Category: Baseball
Thursday
How the %)*@ is it Thursday already? Two losers on Tuesday and I missed a would have been winner with Arizona yesterday. Insert day game rant here. Nothing today again but this time it’s because Bookmaker blows. Would have played Colorado and maybe Texas tonight if the lines were better, but there’s a 10-15 point difference from the Pinnacle lines.
I did come up with a winner on Tuesday with the live betting function that may turn out to be useful. It’s pointless to post the lines/plays here as they are one available during stoppages in play or between innings depending on the sport, but I’ll start a log of some sort.
Lots of La Liga action starting tomorrow with an all Madrid cup final.
MLB Plays 5/16
Another good day yesterday. At some point this may turn into a pattern…Only 2 plays this evening.
Mariners @ Yankees Under 9 -107 @ 24
Tigers ML +100 @ Rangers @ 24
MLB Plays 5/15
Epic soccer post by Louis yesterday.
Rangers ML -102 @ A’s @ 24
Brewers ML +113 @ Pirates @ 24
Red Sox ML +114 @ Rays @ 24
Mariners ML +111 @ Yankees @ 24
Nationals ML +129 @ Dodgers @ 24
Oh butters. What have I done. Anyone else catch a theme? Why not throw some propane on to the fire?
Away Runs +4.5 -109 @ Home Runs @ 36
I could see Louis or Sean probably betting a sizable amount on the home team side to hedge. To each their own.
Tuesday
There is such a thing as being too nitty with the lines and I hit that on Monday. Both the Rockies (@ Cubs) and Rangers (@ Athletics) have been hitting poorly and sent out sub-optimal lineups on Monday versus two solid starting pitchers. I thought both home teams would win, and they both did easily, but I passed because the lines weren’t quite what I was looking for.
OTOH, I took the Dodgers last night because the numbers lined up, but there wasn’t really anything that was super strong, just a lot of small things pointed to the Dodgers side. It was probably still worth a play, but at least one of the Cubs and A’s should have made the cut as well. This is exactly why I am blogging and testing here as my system clearly needs improvement before upping any dollar amounts into ‘significant’ territory.
Semi-related, I have an open item to update the sidebar with actual useful links to sites I am using instead of sites we used to pull a lot from 3-4 years ago. Should be done soon enough.
Cubs, Yankees, Angels, A’s and Jays are the leans today. Another happy gambling day with no day games to ruin the fun. I think as Toronto and Anaheim get healthy, they are going to make for some profitable plays before the season is out.
Two plays tonight:
Reds (Bailey) @ Fish (Nolasco) +150
Rangers (Holland) @ Athletics (Colon) Even
Monday
We won our play on the Cubs yesterday 2-1 continuing the theory that it’s possible to find games that are essentially 50:50 propositions and get bets down on the plus odds side. 5-5 in May for +0.56 and 14-12 for the season +4.62.
Lots of leans on a busy Monday in MLB. Mets, Chicago, Oakland, the Dodgers and Cleveland in game 2 all potentials at this point. Updates in a few hours per usual.
UPDATE: None of these lines are moving in the correct direction. I should have hopped on Oakland when it was down to -120 because anything higher than that is too much for me. May look at the O/U instead. Other last chance for a play is on the Dodgers and Beckett.
UPDATE2: LA Dodgers (Beckett) +110 at home to the Natinals (Zimmerman)
Sunday
Took yesterday off so no plays to report. The Royals lost to the Yankees in our play on Friday. One play today on the Cubs with Feldman +155 away to Washington. Enjoy your Sunday.
This is How to Liveblog
For those of you not up to speed on MLS, and I assume that’s all of you, DC United were crushed 4-0 at home to Houston on Wednesday night to drop to 1-7-1 on the season. We call that relegation form everywhere else in the soccer world, but in America, it’s simply last. Bad teams and/or weird sports make for the best source material, but Jeff Maurer really needs to win an award for his Liveblog of the match on Wednesday. Some highlights:
Halftime: 2-0 Houston. The Red Bulls have posters on the subways up here in New York with a picture of a player and a short phrase. Henry’s says: “Born to finish.” Dax McCarty’s says: “Every minute. Every play. Everything I have.” May I suggest a few for United players? Sanchez: “Ticket back to Panama is already booked.” Augusto: “Sparking the attack. Your counterattack, specifically.” Rafael: “Making you miss Pajoy.” Jakovic: “89 minutes of focus.”
Full time: 4-0 Houston. Dave Johnson says: “Man of the match should go to the fans who stayed.” Yeah, I’ll agree with that. Tough break, Kyle Porter.
Go read the whole thing. Our single play was a winner yesterday with the Mets winning in the bottom of the 9th 3-2. White Sox, Giants, Twins and Mets are your early leans this Friday morning. Soccer tomorrow but it may be a quiet weekend.
EDIT: One play tonight. Yankees (Hughes) @ Royals (Davis) -116
Thursday
Fun game of checkers as the Cubs lost yesterday 5-4. Manager Dale Sveum sent Carlos Villaneuva, who did not have a great game and who is almost never effective past the sixth inning, back out to start the 7th leading 4-3. Villaneuva promptly walks the #8 hitter. Cardinals manager Mike Matheny then sends out Descalso to hit for the pitcher. No problem there. Villaneuva is for some reason still in the game and goes to 3-2 against Descalso (Career .239 2013 – .172). Matheny then sends the runner on a hit & run that ends in a double play. Sveum finally removes Villaneuva after this gift and wisely brings in LOOGY James Russell to pitch to the lefty Matt Carpenter. Carpenter hits a double turned into a triple on an error with Carlos Beltran coming up. Sveum leaves Russell, who should never, ever face a quality right handed batter, in to face Beltran, who promptly singles in the tying run.
Sampdoria drew Catania 1-1 with 20 shots on goal but only six on target. Catania scored on their only shot of the game to earn a point. Such is life in low scoring sports.
One play so far today on the Mets (Gee) -113 at home to Pittsburgh (Locke). Leans on Colorado, Washington and TB/Toronto U7 with updates per usual.
MLB 5/9
I do not like what I am doing, but whatever…
Oakland A’s ML -123 @ Cleveland @ 24
NY Yankees ML -125 @ Colorado @ 24
These lines are not my style. But I am hammered at 10:47 in the morning listing to 2-Pac with Ed so I just do not care. Peeeeeace
MLB 5/8
Back in the saddle again. When last we left this site I was enjoying a nice run. We will get an early indicator if we are still running good as I already missed a bet this afternoon, liking the M’s against the Pirates. When you are running good the bets you miss, miss. When you are running bad the bets you miss cover within the first 15 seconds of game action.
Twins @ Red Sox Under 9 @ +108 @ 24
Angels @ Astros ML +126 @ 24
Yankees ML +121 @ Rockies @ 24
It is a telling indicator how little I think of Joe Blanton at the moment considering I am taking Houston in this spot. Bourjos is injured. Slowly coming around to Juan Nicasio, taking the Yankees here, but if Nicasio puts up something like 7 1/3 2 ERs I can’t see myself going against him in the immediate future. Very telling game in other words. At this moment Pirates have taken 1-0 lead on Felix, may still be running hot after all…
