd erupt all the way in the back office. ESPN.com’s Andrew Feldman was on the scene and joked that, judging by the crowd’s reaction, he was one of five Michigan fans in the room at the Mirage. The rest were Spartan supporters, some more heavily invested than others. A $20,000 money-line bet on Michigan State paid around $50,000, in addition to multiple four- and five-figure money-line bets on the Spartans, and took a significant chunk out of the book’s bottom line on Saturday.
— Stage Banter Guy Fieri (@TweeterReprise) October 17, 2015
Super Saturday
NCAA:
Memphis +10 (-110)
Penn State First Half +10.5 (-115)
Interesting NCAA betting stat: Underdogs between +7.5 and +10 have gone 496-474 ATS (51.1%) since 2005; whilst Underdogs between +10 and +14 have been slightly better going 651-617 ATS.
MLB:
NYM v CUBS Over 6 (-115)
https://twitter.com/FootyLiveVines/status/655393212350074881
Friday Night Bets
MLB:
KC +109
This KC/TOR series will be fun. It’s going 7, so I bet the total games at 7 (+180), and KC to win in 7 (+425) and TOR to win in 7 (+420). These two teams also don’t like each other, and quite honestly, I think the winner of this series wins the whole thing (unless the Cubs win and bring upon us the end times).
Leaning on NYM v CHI Over, whatever it is, tomorrow. I think 6.5 was the number I saw.
CFL:
Redblacks -4.5
Here’s a sweet catch from last night:
One of the most amazing plays you'll ever see. pic.twitter.com/vFvvK0Bgzx
— Richard Roeper (@richardroeper) October 16, 2015
10.11 Plays
MLB:
KC ML +114
LAD v NYM Over 6.5 (-115)
NFL:
SD -4 (EVEN)
NHL BONUS Parlay:
BOS ML +115 and WIN ML +110
