Two Touchy Home Faves Revisited

Posted in NCAA Football - 2011/11/10 - 0 Comment

Talked last week about the half dozen teams in college that were roughly 2 TD home faves, let’s check out how things went down.

  • Akron (1-7) 3 @ Miami OH (3-5) 35
  • Louisville (4-4) 38 @ West Virginia (6-2) 35
  • Duke (3-5) 14 @ Miami FL (4-4) 49
  • Vanderbilt (4-4) 21 @ Florida (4-4) 26
  • Texas Tech (5-3) 20 @ Texas (5-2) 52
  • Texas A&M (5-3) 25 @ Oklahoma (7-1) 41

We had created two groups.  Miami OH, West Virginia, and Oklahoma were teams with clearly better records than their opponent.  The second group of teams had very similar records as their opponent, but were much more likely to generate action from the betting public, explaining their large number.  Both groups went 2-1 ATS.  Conclusion – Nothing to really report.  Florida, following a season long pattern, seems particularly overrated.  Side Note – Notre Dame didn’t cover as 2 TD road fave.