2025 NFL Over/Under Totals
Miami Dolphins UNDER 8.5 -160
Now at -210, I have also seen 7.5 at other books. Got this early before the Ramsey trade to the Steelers as I suspect Mike McDonald (who Ramsey said that he wanted to play for a team “where there’s a lot of respect for the head coach) is in a “lame duck” coach year as 2nd favorite to get fired behind Brian Daboll. Tyreek Hill will want out at the first sign of no playoffs. They face six 2024 playoff teams in the second half of the year, and finish in New England. And if Tua gets another serious concussion? He may not play again. Alternate line UNDER 6.5 at +150 is definitely in play.
Dallas Cowboys UNDER 7.5 +130
Got this in before the Micha Parsons trade and it’s now at -150; I had them at 5.5 wins even WITH him on the team. Prescott one injury/ string of bad games away for fans to want Joe Milton III out there. Cee Dee is the next favorite to be traded lol. They have a Schottenheimer coaching their team, and they finish the year facing 4 out of 5 2024 playoff teams. I also put a little on UNDER 6.5 +200. Jerry Jones is a donk and you should just keep betting against his operations while he’s still alive.
Seattle Seahawks OVER 8.5 +115
The NFC West faces the shitty AFC South this year so easy going for all teams in that division (a la last year and NFC North). Seattle looks to have a good defense, and maybe a dynamic running game if Walker III stays healthy and Milroe is used properly in packages. Cooper Kupp health will be key for passing game. Darnold is as average a QB you can find but good enough to beat up on weaker part of the schedule.
Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 8.5 EVEN
Aaron Rodgers is one bad night’s rest away from hitting the IR. D.J. Metcalf is a good player but also has his injury history. HOF DL Cam Heyward held out and may not play week 1. Tomlin is due to be sub-500 as he potentially winds down his fantastic Steelers career (maybe to Washington?).
New England Patriots UNDER 8.5 -115
Everyone is high on the Patriots this year, but they still have their personnel issues despite Mike Vrabel coming in and fixing the fundamentals. The OL is barely improved and still bottom 10. Drake Maye can make big plays but also make big misses and turnovers. They have 7 WR on the roster… usually means you have none. They will run the ball well this year with Maye/Gibson/Stevenson… and now their new weapon TreVeyon Henderson, who we at miracle covers will be betting a lot on his receiving and rushing props this year. The schedule starts tough, but I think they finish the year well after the early struggles as Vrabel mold the team to his style. They could cover alot this year… just not win games as much because in certain machups, they just don’t have the horses to compete.
Carolina Panthers OVER -145
Now at -160… they finished the season well last year… Bryce Young is growing in Canales’ scheme, and they play in the second worst division in all of football.
Denver Broncos OVER 9.5 -110.
The defense is good enough to win the division. The only threat is Bo Nix and the sophomore slump hiccups. But Peyton can manage it, especially if they can run the football.
Other thoughts: I will be betting a lot of Bengals game total OVERs this year. Their offense looks great after resigning everybody. Unfortunately the defense sucks and they will have to win every game 45-42. I also have Puka Nacua receptions OVER 104.5 -110 as he welcomes Davante Adams on a Rams team who could win the NFC West. Lou likes Drake London Reception Yards OVER 1100.5 -115. I also am giddy to bet against Bill Belichick every week, we have the UNC UNDER 7.5 -135 as he is now 8-26 while dating the 24 year old. Just playing the math there.
