NFL Wild Card Sunday + Monday
Any line a *, I am betting.
Tampa Bay -7.5* -105
OVER 47
Despite their injuries and the hilariousness of Antonio Brown’s “peace out” exit, Tampa is a bad matchup for the Eagles just due to both the Eagles players, and Eagles’ coaching, inexperience in this road game for them. Brady loses RB Leonard Fournette, but the Bucs get back LB LeVontae David today, which will be key for shutting down the mesh attack of Jalen Hurts and the Eagles. We like the Eagles as a young team, and they for sure have a chance to win the division next year if they beef up some key areas of need (RB, OL, WR, and LB), they are just a year early. I also like Gronkowski to be the First TD Scorer +550 and Scott Miller Anytime TD +500. #snowleopard
SF +3.5* -110
OVER 51* -105
Started at -4.5, now at SF -3. Lou and I actually like the 49ers as our longshot conference winner pick at +1200. We feel there is value there if we combine the fact they’ll be dogs in all 3 of their matchups, the MLs combining to a total of +750 to +850. SF is getting healthy at the right time, especially on offense (Mitchell, Samuel, Kittle). Their secondary blows, and their special teams is…not special. But a healthy 49ers offense with the brilliant Kyle Shanahan scheme will always be a huge threat. Dallas’ offense came in limping into the end of the season, and their defense is overrated (despite stars like Diggs and Parsons) because of all the crap teams they played, especially in their division. If Joe Judge is in your division; you should have a top 5 scoring defense. But they’ve also given up 31 points to the crappy Broncos. I can see this game going from 7-3 in the 2nd quarter going to 27-27 by the end of the game, because of both of these teams’ ability to score, and give up, big plays. There will also be a huge SF crowd and this will feel like a neutral site game. The variable is the QBs; both have been as inconsistent as the CDC’s policies on COVID-19. Also like this game going into OT +850.
Kansas City -12.5
OVER 46
The Steelers shouldn’t even be here. The Chiefs may let them hang around for a little, but they should win an easy game against this crappy team that I somehow hit the OVER with despite a fat aging QB and a banged up secondary. I like Tyreek Hill UNDER 68.5 receiving yards -120 because he was hobbling around all last game, and if KC gets up big early, they will rest him for next week. I also like Harrison Butker Kicking Points OVER 8.5 -115.
Arizona +4*
UNDER 50* -120
Now at Arizona +3. Let’s be clear: we do not like Arizona. They limped into the playoffs just as bad as the Rams did; but Arizona plays better on the road (IRL and ATS), they get WR Nuk Hopkins back, and in this 3rd division game, you can just see it being a rock fight. Plus, it’s stupidly being played on Monday Night, so just for that, we deserve a crappy game. I did not like the way the Rams played, quarterbacked, or coached their last game vs SF and it really went to show all of their flaws we pointed out to before the year where, on our preview pod, we summarized the Rams being a talented playoff team but their depth being so top heavy… that they are a great candidate to bet against in the playoffs. Also, Arizona probably has more fans than LA in this game; Stafford’s wife is already pleading LA fans to not sell their tickets to Arizona fans. Lady, the Arizona fans can literally just go up to the ticket counter at SoFi on gameday and buy one. Hardly no one in LA gives a fuck about the Rams, minus a few lifers here and there from the Eric Dickerson/Jackie Slater days.
Sunday Games DFS:
