Week 4 NFL
Miami +7 (-120)
The Pats are reeling right now. This kinda reminds me of 2002 when the team, coming off a Super Bowl, didn’t make enough additions in the offseason to offset the players who left as well as the weaknesses of the team that existed even in a Super Bowl year. The Pats as of right now only have 5 active WR on the roster: 1 is decent (Hogan), two of them are Special teams guys (Patterson/Slater), and the other two are super talented but unreliable and hurt (Gordon and Dorsett). Maybe they should of overpaid Amendola like Miami did. Gronk is getting triple teamed because of this and he’s frustrated. Brady has almost no one to throw to, and he’s pissed at the coach, who the fans in NE are starting to question more than at any time of his 18+ year tenure here. 6 out of the 8 guys they drafted are on IR, including the best of the bunch LB Ja’Whaun Bentley. They’ve lost two RBs to IR that were going to play a big role in the run game (Hill and Burkhead). Sony Michel might also suck. The defense still sucks; we paid Adrian Clayborn and Danny Shelton all this money and they have 3 tackles between them through 3 games. Maybe things stabilize when Edelman comes back and Gordon gets up to speed on the offensive side, but defensively this might be the worst team Belichick has had since 2006. This line is too high; Pats still might win at home and Miami might not be as good as their 3-0 record suggests considering they haven’t played a top team yet, but I don’t think the Patriots are seven points better than anyone right now.
Titans +3.5 (-110)
Former Patriot HC Mike Vrabel has done a good job managing the game flow for the Titans; the improvement over Mularkey (who clearly DGAF) shows. Vrabel also gives his team Tuesdays off if they win (I love these videos). The Titans win games ugly but they do so through excellent tackling, not turning the ball over, little penalties, and good special teams. When you win a game after QB Blaine Gabbert throws for 133 yards, the coaching staff is doing THEIR part. Philly is 2-1 but they have struggled in each game, and Carson Wentz still is in “preseason warmup” mode. Titans are probably a Wild Card team in the AFC, taking over the spot from the woeful Texans.
Jacksonville -7.5 (-110)
Sam Darnold is a promising QB, and the Jets are an OK team, but he’s going into the Jaguars den against the most intimidating front 7 in the NFL. Bortles putting enough points on the board is always a concern for a cover, but the Jags might get a defensive TD or two in this one as Darnold likes to take too many chances, something he has to improve on if he wants to become a consistently winning franchise QB, as supposed to a decent one.
Browns +3.5
This started at EVEN; all the money is going on the Raiders and I have no idea why (minus them being a public team). The Browns have the #1 defense. It’s Mayfield’s first start but he does it against a team with no pass rush and is the worst in the league in TO ratio.
SF at LA Chargers Over 46 (-110)
TEASER @ +150:
Houston +1
Jacksonville -7.5
Miami +7
DFS:
Bellator 206 BONUS:
Rampage Jackson vs Wanderlei Silva – Fight Goes to Distance – Yes @ +155
