Wild Card Weekend Pt 1
Won’t bet every spread/game, but we’ll try to go perfect against the spread and see how we do. All of our actual bets will have a * next to them (like props);
Cleveland -2 -115
This is the toughest game to handicap this weekend. Cleveland better defense and running game, but I think Houston has better WRs/QB and Coach. I will say I hope Flacco makes a run and totally makes the Deshaun Watson situation look worse by the game. Props I like: Kareem Hunt Anytime TD +160*, David Njoku Anytime TD +150*, C.J. Stroud Pass Completions OVER 23 +102*.
Miami +5 -110
We’ve been giddy to bet the Dolphins in the playoffs all year as they have yet to beat anyone good this year… but the banged up Dolphins draw the KC Chiefs, who have been experts at keeping teams close in games this year (mostly due to their WRs dropping the ball), especially in the 2nd half at home (2H UNDERs are 7-1 in KC this year). I do like the UNDER at 44.5* (now at 43) as it’s going to be cold af in KC with wind chill and all of that; it feels like this was the first year KC UNDERs hit at home more than OVER since the Alex Smith era. If you really like Miami this game, take the running game OVER props and they will need to run the ball well to win. Props: Patrick Mahomes OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards*, Devon Achane Rushing yards OVER 18 -110*, Tyreek Hill ANYTIME TD +129*, Patrick Mahomes INT OVER 0.5 -108*. The Tua INT OVER looks good too, but -136 is too high especially since Miami may run the shit out of the ball in this game.
