Author: lou
January 11
Mixed day again yesterday. 1-1 for a profit in hockey and 1-2 for a loss in NBA. I didn’t have any NFL action yesterday and also didn’t understand all the freaking out over the Patriots yesterday and somewhat again today. It’s not like the Ravens are actually the Raiders wearing purple unis. If your team plays like shit for the 1st half and is only down by 7 and nearly ended up only down 3, that’s a good outcome.
Nothing looks very good today. There might be some small value on the Pakcers moneyline if it gets down near -200 or so, but otherwise it’s probably a pass. Phoenix +5 in NBA in an early option, but nearing midseason I’m a very sad 13-16-2 -4.1. NHL is a positive 39-45-1 +4.44
January 10
Several losers yesterday, 0-1 NHL with New Jersey losing in OT and 1-2 in NBA which should really not be seriously followed, though I have three more plays tonight posted below. One new year’s resolution for me is to become more comfortable going with large amounts of public money in hockey. Boston and Minnesota both won this afternoon and were both at pretty good prices but also with 70% of the money on them. The public plays are generally losers, but it doesn’t mean they always are (or else gambling would be very, very different). Onto the plays:
NBA first:
Celtics +11.5 @ Toronto
Utah +11.5 @ Houston
Magic +14 @ Portland
And some NHL:
Islanders @ Columbus UNDER 5.5 1/2u
The other interesting game tonight is Calgary getting +165 @ Vancouver. Calgary is on a back-to-back and missing their normal backup Ramo who is out injured. Jonas Hiller the starter had a very busy night yesterday, so the question is whether to start him or a random AHL guy called up today. I’d love to jump in here but it may be a pass or half unit only.
UPDATE: The unproven Finn Joni Ortio gets the nod for Calgary +177 (1/2) @ Vancouver
January 9
Nothing doing yesterday. One NHL game for 1/2u tonight and that’s the Devils +150 at home to the Islanders. We are fading every traditional hockey stat and some sharps on this one so feel free to pass. Some NBA action as well:
Chicago PK EVEN @ Washington
Utah +11.5 @ Oklahoma
Memphis +1.5 @ New Orleans
Jan 8
Mixed but winning day for us yesterday. Boston and Washington were winners but our under lost and NBA plays went 1-1. Nothing doing for me this evening, but those scrounging for a play can try Dallas +140 or so away to Nashville. I’ll try and have one more look before the 8PM games, but it looks likely today will be a pass all around.
Jan 7
Our single play on the Sharks last night was a winner, 4-3 in overtime. Some confirmed action early tonight:
Boston +130 @ Pittsburgh
Washington @ Toronto UNDER 5.5
NBA because I’m an idiot Houston -6 @ Cleveland
Potentially adding the Caps straight up at -125 or so, Red Wings and Pacers
UPDATE 1: Washington -125 @ Toronto. Indiana +11.5 @ Golden State
January 6
A nothing day yesterday and close to a nothing day again today. San Jose +125 @ Minnesota is our only play.
Day 5
1-2 in yesterday’s games as bowl season effectively comes to an end. I suspect there may be action on Ohio St. but I also could not even tell you when the game is scheduled for so we’ll leave that for next week. A pretty barren evening tonight.
2015 Day 4
Yesterday we won our Nashville play in one of the more ridiculous and entertaining games of the year. I asked on Twitter if anyone had stats on blown leads of three goals or more prior to the end of the 3rd as Nashville led 5-1 and 6-3 only to finish 7-6 winners in overtime. Everything else was a pass. Two NFL games this afternoon and I am on both
Bungles +3.5 @ Indy
Lions +6 @ Dallas
My only regret is not getting a better line earlier in the week (4 and 7 respectively). I’ll likely have an NBA game and amateur football play later this evening.
UPDATE Ark St +3
Saturday
More bowl game winners yesterday pushing our record for the season to 17-7 +12.32 with two games remaining. We ended up 4-0 on our 2u plays of which UCLA was one along with South Carolina, Bowling Green and Texas A&M. Hockey has been a waste of time to date with two losses and a pass on a winner taking the season record to 34-42-1 good for a sad +0.23. NFL regular season finished up at 16-15 +4.35.
I don’t like either playoff game today, but I do have a preference on both the Bungles and Lions tomorrow getting at least 3.5 and 7 respectively. For anyone looking to take Carolina today, you should be able to get 5.5 as Arizona is getting bet down any time the line pops up to 6.
Lastly, there should be some NHL plays today: Nashville early and New Jersey, Minnesota and San Jose later on make up today’s shortlist.
UPDATE 1: Nashville +110 @ Los Angeles
January 2
2-0 to start the year, updates on season totals coming soon. One confirmed play of several tonight: UCLA -105 in the whatever bowl we are on Bowl.
I feel like I bet on the Devils (Now under new management!) at least once a week:
Florida @ Buffalo +125
Montreal @ New Jersey +125
I am passing by the slightest of margins on Carolina at home to the Flyers. Oilers are on the probable list to complete the shit team trifecta. I have OK St. on the shortlist also for tackle football in the late game.
UPDATE: I can’t get out of my own way in hockey. Late play is Oklahoma St +7
