NFL Week 15

Posted in NFL - 2014/12/14 - 0 Comment

TB +3

Riding the Tampa train again; came close last week and we had a chance for miracle chopportunity at the end of the game as a drive petered out at the 10 yard line.  No Cam Newton today; Derek Anderson beat the Bucs in Week 2 but they were a different team then and Tampa has been 60% ATS since their mauling in Atlanta.

CIN +1.5 (EVEN)

This started at +1 (-110).  I don’t understand why it’s moving in the other direction, unless a bunch of fish are betting on Johnny Football.  In their first meeting, AJ Green wasn’t playing and winds were at 15-20 mph in Cincinnati (which can be no jokes, especially for a QB like Dalton who has very little arm strength).  This is also somewhat a hedge as I have taken both Baltimore (+450) and the Browns (+1200) to win the division.

TEASER: ATL +3 and OVER 55

This will be a close, entertaining, high score game with fail thrown in.  Could be the game of the week.  Means something to both teams.

TEASER (+450):

BAL -14, NE -10, KC -10, DET -8, CIN/CLE Under 44

Also a prop bet, which Darts hipped me onto the last time these two teams played: Over Total FG 3.5 (-110) in the SF at SEA game.  These two teams kicked 6 FGs in their last meeting.

NOTES:

For those thinking about Miami, both Hightower and Chandler Jones are playing today.