Author: sean
Week 9 NFL
Buffalo -14.5 (-110)
Back to betting against the Jags every week.
LA Chargers at Philadelphia OVER 49 (-110)
Should be 52 IMO.
LA Rams -7.5
Titans lose Derrick Henry going into SoFi vs a hot Rams team who just got Von Miller. I have no idea how they cover Cooper Kupp.
Packers +7
Are the Chiefs 7 points better than anyone NOT the Jags/Lions/Texans right now?
TEASER +150: PHI +1, CLE +1, LA RAMS -7.5
Super Picks (20-20 Season): DEN +10, GB +7, LA Rams -7.5, BUF -14.5, LA Chargers PK
Castle Degen Parlay (My pick in BOLD at +4058):
| CLE +2.5 |
| NE -3 |
| LAC ML -118 |
| DEN +10 |
| LA RAMS -7 |
| LV -3 |
DFS:
Week 8 NFL
Colts -1
Now at -3 after some COVID hit Tennessee including DC Jim Schwartz. Indy is starting to come around and this should be a contested division by the end of the year.
Lions ML +150
I don’t care 75% of the money is on Detroit. After I saw this last week when Philly coach Nick Siranni compared his team to a flower (I want the shit he is smoking), there is just no way this isn’t 1 of the 2-3 potential wins on the Lions schedule this year.
Jacksonville at Seattle OVER 43.5
Now at 45. These defenses stink.
Cincinnati -10 (EVEN)
I’m betting against Jets QB Mike White as much as I can.
Texans 1H +9.5
They have been a sticky first half team all year against these big numbers.
The Castle Degen Parlay (my pick in BOLD):
| +4576 |
| Jets |
| Falcons |
| Tampa |
| Den/Wash OVER |
| Jags / Hawks Over |
| Steelers |
Super Picks (18-17 on the season): ARI -6, CIN -10, BUF -13.5, DET +3.5, IND -1
DFS:
Week 7 NFL Plays
Tampa -11
Tampa is banged up, but so is Chicago, and I just don’t know how Chicago scores on the road with a running QB vs a top 3 running defense even with Lavonte David out. Plus Matt Nagy will fuck it up at some point.
Eagles at Raiders OVER 48.5 -110
These defenses stink. Eagles might be a play too, as a lot of Philly fans probably in Vegas this weekend to watch game. The Gruden firing might be GOOD for the Raiders; they played looser last week and it showed, granted against a meh Broncos team.
TEASER +150: NE -7, BAL -6.5, GB -8.5
PARLAY MLs +125: NE -320, GB -415, TB -650, LAR -1400, HOU -2000
Super Picks: (0-5 last week, 15-15 on season): SEA +5, Tampa -11.5, LA Rams -15, PHI +2, DEN +3.5
The Degen Castle Parlay:
So doing a weekly parlay with 5 of my friends; we each get a pick and throw in money each week (my pick in BOLD):
| Ravens/Bengals Under 46 |
| Eagles +3 |
| KC – 4 |
| Washington +8.5 |
| TB -11 |
| Bengals +6.5 |
| Odds: +4576 |
| 30 to pay 1376 |
DFS:
NFL Week 6
Dolphins -3 (-130)
Totally forgot this game was at 9:30am in London. Jags might win because Dolhpins also bad, but betting against Urban Meyer every week. Only another 8-10 weeks of this money train.
Chiefs at Washington OVER 55
This is the biggest over ever at FedEx Field. Hope the grass doesn’t screw us over, although Chiefs giving up 7.1 yard per play lol
Denver -3.5 (-115)
After the Gruden emails fiasco, the Raiders might be cooked for a few weeks with the interim coach coming in.
Houston +10
Colts keep everybody in games (or blow them all together)
Cowboys at Patriots UNDER 50.5 (-115)
Total should be 48.
TEASER +150: PIT -5, KC -7, CAR +1
SUPER PICKS (15-10 on the season) PHI +7, MIA -3.5, PIT -4.5, HOU -10, DEN -3.5
DFS:
NFL Week 5
We have a new pod out! We talk about Lou’s HFA points ratings Home vs Away, the shittiest defenses so far, how the Falcons & Giants coaches decision making sucks the life from the collective fanbases’ souls, and the week 5 lines:
Now for this week’s picks:
TEN -3.5 (-120)
This is now at -4.5. The Titans are banged up, have the worst secondary in football, and coming off a loss to the woeful Jets… but they are at least a professional football team with a professional football head coach. The Jags players are laughing at theirs.
