Category: Baseball
Monday
We had another winner on Saturday despite my not knowing what day it was. No plays on Sunday except for a preseason NFL total I failed to post which was NYG/Buffalo OVER 33.5. The line closed at 36 but the teams only scored 30 :(
One play tonight: Tigers (Scherzer) @ Yankees (McCarthy) +105
Friday
Toronto (Dickey) @ Houston (Oberholtzer) +117
Friday
No play last night on the Marlins due to the low total. I suspect but can’t prove that taking the Under for these low scoring pitching affairs is ultimately profitable in general, and the same with the Over 10s and above. One play tonight:
Toronto (Happ) @ Houston (McHugh) -107
New York, New York
Been riding against the Red Sox all week trying to get more cash for Mohegan and the Montreal Poker Festival and have gone 4-1, going to ride the wagon tonight with the Yankees +107. I’m also throwing this in a parlay with the Mets/Giants Under 7 (-115).
Let’s just hope this guy doesn’t hit for the Mets:
https://twitter.com/OrdioMongo/status/494845530942767105
Thursday
Texas was also a winner last night getting us back on the plus side for the first time in a while. More days like yesterday please. Nothing doing in the day games but take note of any late lineup changes with all of the trade deadline happenings today. One game to note this evening is Cincinnati at Miami. The Reds offense and win loss record has entered a death spiral and they are relying almost solely on their pitching at the moment. Early betting numbers look good for the fish so far. Updates later per usual.
Wednesday
Bad beat loser last night and seeing as I am a sucker for more punishment we are running the game back again today: Oakland (Hammel) @ Houston (Keuchel) +126
UPDATE: Houston an easy winner 8-1. Red Sox are tempting but I will go with a much uglier game for the night session: Yankees (Kuroda) @ Rangers (Lewis) +125
Tuesday
As mentioned yesterday, I am looking to get onto Boston for the last half of the season. Today is a good but not great spot and I am going to lean juuuust on the side of passing. But I wouldn’t begrudge anyone who wanted to take them at home tonight versus Toronto. One team I’m generally looking to fade is Oakland and it starts tonight: Oakland (Samardjia) @ Houston (Feldman) +177
Monday
No plays today and none over the weekend. I’m not intentionally tightening up, there just hasn’t been very much to see the past few days. There should be some weird line moves the next few days in course with the trade deadline on Thursday. One counterpoint to Sean, I actually like the Red Sox a lot over the next few months as it’s the teams that underperform (especially for baseball when they are at home) that make for the best plays.
Parlay Sunday
One of the things I dislike most about any profit module is the fact that sometimes you have to do dirty things that make you feel uneasy. Do things that go against your gut, and compromise against what you feel in your heart.
I’m a lifelong Red Sox fan…….but I am also a lifelong fan of money. And right now, things are looking as bad as they can for my team and IMO, its about to TANK (and I am rooting for it so the Sox can start their selloff now and get prospects for the future to rebuild). Did you know, even including the WS run, the Red Sox are 7 games UNDER .500 since September 2011? Really goes to show how special 2013 was, and by special, I mean, “mathematical anomaly” (which is why baseball still exists: to satisfy the algorithmic whims of corporate serfs).
Therefore, I again take TB -160. This also helps below:
The Rays have won 9 straight. Since June 25, they have the best record in the majors (20-5).
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) July 27, 2014
And, in theme with the name of the post, also have them in a 3 team parlay at +425 with the Dodgers (-122, Ryu up against Jake “Over the Hill” Peavy) and the Marlins (+105) in Houston.
Friday
Two absolutely, not even close losers yesterday. Even my unposted WNBA tilt pick lost (Storm -4). No plays today, will try and get back on the wagon this weekend.
