NBA Playoff Memorial Day Weekend
So, I have a betting theory where I love to bet teams who come home, down 3-2, in Game 6’s of playoff series. My theory is,you usually get a team’s best and most emotional performance, at home, to force a Game 7 to keep the season alive. I think this is part of the reason why road teams lose 75% of Game 7’s: they are so gassed from the adrenaline dump the game before (as well as the usual 1 day layover flight) that they cardio dump on the road in Game 7.
My first 4 figure bet was actually a Game 6 when the Mets (I know, what a risk) were home to St Louis in 2006 with Tom Glavine on the mound (which I shipped). For this year so far, I did this with Toronto vs Boston (NHL), Milwaukee vs Boston (NBA), and Washington vs Tampa (NHL) so far this year, and we’ve hit all of them.
Now, we have 2 more this weekend in the NBA: Cavs -7 (-105) and Warriors -10 (-115).
For the Cavs, they are coming off a blowout loss where the other team shot only 36%. LeBron looked as tired as I was with a hangover after watching the game at the bar. Watch his backcourt, who has sucked ass in Boston all series, suddenly get a pep in their step for Game 6 in their home gym with the crowd behind them. The Celtics are 1-8 on the road this postseason, and they have trailed by 14 or more points in every one of those game (including the one they won). I also expect a LeBron bounce back, and I am also taking the LeBron Over Points 35 (-120) prop.
The Warriors’ line is high at -10…but it’s now at -12 with Chis Paul out with a hamstring injury (a huge injury, IMO). The Rockets are 15-9 without Paul, and 61-12 with him this year. The Warriors are a great team, and this series has been great, so I expect a Game 7 in Houston for the ages.
UFC BONUS:
Stephen Thompson -110
