Author: lou
Friday
Florida was a somewhat unlucky loser in overtime last night away to Tampa. We’re 0-2 to start the year. Our leans went 1-1 as Winnipeg won easily, Phoenix might be bottom 5 bad this season especially with a Western Conference schedule, and Dallas lost in a shootout. Single game tonight, Islanders at Carolina. The Islanders should be better this season. The best case is they mimic Columbus’s season from last year. Carolina will be solidly below average. This combines to make a fantastically accurate line for tonight’s game, but with the public so heavy on New York this is a lean if not a micro-play. Carolina +105
Thursday (More Hockey)
Still no other sports! I think everyone else in the NHL plays tonight with a handful of teams on back-to-backs. Good Game Flyers last night who lost 2-1 but were a minute away from forcing overtime. For anyone new here, we’re trying to identify coinflip games at plus odds (or better) as a hockey strategy. 0-1 -1.00 for the season.
I am going to try and capture leans this season just for reference. We have one of those tonight, Winnipeg +125 @ Phoenix. One actual play and that’s Florida +170 @ Tampa
EDIT: I forgot there is an NFL game tonight. Also one other leaner, Dallas +104
Opening Night (Hockey)
There are some advantages of being he least popular major sport. People treat you like the cute youngest sibling and generally ignore you and leave you to your own devices right up until a major event that causes some people to temporarily take notice before letting you retreat back into relative anonymity. For degens, this means the lines don’t move very much unlike some larger sports (NFL, cough). With no baseball tonight, American sports fans will be forced to watch hockey to find a sport who’s games count this evening. We’ll start with the win totals:
Playoff Baseball
I was all ready to writeup the record & recap for the season, and then a play appeared:
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Cardinals (Miller) +143
I didn’t get it posted so it doesn’t really count, but I am the owner of some Orioles to win the World Series shares at +725
NFL Sunday
A lost week for me, I’ll get current season totals up in a bit. No NFL plays for me today, though I’m close on several, Tennessee, Carolina and Arizona the primary ones, but I will probably pass altogether.
Week 4
A lost week for me. Last Sunday was painful, I was and still am convinced I was on the “right” side with St. Louis and Minnesota last week but ended up with a pair of close losses in both cases. I also missed a couple of profitable plays in baseball being too caught up with work. Baseball ends today with no notable games as the betting drops off significantly in September. NFL with this bye week has not a whole lot looking good either. One one game I have today and it Minnesota +3 +110 or +3.5 -105 hosting Atlanta. This will be a 2u game for me.
Any updates to be posted as we go along. Hockey starts soon, thankfully.
Sunday
Cubs were an 8-7 winner yesterday coming all the way back from 7-1 down in the late innings for a miracle cover. Not much doing in baseball today. Two NFL plays this morning:
Dallas @ St. Louis +1 -103
Minnesota +10.5 -117 @ New Orleans
EDIT: Found a baseball game Miami +145
Latw NFLArizona +3
Saturday Baseball
Cubs +111 with Doubront going against the Dodgers.
Friday
Falcons and the Over were embarassingly easy winners last night. One leaner in baseball tonight and that’s San Diego with nothing much else doing. Hockey training camps have opened so we are only a few weeks away from real games. October 8th & 9th is opening night.
Thursday
Nothing doing tonight in either MLB of NFL. Tampa at 6.5 +100 is tempting but still a pass. Nothing remotely close in baseball. I do like the over 46 if anyone can find it.
