Author: sean
New York, New York
Been riding against the Red Sox all week trying to get more cash for Mohegan and the Montreal Poker Festival and have gone 4-1, going to ride the wagon tonight with the Yankees +107. I’m also throwing this in a parlay with the Mets/Giants Under 7 (-115).
Let’s just hope this guy doesn’t hit for the Mets:
https://twitter.com/OrdioMongo/status/494845530942767105
Parlay Sunday
One of the things I dislike most about any profit module is the fact that sometimes you have to do dirty things that make you feel uneasy. Do things that go against your gut, and compromise against what you feel in your heart.
I’m a lifelong Red Sox fan…….but I am also a lifelong fan of money. And right now, things are looking as bad as they can for my team and IMO, its about to TANK (and I am rooting for it so the Sox can start their selloff now and get prospects for the future to rebuild). Did you know, even including the WS run, the Red Sox are 7 games UNDER .500 since September 2011? Really goes to show how special 2013 was, and by special, I mean, “mathematical anomaly” (which is why baseball still exists: to satisfy the algorithmic whims of corporate serfs).
Therefore, I again take TB -160. This also helps below:
The Rays have won 9 straight. Since June 25, they have the best record in the majors (20-5).
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) July 27, 2014
And, in theme with the name of the post, also have them in a 3 team parlay at +425 with the Dodgers (-122, Ryu up against Jake “Over the Hill” Peavy) and the Marlins (+105) in Houston.
Plays today
First of all, congrats to Lou for betting on a WNBA game. That’s some ballsy shit right there. In honor of this, I’m making a small play on the Ottawa Redblacks +7 at Hamilton in the CFL.
Here are my plays today:
TB +102 and in Parlay with Dodgers -195 (Kershaw) at +200.
DET/ANA Over 8.5 -105
UFC:
Daron “Detroit Superstar” Cruickshank +190
Robbie Lawler vs Matt Brown fight goes the distance +300
Keep an eye out for NFL totals soon, maybe even in podcast format.
If you bet on every Peyton Manning & Tom Brady reg. season start since 2003:
177-116, 60.4%
+55 units won
18.8% ROI pic.twitter.com/J0LFpJ7Vk5— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) July 21, 2014
UFC Tonight
World Cup This Weekend
Like Lou, I am also hedging a result on Sunday except it is for Argentina to WIN (+140 and +240) as I have them 11/2 to finish second before the tournament. I will also make a small play on the draw at +230.
I will say if I had no horse in this matter, I would love Germany here. They are playing fantastic. This game is a big moment for Messi; he leapfrogs Pele as “greatest footballer ever” with a win here (he’s already the best CLUB player of all time, IMO).
For today’s game, Brazil v Netherlands, I like the over at +3 at +115.
Since 1978, every World Cup Third-place match has had at least 3 goals with an average of 4.22 goals per game.
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) July 11, 2014
Also, for those curious what the NBA futures are now after yesterdays news (how did I not make a small play on the Cavs when season ended in case this happened?)
Current NBA Futures (via 5Dimes)#Cavs +425#Spurs +500#Thunder +650#Rockets +700#Bulls +800#Clippers +1100#Pacers +1900#Heat +4000
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) July 11, 2014
LeBron Odds
In case you were curious:
As decision time nears, @hemdash looks at where betting markets think LeBron James will go: http://t.co/aPaox5P8fa pic.twitter.com/aR01Virv6C
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) July 9, 2014
Just returned from Vegas, I actually somehow chopped of the bets I made lol
I also sadly lost -105 on Brazil. At least I shipped the over by the 20th minute!
Also like the Mets +110
“Ole, Ole”? More like, “Parlay, Parlay!”
3-0 on the picks posted here last night; and I also had a fun hedge profit situation as before the Chile-Brazil game I took 2-1 result with Alexis Sanchez scoring at 100-to-1. He scored in the 31st to tie the game at 1, and I immediately hedged the 1-1 result (+425), the draw in the first half (+325) and second (+135) halves in live betting for a 70% ROI. Not bad.
We continue the degeneracy today as I am taking the Netherlands (EVEN), Costa Rica (+155) and putting both in a parlay (+250). Let’s hope Holland can win the first leg so I can hedge again, as I have always wanted to say, “Welp, it looks like I need to put money on the Greeks in the second game”, and not poop myself afterwards in fear.
Good luck today.
Saturday Plays
World Cup:
Luis Suarez has a future in corporate PR:
Luis Suarez says bite not intended, claims he lost balance & hit face on player causing 'a strong pain in my teeth' http://t.co/wblF4WLHsn
— Zeninjor Enwemeka (@Zeninjor) June 28, 2014
Columbia -105
UFC:
Clint Hester +105
Cub Swanson/Jeremy Stephens Over 4 Rounds EVEN
World Cup Today
Interesting intel here from Twellman about today’s game in Recife:
There is no chance that this rain storm hasn't water logged the field. Problem is nobody knows because not a single soul can get there.
— Taylor Twellman (@TaylorTwellman) June 26, 2014
I have since taken the under 2.5 at +110, and also the draw at +210 and two results: Germany 1-0 at (13-2) and the Draw at 1-1 (4-1)
Also as a side note, the Russia-Algeria game was my pre-tourney pick of “game most likely to be fixed” – but these teams actually play for something today! Also have been mildly impressed by Algeria, and have taken them at +220.
We’ll end with Pat Darts’ fav twitter account:
https://twitter.com/DidMetsLose2Day/status/481984779181502464
WC today
Honduras +1 at +130 and Under 2.5 +130 (v Swiss)
Iran/Bosnia Over 2.5 +150
Dzeko to score +110