EURO 2016 Preview
Winner:
Germany +450
Germany’s talent is the best across the board, and they are relatively fit. They are coming off the World Cup win in Brazil and this tournament is a start of the last generation of players from that team like Mueller, Neuer, etc.
Belgium +900
Belgium was the #1 ranked team in FIFA at one point, and they also have a ton of young and up and coming talent that will be a force. There only weakness to me is at the wingbacks position. They are strong every where else and at +900 for a top 5 team in the world, it’s good value IMO.
Single bets:
Wales Points Over 3.5 (-105)
Wales was impressive in the qualifying round, and Bale was the second best player during those games (behind Poland’s Lewandowski). They also drew a good group and have winnable games versus Russia and Slovakia.
Group B Prop – 1. England 2. Wales +350
I think they both get out of their group in this order. This could be England’s year (+800 to win it all)to finally make a push with all of the exciting young talent they have. Their manager Roy Hodgson, who is known as conservative, is playing a 4-3-3…even he knows he has good talent this year. Also good news for England: the group stage does not have penalty shootouts.
Group E Winner: Belgium -105
Their group: Italy (who is in a turnover year), Ireland (I love the lads, but they have looked like shit in the friendlies leading up to EURO2016. Roy Keane wanted to kill the players after losing in a friendly to Belarus.), and Sweden (who is the wild card in this group; it all depends if Zlatan can turn on the throwback beast mode).
Group C Prop: 1. Germany 2. Poland +135
Germany to Reach the Final +175
My final four: Germany, England, Belgium, and Poland.
Top Goalscorer – Robert Lewandowski +1400
Poland was the best “in form” team during its qualifiers. Lewandowski averaged a goal a game during those prelims (the only other player to do so was Bale).
Lou’s plays:
Adding these as Lou just had a kid and hasn’t had time to post. I’m also taking on of his leans on Italy as well:
Italy to NOT make it out of the Group Stage +400
Austria 40-1 to win it all