DET +10 (-110)
This started at 7.5 and is now at 10… I don’t understand it. I don’t think the Vikings are 10 points better than anybody not named the Texans. Detroit is not good but they are competitive every week and they have had cover sweats in all of their games.
Chicago at Las Vegas OVER 45 (-110)
Will be a fun atmosphere with Bears fans in Vegas today. The only thing worse than Matt Nagy’s play calling is the Raiders’ O-Line. The Bears defense has not been good this year. The Raiders may also not be totally up for this game after the tropey email Gruden wrote in 2011 that was reported.
Buffalo at KC OVER 56 (-110)
Just keep betting KC OVERs until they don’t hit.
TEASER +150: Cowboys -7, Patriots -9, Arizona -6
SUPER PICKS (11-9 on the season): NE -8, DET +10, TEN -4, IND +7, ARI -5.5
DFS:
NFL Week 4
Cleveland -2 (-110)
Browns have looked like the best team in the AFC so far, if not for Baker and the punter shitting themselves in the 4th quarter vs KC in Week 1. And its the Vikings, who find new ways to lose games each week.
KC at PHI OVER 54.5 (-110)
These defenses stink. Let’s see if the Philly coach can call more than 3 running plays this game.
Tennessee -6 (-110)
The Jets stink. Maybe the worst team in the NFL if it wasn’t for the Jaguars’ coach getting hammered in an Ohio State bar and flirting with co-eds. This from Mike Greenberg is hilarious; him going on tilt on live TV over the Jets each year is hilarious af https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogNfF2JSJTc
Ravens at Broncos UNDER 44 (-115)
Someone wins this game 20-17.
TEASER +150: TEN -6, WSH +1, KC -6
SUPER PICKS (8-7 on season): CLE -2, BUF -17, TEN-6, CAR +5, KC -6.5
DFS:
Week 3 NFL
New Orleans at New England UNDER 43
Neither offense has looked great in the first 2 weeks. Should be a close, defensive battle.
Atlanta +3 (-125)
Line seems off; should be 1 or pick’em. The play here is to obviously pick the Falcons, then take NYG Live Money Line when Atlanta goes up 14-3 in the 2nd quarter and then eventually blows the lead in the 4th (sorry Lou).
Denver -10
The Jets may have already ruined Zach Wilson
TEASER +150: Ravens -7, Cardinals -6.5, Steelers +2
Super Picks (6-4 on season): ATL +3, PIT -3, KC -6.5, PHI +4, DEN -10
DFS:
NFL Week 2
Dallas +3.5 (-110)
This is essentially a home game for Dallas in LA vs the Chargers. This might be the biggest crowd at home vs LA yet.
Philadelphia +3 (-120)
SF didn’t finish the game strong last week vs a shitty Lions team, and comes in banged up already. Philly looks kind of promising but Falcons stink so we don’t fully know if they challenge Dallas for NFC Least yet.
ATL at TB OVER 52
Falcons secondary stinks, and Tampa’s is super banged up.
Denver -5.5
Denver has 2nd best defense in league, and Urban Meyer is already thinking about leaving for USC. Poor Trevor Lawrence.
Chiefs -4
Ravens super banged up, coming off nut punching loss, and their blitzing defense is not good matchup vs KC’s all world receiving core.
3 TEAM TEASER +150:
Denver -5.5
Dallas +3.5
Seattle -6
SUPER PICKS WK 1 (4-1 on season): DAL +3, KC -4, PHI -3, DEN -6, LAR -3.5
DFS:
Week 1 NFL
Bengals +3
The Vikings will find ways to keep them in the game. And they still have a shitty kicker.
Steelers +6.5
Line is too big; this should be a 3 point game, and a good one at that. Sneaky big AFC game week 1.
Texans vs Jaguars OVER 46
These defenses stink.
Rams -8.5
Stafford and a top 5 defense vs Andy Dalton and a top 10 defense. I choose Matt Stafford.
Prop of the week: Daniel Jones OVER INT 0.5 -130
DFS:
Miracle Covers AFC 2021 Preview
Here’s Lou and I’s 2021 AFC Preview. We also talk some La Liga and EPL.
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/mc-afc-2021-preview
And here are my Super Picks this week:
CIN +3
LA -9
SF -8
PIT +6.5
GB -3.5
