Wild Card Weekend
My plays are in BOLD, but we also will pick all the games here:
Carolina +10.5 -115
I’ve seen as low as +9… this really should be at +7. Carolina beat them in Charlotte earlier in the year, and the Rams playing a relatively early East Coast start, let crappy teams hang around in games. I also like Tetairoa McMillan Receptions OVER 4.5 +102.
Chicago +1.5
This was a pick’em at some point… I’d want to usually hammer the Bears with the home field and coach advantage, and the Packers are banged up and limped into the playoffs. I just can’t trust the QB, so putting Bears in +145 teaser instead with CAR +10.5 and JAX +1.5 as all 3 games should be close, so I also like UNDER 46.5. I do like Caleb Williams Rushing Yards OVER 22.5 -118.
Jacksonville +1 (-114)
I’ve seen go both ways, from BUF -1.5 to PK to now JAX -1.5. Despite having the better QB, I just think Jacksonville is the better team. Plus ask any Bills fan, Jacksonville is a house of horrors for the Bills, who have never won there. And there’s also the specter on Sean McDermott having the recently fired John Harbaugh over his head taking his job if he loses.
San Francisco +6 -110
Should be around +3 as Philly isn’t that better over most of this tournament field, even against a banged up 49ers squad. Sirianni also has potential specter of Harbaugh coming if he loses this game; his team hates him.
New England -3.5 -110
Pats at home on cold weather game vs banged up Chargers squad. Pats are banged up too, especially at WR and DE, but unless Maye craps his pants in his first playoff game, the QB and coaching advantage should see them through. I do like Justin Herbert Rushing Yards OVER 29.5 -114 as Patriots have issues guarding mesh on the edges and Chargers with banged up OL will give up pressures and have hard time running the ball with the RB, especially if Hampton doesn’t play.
Houston -3 -107
Dome team on the road in the cold, but Houston has the best defense in the field, the Steelers backed into the playoffs, and according to a local Steelers fan I know, Aaron Rodgers may or may not be on menopause. I’ll prob end up chopping this one, TBH. I also like DK Metcalf Receptions UNDER 4.5 -170.
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