NFL Wild Card Sunday + Monday
2-0 so far thanks to the Chargers doing Chargery things. Bets placed in BOLD
Buffalo -13.5 (-115)
Miami limped into the playoffs thanks to Buffalo beating a milquetoast Patriots team. They will have a rookie starter who is more of a runner if anything vs a pretty fast Bills front 7. Bills should have an easy time here and will probably get a nice bump as Damar Hamlin maybe at today’s game.
Minnesota -3 +100
Most people went into the playoffs thinking, “Man, I can’t wait to bet against this overrated Vikings team and Kirk Cousins!”. Too bad their first game is against the Giants, who they beat 24-21 back in November in OT despite blowing a 4th quarter lead. The Giants had a good year but mostly took advantage of a weak schedule as well as Daniel Jones finally having a professional coach in Brian Daboll…but this VIkings team has more talent than this Giants team overall… I’d wait until next week for the annual Vikings’ bed shitting. This might be the last time of year I get to bet the Daniel Jones Rushing OVER prop (40.5 -118); it was 11-5-1 during the year.
Baltimore +8.5 -112
The backend of a “back-to-back” game as these teams played in the same place last week. I think Baltimore coaching, guile, the Lamar Jackson drama, and the division aspect of this matchup will keep things close despite backup QBs… however Baltimore’s failure in offense will hurt them in the 4th quarter, where Joe Burrow shines so I do like Bengals to win the game. For props, I like Total Field Goals OVER 3.5 +135 as we have two pretty awesome kickers in this game.
Tampa Bay +2.5 -107
I am actually taking the Tampa Bay ML on this game at +125. Dallas has more talent than this average Tampa team. They SHOULD win… but we all know what is going to happen. They will grab an early lead when this Tampa offense has their usual crappy start and then as we go into the late 3rd and 4th quarter, Dallas will start nitting it up on offense while Mike McCarthy is going to waste timeouts challenging a 2 yard catch on 2nd down while staring at the scoreboard as he ponders what type of nachos he is going to have later. Brady gets the ball back with 2 min and we all know the rest as that is how Tampa has stolen many games this year. For props, I like: Mike Evans ANYTIME TD +200; Dak Prescott OVER INT 0.5 -167; Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards OVER 45.5 -114 and OVER receptions 4.5 +100.
TEASER 6.5 +125: BUF -13.5, CIN -8, TB +2.5
