Author: lou
Tuesday
Apologies for the late post. At least one play here tonight and it starts very soon:
San Jose @ Florida +140
There should be one more hockey game and possibly an NBA game later
NBA: I am in agreement with Pat on this one and that’s a bit scary. Sacramento +8 @ Dallas
NHL: Dallas -115 @ Arizona
Monday
An okay Sunday for us, winning on the Jets but losing on the Raiders, with the moneyline play pushing the season into positive territory. Toronto was a late decision and was a winner as well, and we even passed on the Bears Sunday night in another good decision. NFL is now 8-9 +0.85 and NHL is a similarly mediocre 10-11 +1.8.
Not much happening tonight with only two hockey games and Panthers-Eagles in NFL. Hopefully a few more plays tomorrow.
Sunday
An 0-2 hockey day for us as both the Rangers and Avs were one goal losers, Colorado being done in by an unnecessary Nathan MacKinnon boarding major. Tulane won their game against Houston as a 17 point underdog so good for them.
Today is a day to attempt to open a Bovada account to get action down on Jets +6. It’s a 2.5 point swing down to the sharper Pinnacle line and the public is predictably all over Pittsburgh. Please do not bet on the Steelers in any capacity today. My plays:
Jets to win outright +164
Hopefully some Jets +6 -115
Oakland +11.5
Oakland to win outright +500
One other possible game is Chicago tonight. Nothing in NBA or NHL today.
UPDATE: I lied Toronto +115
Saturday
Indiana covered relatively easily yesterday but the Devils did not. Already down 3-1 this happened:
Updates on all kinds of things throughout the day but nothing here early.
UPDATE: Really slow day so far. One play coming up Tulane +17 -115. Hockey in a few hours.
UPDATE 2: Tulane will likely win outright with 5 minutes remaining. Backup goalie Saturday in NHL and I am continuing to fade the Flyers. This may end horribly:
Rangers +105 @ Toronto
Colorado +120 @ Philadelphia
Friday
Early post as I’m traveling later today. 1-1 yesterday as Florida lost and Vancouver won. To Sean’s point yesterday, I did know Florida has been excellent defensively in 5-on-5 play, but unfortunately they are last in the league in goals with 16 in 11 games. Their coach summarized for us:
We just weren’t sharp enough, we weren’t hungry enough and we didn’t battle enough.
There’s a joke about talent in there somewhere. Winnipeg lost in a shootout to Pittsburgh 4-3 and in the late game, Vancouver held on to win by about a second (Skip to 4:30 if the video doesn’t start there)
Options tonight are limited. Devils on a back-to-back are in Detroit and Indiana is an option for sadists at Boston in NBA.
UPDATE: Devils +155 and Pacers +5.5
Thursday
Both basketball plays were losers yesterday as Denver was not close to winning at all. The system backtested well so we’ll stick with it for the time being. Vancouver, Winnipeg and Florida are on the shortlist for hockey tonight from west to east. Not sure yet which games will end up being plays but I’l try and get them up 30 minutes before gametime.
NFL tonight is Browns at Bungles. I liked Cincy at -6 but not at 6.5 or 7 which is where the line will close. Good luck.
FLORIDA +135 @ Philadelphia
UPDATE Vancouver +120 @ San Jose
Wednesday
1-1 and breakeven in our hockey plays last night as Edmonton was beaten easily with a backup goaltender and a few forwards out and Phoenix held on to win 3-2 over Toronto. The Suns won by 6 and I lost with a bad line. For the few people who asked there probably won’t be more than 20-30 NBA plays for the entire season and I’m using small amounts on top of that. Nowhere near our hockey bet sizes.
Nothing doing on the 3 NHL games. One NBA possibility late tonight; I’ll try and remember to update
UPDATE: Denver +3.5 and +150
Tuesday
Short on time, may add another game in each sport in a few hours.
NHL
Edmonton +155 @ Philadelphia
UPDATE: I did not account for the terribleness of Edmonton backup goaltenders that only rivals Winnipeg and the Islanders for sustained failure. Doubling down on another terrible team, Toronto @ Arizona -110
NBA
Phoenix -6.5 @ Lakers
Monday
1-0 with our Rams play yesterday and a big swing and a miss not getting in Miami before it moved to -3. It was probably playable there but I was nitty with the line move and missed out on an easy win. Up to a merely below-average 7-8 for -0.15 on the season. Nothing in hockey gain with a solo game tonight that’s already well underway and nothing over the weekend either. NHL is 7-7 +2.45 for the season. No bet on Giants-Colts tonight and we’ll hope for some action tomorrow.
Sunday
3-3 in amateur football yesterday. Likely passing on Miami, Jets and Houston with yesterday’s Rams the only play today.
