Miracle Covers

Super Bowl 60 Props n Plays

Super Bowl 60 is here! Here are my props for the game, as well as prediction and pick:

Drake Maye Rushing Yards OVER 35.5 -110

Maye has a bum shoulder, but that should more affect his passing. But 2 weeks rest (along with the wonderful wide world of drugs), an aggressive Seattle defense who can times over pursue (Stafford left scrambles on the table last week), as well as McDaniels calling some mesh plays should lead to him getting some nice runs. Also like Maye ANYTIME TD +285 for this reason; Seattle has a great Red Zone defense and one way to beat that is by running with the QB.

Longest Punt New England Patriots UNDER 58.5 Yards -145

Bryce Baringer sucks and almost cost the Patriots the game last week. Seattle has a clear advantage in both kicker and punter. I would also take Anytime touchback at +125, but Dickson is the best punter in the league with 3 touchbacks this year, as supposed to Baringer who has had 5. Both teams may also be more careful to kick to both very good returners and just forfeit the yards instead of the risk of a big return.

Parlay – Both QBs to throw INT +208

Both of these teams’ strength is defense, so I can see both Maye (-124) and Darnold (-143) throwing one to the other team. The juice on those two should be switched really if you factor in the last 2-3 games.

K’Lavon Chaisson Sacks OVER 0.5

He’s had a great playoff with 3 sacks and a forced fumble, and he is playing for a free agent contract.

AJ Barner ANYTIME TD +240

Simmons made a good point on Barner now being the Seattle Tush Push guy since Charbonnet got hurt. He also goes up against a Patriots defense that has struggled vs tight ends.

Kayshon Boutte ANYTIME TD OVER +330

If Pats win/keep it close, he will be involved.

Total Rushing Yards Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 50.5 -115

Stevenson has been Patriots most consistent offensive player this post season, averaging 70 yards per game. Seattle also gave up 5 yards a carry last week. I am also tempted to take TreVeon Henderson over 18.5, but he’s kinda sucked this post season and I think Stevenson will get more snap volume (94% last week) due to his superior blocking skills.

Total Rushing Attempts Rashid Shaheed OVER 0.5 -170

He will get at least one to try to spread a great Patriots run defense out and keep their edges honest.

Hunter Henry Reception on First Drive +180

Maye will get some easy driver starters to settle him in. Henry has sucked in this playoff, but an easy quick pass could also help boost his confidence vs a Seattle team that also struggled vs tight ends this year.

Cooper Kupp Receptions OVER 3.5 +130

He has had 9 over the last two games, especially with teams doubling Smith-Njigba, and it could be his last game so I can see him making some plays.

Rashid Shaheed Longest Reception OVER 16.5 -110

Pats safeties are an issue deep (and something they need to address in the draft next year). Even Stidham hit one deep last week. Shaheed is one of the fastest players in the league, and I think there will be the deep ball volume there for value. He’s also the type to take a screen and make something out of it. His total yards OVER is 22.5 at -115, but I think he’ll get it in chunks so we pay less juice on this one.

Kenneth Walker III Receptions OVER 2.5 -110

He has had 7 receptions in his last two games, and all the volume since Zach Charbonnet went down, and Patriots gave up 4 catches to R.J. Harvey last week.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Targets OVER 10 -130

Seattle has thin WR depth to begin with. And it’s the biggest game of the year. They will get him the volume however will he succeed due to Patriots double teams and Christian Gonzalez.

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards UNDER 9.5 -110

He’s had 4 targets for 12 yards in 3 games this playoff. He’s old and kinda sucks.

THE PICK: Patriots +4.5 -115… I think someone will win this game by 3 points, judging how close this NFL year has been, with some great games. I will add Seattle to win by 31-40 points at 225-1/250-1 is enticing. I am going to throw Pats in teaser with OVER 46 as I don’t see this being a 13-10 game; final score probably in the mid twenties for both team, unless the Pats lose 41-10 or something.