Week 18 NFL Propapalooza
Last week of the year… which means players need stats to hit their incentives or to break records. We’re taking props today, all OVER, to hopefully cash in as the players do, as these teams will go out of their way to hit these incentives (i.e. last year, Seattle called a couple of shovel passes in a row to get a wide receiver his receptions total in a meaningless game).
PROPS:
Rex Burkhead OVER 41.5 Rushing Yards -114; AT LEAST 72 Yards +173
Also looking for receiving yards OVER bets. He needs 105 total yards to hit a $250k bonus.
Tyler Lockett AT LEAST 2 TDs +900
Lockett needs two touchdowns to hit a $1 million bonus.
Cooper Kupp to have AT LEAST 136 Receiving Yards and 12 Receptions +150; AT LEAST 100 Yards + TD @ +100
Kupp going for all kinds of things, and LA is playing for the division title. He needs 12 receptions to set the all-time record for receptions in a season, and 136 yards to beat Calvin’ Johnson’s all-time mark. He’s also in line to win the wide receiver triple crown, and if he gets something like 200 yards and 2+ TDs today, he might win the MVP. He should be the MVP, IMO… and he’s probably 1-2 more seasons away from being the greatest Snow Leopard of all time.
Kyle Pitts OVER Receiving Yards 61.5 -119
Pitts needs 59 yards to break Mike Ditka’s rookie TE receiving yards mark.
Parlay @ -195: Stefon Diggs AT LEAST 6 Receptions (-333) + Marvin Jones AT LEAST 4 Receptions (-333)
Their individual lines were high, so I just combined them in a parlay to bring it down, as both will most likely be hit. Diggs needs 6 receptions for $1.2 million vs the lowly Jets, while Marvin Jones gets $500k for having at least 4 receptions in a game vs the Colts he probably plays all game in. He averages 4.1 catches per game this season.
T.J. Watt 1.5 Sacks OVER -180
Watt needs 2 sacks to break Michael Strahan’s season record. He has a good matchup against a backup running QB in Huntley (who I also started in DFS because Watt’s going to be undisciplined in going for this record off the edge).
A.J. Green to have AT LEAST 75 Receiving Yards +120
Green needs 10 receptions for a $250,000 bonus and 75 receiving yards for another $250k. THe yards seem more attainable as Green gets around 4 catches a game.
Rob Gronkowski Receptions OVER 7 -130
He need 7 catches for $500k, 85 yards for another $500k, and 3 TDs for another $500k. He may rest in this one, but the catch one most attainable and likely.
GAME PLAYS:
Miami +6.5 -105
Patriots always struggle in Miami. For like my entire life.
Ravens -3.5 +105
Big Ben ends his career today, most likely laying a golden turd in the middle of the field.
Washington -7 EVEN
Joe Judge sucks.
Indianapolis -14 -110
Last day to bet against Jacksonville! Jonathan Taylor can also hit 2000 yards today he if gets 266,
TEASER +150: TEN -10, WAS -6, BAL -3.5
PARLAY +530: MIA +6.5, IND -14, WAS ML -287, TEN ML -550, BUF ML -900
SUPER PICKS (42-38-5 Season): MIA +6.5, IND -14, BAL -3.5, WAS -7, CAR +10
DFS:
