Author: lou
Saturday
Min post as I am out & about today. NHL Tampa +119
Friday
Again, apologies for the Detroit play last night as they got smushed 4-1. College hoops were both winners but Miami lost outright in New York, so a mixed day all around. Not much looks good today. Toronto is the only “lean” tonight, but they are on a back-to-back. One play in college hoops and that’s Wright St. +4.5.
A quick note on the NFL playoffs…There are a total of 11 playoff games each season or roughly 1-2 fewer than an average regular season week with a few teams on bye. Please don’t be overly degen and try and bet on games that you wouldn’t otherwise. Just like poker, it’s OK to fold a winner every once in a while. I will try and get plays in tomorrow morning but I may be asleep. Good luck to all per usual.
Thursday
1-0 yesterday as Georgia not only covered but won outright in overtime. Rangers were also a winner in NHL for those playing leans. One notable pass tonight and that’s Minnesota @ Phoenix. My single NHL play tonight is on Detroit +160 @ San Jose. I am 2-7 on plays the last month after a ridiculous start so be forewarned.
In the NBA tonight, I have Miami -8 @ New York. NCAA: Depaul +9 @ Butler and FIU +1.5 @ Rice
UPDATE: I realized after placing the bet that Detroit is in the East now. I will now stare at hockey divisions before I go to sleep the next few nights.
Wednesday
Pair of losers yesterday in NCAA. GA Tech managed to lose the second half by 20+ points after being down one at half and Vanderbilt miracle covered in a loss. Will try and do better today. Today’s leans posted across all sports with plays to follow in bold:
NCAAB: Richmond +2, Georgia +11.5
NBA: Golden State -6
NHL: Rangers +170
Decisions on plays in an hour or so.
UPDATE: Rangers are playing a Western team, so they are out. I can’t keep the conferences straight for hockey, much less the divisions. UGA is the only play for me tonight.
Tuesday
Minnesota was an easy NBA winner last night and Calgary also won for those being aggressive and taking ‘leans’ as well as plays. Nothing in NHL tonight despite a full slate, but New Orleans in the NBA will be a GTD. I’m leaving the NCAA Totals experiment aside for the rest of the season as there are just too many games & conferences to keep track of. Even getting NCAA sides done is time consuming, at least until I start getting my bet sizes up a bit larger and can afford to pay for the automation. That said, two college game tonight:
Georgia Tech +15.5 @ Duke
Vanderbilt @ Alabama -7
Monday
Back to normal service starting today. A quick note on the Chiefs-Colts game as it was example #5,290 why not to follow big lines moves in football. This is doubly true for the NFL over college. Anything over a point is significant and should generally be avoided. The only sticking point on the KC line was that it did not hit ‘3’ on either side, but a 4.5 point move is ridiculous regardless. Either take the other team or pass on the game entirely.
Nothing doing on the college game tonight so I will roll my perfect bowl season into next year even though I took off the better part of the games. In NBA, Minnesota -7 @ Philadelphia. NHL has a light schedule today. I was considering Calgary in the late game but they are playing too terribly for me over the past few weeks.
More tomorrow…
Friday
Likely passing on any college football today. Oklahoma was an easy cover yesterday and I am up to 5-0 this bowl season. Getting back on the hockey bandwagon today with NY Rangers +140
Useless Info
Iowa was a winner yesterday. Not getting a post up before the game but I have Oklahoma plus 17 tonight. No hockey games tonight unfortunately. Normal service to resume Monday
Happy New Year
Iowa +7.5
Positive Variance
Three sports and four winners yesterday made for a stark contrast to Thursday’s plays. I even missed getting in a play on Dallas/San Jose which the Sharks won in a shootout. Still a bit grouchy I didn’t get +175 on a coinflip, but the result worked out this time.
NFL today, Houston is the primary play this week at home to Denver +10. Other leans are on Washington, Indy, Minnesota, Oakland and Tennessee. I am going to take Indy with the line move +7.5. Indy/KC Over 47 is a close pass for me as well.
Nothing in NBA or NHL today and there is no college football. College hoops has some totals action today:
Purdue/West Virginia Over 147.5 1u
E Washington/Penn St Over 141 1/2u
Boise St @ Hawaii Over 160.5 1/2u
Good luck today.
