NFL Week 15
Washington +2 (-110)
Again, this is part of a hedge I have been doing against their season under (6.5) which I took. That bet is fucked if they win one more time between now and the end of the year. I also think this line is wrong; the Bills aren’t favorites over many teams right now and the Washington Football Team is actually playing OK and motivated to win at home to keep pace in the NFC East. This line is now at +3 (-140)!
NYG +5.5 and NYG ML +195
I think the Giants do make it a close game vs the undefeated Panthers today, as they always play up or down to the competition. James Stewart is also out for the Panthers. I love the +5.5, but I am also taking the ML because I think this game vs NYG is the only game left on the Panthers’ regular season schedule that Carolina potentially loses, is this one.
SF +6
AJ McCarron on the road, there has to be value there. Yes, he’s playing Blaine Gabbert but he’s actually been OK and the Niners have played well at home and have covered 3 straight there.
Seattle -14.5
Johhnny Manziel and his drinking binge tour go into Seattle missing Brian Hartline, their 2nd best WR, as well as Mike Pettine actually admitting to the press he doesn’t think Russell Wilson is a top 10 QB. This team will get destroyed today.
It also looks like Vegas is getting better when to give a big line:
From 2012-2014, NFL underdogs of 14 or more points went 11-4-1 ATS (73%). However, this season dogs of 14 or more are 0-3 ATS.
— Jason Logan (@CoversJLo) December 20, 2015
TEASER:
NE -14
SEA -14.5
KC -6